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British Columbia NDP Majority Government 2024-(no later than) 2029

BC Conservatives are in a full on death spiral now.

11 reportedly signed a letter asking Findlay to resign, half of what is left of the party.


And I think there may be potential for most if not all of those 11 to leave the caucus now, 3 were just removed by Findlay for it.

[CBC]3 more MLAs 'no longer affiliated' with B.C. Conservative Party: clerk's office


Clown car opposition. 🤡

The former leader and the highly praised interim leader are turfed, and at least 5 MLAs were being surveilled by private investigators.

These guys manage to make the NDP look sane and competent. 🤦‍♂️


B.C. Conservative Leader Kerry Lynne-Findlay has removed former party leader John Rustad, former interim leader Trevor Halford and Skeena MLA Claire Rattée from caucus, after internal party calls this week for Findlay to resign as leader.

The Office of the Clerk of the legislature confirmed Friday that it had been instructed to remove the three from the list of Conservative MLAs by the B.C. Conservative caucus.
Rattée, Conservative MLA for Skeena, said in a statement on social media that Findlay does not have the authority to boot MLAs from caucus as she is not an elected representative, and therefore not the caucus leader.
“That she is attempting to remove B.C. Conservative incumbent MLAs on the eve of a potential snap election is yet another example of her demonstrating poor judgment that doesn’t befit someone who is attempting to become premier,” said Rattée.

“She needs to grow our voter coalition to win an election, and instead she is driving key members of our team into situations that will undoubtedly split votes and give more seats to the NDP.”
Rattée also confirmed that she is one of 10 MLAs who asked Findlay to step aside, despite the Conservative leader’s comment during her UBCM speech that “I’m not going anywhere.”

The Skeena MLA was also one of two MLAs, alongside Rustad, who sources say asked Findlay to resign during a tense caucus meeting on Wednesday evening.

At that meeting, it was disclosed that Rattée and at least 12 other people, including five other MLAs, had been under surveillance by a private investigator allegedly hired by former party executive director Elaine Allan.

As of Friday morning, both Rattée and Rustad’s names had been removed from the B.C. Conservative caucus website and the legislature website only lists 27 MLAs as being part of the Conservatives, with Rattée not listed among that number.
The removal of Rustad and Halford, who won widespread kudos for his work as interim Opposition leader, brings the number of Conservative MLAs to 25, down from 38 when Findlay became leader three months ago and 44 at the time of the last provincial election in 2024.

Postmedia has contacted the party for comment but has yet to receive a response.

Archive:
 
BC Conservatives are in a full on death spiral now.

11 reportedly signed a letter asking Findlay to resign, half of what is left of the party.


And I think there may be potential for most if not all of those 11 to leave the caucus now, 3 were just removed by Findlay for it.

[CBC]3 more MLAs 'no longer affiliated' with B.C. Conservative Party: clerk's office


failed crash and burn GIF by truTV’s Bobcat Goldthwait’s Misfits & Monsters
 
Findlay has cooked herself. Is she too obtuse to realize this, or just too stubborn to take the inevitable exit and resign?
 
Wow, does she know she's running a political party and not an actual circus?


Rustad says he was kicked out of caucus twice in 12 hours

John Rustad told me that he was kicked out of the B.C. Conservative caucus twice in the span of 12 hours.

I asked him how that happened.

Rustad said he got a text message from Findlay on Thursday night saying he had been removed from caucus. About 15 minutes later, she sent a text rescinding the message.

However, on Friday morning, party member Heather Maahs informed the legislature clerk’s office that Rustad, Halford and Rattée were no longer part of the Conservative caucus.

Rustad said he plans to hold a news conference in Victoria on Monday with more details.
 
And David Eby is suddenly less keen to call a snap election?

Magic 9 ball is saying Tuesday or sooner.


Election call looks likely by Tuesday

It's been another momentous day in B.C. politics.

Of course, the biggest question underlying today's events is: Will an election actually happen and, if so, when would the vote be?

Eby sidestepped the question at his UBCM speech and news conference, saying only, "I don't have any announcements to make about an election today" and making a couple jokes about the anxiety local politicians are facing around potentially duelling elections.

But there's very strong evidence the premier is planning to call an election on or before Tuesday, Sept. 22.

The reason? The NDP doesn't want to wait until after the Abbotsford-Mission byelection that Findlay is contesting, which takes place on Sept. 26.

At the same time, under Elections B.C. law, if an election is called on Sept. 23, 24 or 25, the election would have to fall on Halloween — and no politician wants to annoy the parents of young families.

So, most people are pencilling in an election call in the next four days, with a general voting day of Oct. 24.

We'll see if Eby further surprises people or not.
 
If there’s a snap election, I can’t see any opposition party being ready for it.
Seems likely to hand the NDP a stronger outcome by virtue of vote splitting on the right. An early election is a cynical no-brainer for Eby. He’s otherwise very vulnerable if the right gets its poop in a group.
 
Seems likely to hand the NDP a stronger outcome by virtue of vote splitting on the right. An early election is a cynical no-brainer for Eby. He’s otherwise very vulnerable if the right gets its poop in a group.

Fully agree. Although Centre BC has gained instant credibility as a party, I don’t think they are quite ready for an election yet even if they do gain more independent or Conservative MLAs. The B.C. Conservatives even less so with a raging civil war/clown show going on.
 
Fully agree. Although Centre BC has gained instant credibility as a party, I don’t think they are quite ready for an election yet even if they do gain more independent or Conservative MLAs. The B.C. Conservatives even less so with a raging civil war/clown show going on.

They'd better fix their website... Bernier is still listed as leader ;)

Meet Mike Bernier​

CentreBC Leader

“BC needs a socially progressive, fiscally responsible choice. A government that will promote economic growth while protecting our beautiful province for future generations.

CentreBC is focused on the things that bring together so many British Columbians, that can bring together a broad coalition of builders and doers. That is what will help create a new path forward for BC, one that is best for all British Columbians.

This is what we are building with CentreBC.”

 
With the dissident conservatives having established a home in the shell of CentreBC, an election to wrongfoot the Conservative opposition is suddenly a much larger risk. It would undoubtedly wrongfoot them, but also apply pressure to the moderates to quickly organize - I don't doubt that they would actually manage to find and field candidates in all ridings within the window provided for an election - and also yield a pass/fail grade on Findlay. I'd expect a "fail", which would pressure remaining Conservatives to think about reverting to being the junior partner with CentreBC. The risk is not that the NDP loses the election outright; the risk is that the election results in these three things:
  • a NDP minority
  • Findlay fully discredited
  • CentreBC organized and leading the opposition

That combination - of which the latter two points are close to certain and only the first in doubt - would shorten the NDP government's life expectancy considerably; they could be out in six months. Otherwise, the NDP has a lot of time on the election clock (two years), if it really wants to just continue governing.
 
The NDP loyalists would elect a goat, a long as it is a NDP goat. However a goat might be a valid alternative to Eby.

True. I would also argue that free-enterprise voters would do likewise with a credible alternative to the NDP. The B.C. Liberals overstayed their welcome by one or two election cycles but the free-enterprise coalition was more scared of the NDP than the smelly stench of a party in government too long that was coming off the B.C. Liberals (and Socreds before them).

And although the B.C. Conservatives are an amateur operation, they nearly won just because they weren’t the NDP and the NDP were NDPing under Eby.

In B.C., both sides would vote for a fence post painted in their party’s colours. The only difference is the NDP voters vote for the NDP and the free-enterprise voters vote for who isn’t the NDP but has the best chance of winning.
 
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