Canada moves to 2% GDP end of FY25/26 - PMMC

[GR66]

I see this as more of a type of draft registry and perception exercise than any real force development program. Firstly I think the chance of Canada actually deploying a force of hundreds of thousands of troops in a conflict highly unlikely. I certainly don't see us shipping Divisions worth of troops across the Pacific to fight off the Chinese in the Indo-Pacific. Ships, subs, aircraft, AD, LRPS? Sure, but not a large land contingent.

Even in Europe Russia does pose a threat to its immediate neighbours but demographics and economics are against them in a full-scale Russia-NATO conflict. Will we need to expand our military to sustain our contribution in a European war? Yes, but again I don't see us expanding to have a Corps worth of troops deployed.

What this does though is take a small step toward creating a more martial mindset in the country where the population is maybe more willing to pay to fund an effective military because they are more likely to know someone that is in the military (even if only as a Supplemental Reservist). It also creates a list of people that already have served in the military (keeping more ex-Reg/Reserve members on the Sup List) and a list of people that have demonstrated their willingness to serve if called so that IF the force needs to expand the Government doesn't have to risk conscripting unwilling people into the military.

Lastly, I can potentially see these Supplemental Reservists become a pool of people that may be willing to deploy for domestic operations (floods, forest fires, ice storms, etc.) which would take some of the pressure off the Reg/Reserve forces.

 

[Colin Parkinson]

Does nobody want to talk about the article in the Ottawa Citizen regarding mobilizing public servants as a supplementary reserve?

Not to mention a lot of them are already working on government duties that would still need to be done in times of war.

 

[Rifleman62]

Didn't see the article. Is the idea I.E. the the PS in Ottawa will be compulsory enrolled in the Supplementary Reserve? Thus when there is a flood all the PS of certain classifications (Clks) are called out to fill sandbags and the government grinds to a halt (maybe a good thing).

 

[Kirkhill]

Yeah, about that compulsory military service thing, there might be some downsides ....

“In 1870, came the victory of the short-service troops of Prussia over the long-service troops of France, where conscription had but recently been reintroduced in a partial form and as a supplementary measure.

That obvious contrast carried more weight into the world than all the other factors which tilted the scales against France. As a result, universal peace-time conscription was adopted by almost all countries as the basis of their military system.

This ensured that wars would grow bigger in scale, longer in duration, and worse in effects.

While conscription appeared democratic, it provided autocrats, hereditary or revolutionary, with more effective and comprehensive means of imposing their will, both in peace and war.

Once the rule of compulsory service in arms was established for the young men of a nation, it was an obvious and easy transition to the servitude of the whole population.

Totalitarian tyranny is the twin of total warfare—which might aptly be termed a reversion to tribal warfare on a larger scale.”

― B.H. Liddell Hart

Underlying problem.

Conscription is only avoided if enough people consider it worth volunteering. If they can't be arsed to defend themselves then they can't be surprised if they wake up one morning and theirvworld has changed.