- Reaction score
Yes, but it hurts Belarus more than it hurts those EU countries.Perhaps (just brainstorming here, not sure if this has merit or not) it's because of it's proximity and borders with certain EU countries, and one convenient border with Russia.
NATO already has staging forces in those EU countries, those little green men get squashed.Maybe they fear what Belarus may do, if hit with full economic sanctions? With it's friend Russia to one side, and a border with Ukraine, que the espionage, acts of terrorism, Russian forces possibly staging from Belarus (even if just overflights or ISR assets that don't leave Belarus airspace), etc. Little green men sneaking over the border. Same risks would apply to Poland, Latvia, Lithuania.
I am convinced that in any EU versus Belarus confrontation, the EU come out on top.The luck of geography seems to be very much on Belarus' side, unfortunately. And very much not on our side. (Opposite if armed conflict were to break out.) They could destabilize a big chunk of Europe just by pestering their neighbours if they wanted to. So maybe the sanctions just aren't seen as worth it? (Also, the sanctions would hurt the economies of countries that Belarus does trade with, too, albeit not as much.)
More so, when are we in the west going to stop being scared of these little asshole countries? It's getting ridiculous.
Sanctions versus the elite of the nation, which, as we have seen in the past, does absolutely nothing is the main course of action, when full punishing economic sanctions should be the course of action. If they are worried about the Belarus response, then they have lost the plot.