- Reaction score
- 12,196
- Points
- 1,260
Well, I figured that it was about time to throw in the hat on this one, so I did some surfing over at Lightfighter (since most of us Canucks are talking from 2nd hand info here anyways). Since I don't know much about anything, I thought I'd see what the experts had to say, and so I read through this thread:
http://lightfighter.net/eve/ubb.x/a/tpc/f/5436084761/m/683101434/p/1
Read the thread. Pay attention to the posts by Abu Buckwheat, he's an author on terrorism (his book is on Amazon) and has been dealing with this stuff professionally before most of us put on a pair of combat boots.
Anyways, the debate on this link is pretty good - read it for something different:
...and here is a bit pertaining too my arguement with Dare over on this thread: http://forums.army.ca/forums/threads/23864.360.html
Notice my emphasis.
....and finally, what seems to me to be the best plan to date for attacking the Islamic Insurgency:
Happy reading,
Infanteer
http://lightfighter.net/eve/ubb.x/a/tpc/f/5436084761/m/683101434/p/1
Read the thread. Pay attention to the posts by Abu Buckwheat, he's an author on terrorism (his book is on Amazon) and has been dealing with this stuff professionally before most of us put on a pair of combat boots.
Anyways, the debate on this link is pretty good - read it for something different:
Hey guys I'm no liberal and I respect all of your opinions but in my view the connection is still deniable, unsupported by intelligence or any evidence. Its just speculation and rhetoric. I like LF and that is the only reason I am posting a contradictory view of the facts ... As any good career intelligence professional deals strictly in intelligence fact, not speculation or FOX/CNN/MSNBC political opinion-fomercials I will tell it like I see it after careful analysis of the sourceable and credible information. We have to get the facts devoid of ideology or RUMINT. There are rarely "Slam Dunks" in this game. #1 - I have been to the Ansar Al Islam's Biyara camp after it was leveled last year (its a rock pile) and it appeared to gets it support from Iran more than Iraq ... it is pretty deep behind PUK/KDP lines (about 7 hours up some tight assed mountains to the North East of Erbil in the furthest most corner of your map). It was a complete Free of Saddam zone and the Kurds kept it that way ... as anyone who has been to Kurdistan knows its another country up there. #2 I have spoke to the head of KDP intelligence in March on this very subject and he says the AAI was well known to belong to Bin Laden not Saddam ... he should know since many of his extended family was killed by an AAI suicide bomber in Erbil and many, many by Saddam. He says Saddam was too afraid to send agents past Sulaymaniyah. If anything AAI work with the Iranian intlligence to get people to and from Afghanistan ... As far as this guy's name being in a phone book, I'll withhold judgement until more evidence comes up ... the FBI track record on this isn't the most sterling. Additionally being an Iraqi in AQ does not mean you were in Saddam's control at all even if you worked for him. There is evidence that Saudi military officials are in AQ but does that mean the King backs bin Laden? Nope. We're all sober, responsible guys who want to see our government do well but on the face of it this is no slam dunk either ...
Iraq did have links to terrorism, Abu Nidal organization, the PFLP, Mujhideen Al Khalq and Iraqi Special Intelligence Service ... all terrorists but the people who did 9/11 ... AQ did that all on their own.
Where did the Iraqis get their experience to attack us? Not from AQ. They had a standing Army of 2 million and a special forces command of tens of thousands and an intelligence force of over 20,000 ... they saw we were coming and buried millions of tons of caches ... don't underestimate them and don't confuse them for AQ. They are smart and resourceful and good at killing without anyone showing them.
Hi Greentimber ... its possible SH sent small teams of agents up there but the CIA/KDP/and PUK did and still own and operate the entire region since 1991 (except for Kirkuk)... check out Robert Baer's book "See no Evil" for a good description of CIA operations there in Post Saddam Kurdistan.
The $20k offered by Saddam was rhetoric he put on the news to show "support" for Palestinians ... no Palestinian family according to the Israelis has ever been proven to collect that money ... now the Saudis on the other hand paid out tens of millions of $ to martyrdom charities. They had a telethon two years ago! Any family that could prove a person was lost in fighting to the Israelis qualified for martyrdom payments. No matter if you were a suicide bomber or just got a Hellfire up your butt... your family got paid.
Yes Saddam operated terrorist training centers ... no one ever disputed that ... he ran a university for terrorism ... like I said the PFLP, ANO, the MUK and other small nationalist groups trained in Iraq but only the MUK (the anti-group) was heavily involved in terrorist operations until the US invasion ... there is no hard evidence that Saddam trained, armed or equipped the Al Qaeda organization. See the 9/11 commission report for more details on contacts. Hope this helps expand your minds to some alternatives about our enemies ... We aren't fighting AQ in Iraq but Iraqis who have some skill in terrorism (except for Zarqawi of course).
No one said Iraq wasn't involved in some old school terrorism but obviously many of you guys think the war in Iraq was a good response to Al Qaeda's attack on 9/11 and nothing, facts be damned, is going to convince you of the fact that we have ignored our real enemy "Al Qaeda." Abu Abbas? I've been to his house in Mansour district ... he was a fat old man retiree with one bodyguard, he was not leading a global jihad with thousands of followers. Lets get Bin Laden before we start patting ourselves on the back.
Capt_M ... I AM an intel type and I had three combat action ribbons in the "old" war on terrorism well before 9/11 ... I stared in Beirut at BLT in 1983 and still fighting so I know a little something about terrorism. I am an intelligence warrior and was fighting the terror war for a long time before it became hip and we all became experts. Thanks from refraining from MOS bashing ... I just spent a year in Iraq and head back tomorrow night. Yes, I've been to Salman Pak, Tuwaytha and other suspected camps and had lunch with a real Iraqi terrorist organizations, the MUK and instructors from the Special Security Service ... I learned one strategic thing in Iraq ... we're stuck in this mess and I take the fact that we have turned our backs on the real enemy, who struck us hard and will again strike us, with deadly seriousness. If you have even the slightest open mind that you may be open to a perspective from what the real professional intelligence community thinks (without politics) go buy "Anonymous's" book "Imperial Hubris" ... its a laundry list of how we are losing the war on terror by leaving Al Qaeda alone and getting our butts whipped in Iraq. Its written by the present CIA Chief of the Al Qaeda Division. The GWOT should be have been called the Global War on Al Qaeda (GWAQ) ... trying to kill off all terrorism is like trying to encourage everyone to be virgins. Often too late and not an exciting prospect to the participants. There is a fourth category of people who know something about Iraq ... those who know the truth and are ready to go after the real enemy. I'm focused on the foe dudes, and ready to grasp to harsh truth about Iraq in order to kill AQ proper-like ... how about you?
Fisterkev you have to be in some state of denial ... better read the 9/11 commission report. We have hurt ourselves immeasurably with this invasion ... it is estimated at 70-80% of AQ and the Taliban have dispersed or are in Western pakistan... untouched and unafraid. Thier terrorist arm, the Covert Combat Command are deployed and continuing ops. Iraq took 200,000 people, resources and systems off line against totally obliterating AQ. We haven't even started going all out on them but are now bogged down in Iraq. Hey man I have lived through all three realities of pre-9/11 Middle East, post-9/11 Afghanistan and Iraq ... the present stat sucks. We have only 10k men in Afghanstan and 140,000 men in IZ? Only a few dozen killed in in fighting against Al Qaeda and 900 against Iraqis? Uh, the army says 2/3rd of all available forces are in Iraq or readying to go to Iraq oir recovering from Iraq. We pulled 3,600 men out of South Korea to go to Iraq and the NTC opfor, Shughart-Gordon opfor and the Ceremonial Honor Guard from Ft. Meyer are deploying to Iraq, the CIA has over 500 people in Baghdad alone and has empitied most overseas stations to handle the rotation and suddenly! we're freaking about about AQ surveillance of financial targets 3 clicks from my house! Whoa I though this was handled!? I think we are pretty tapped out because of Iraq and we don't have enough military forces for a serious global AQ hunt. The FBI is NOT leading the hunt by the way. The argument is not ridiculous, the situation we find ourselves in is very ridiculous.
...and here is a bit pertaining too my arguement with Dare over on this thread: http://forums.army.ca/forums/threads/23864.360.html
Notice my emphasis.
Man I have lived, ate, slept and sometimes prayed with these people ... THEY DO NOT SHARE OUR CULTURE. We have to learn and deifnately PSYOPS should lead the way, that when dealing with other cultures you cannot use your own frame of reference. You must use theirs ... I'll plug myself a little here ... In my book the Terrorist recongition handbook check the chapter on funadmental terrorism intelligence analysis and read the part about common sense. I'll give you a hint ... it says we cannot use mid-western common-sense in analyzing the potenial capacity of the threat forces but we must learn to see it through their perspective. Islam hasn't been hijacked ... it IS what is going on and these men who martyr themselves aren't doing it for fear of death... they LOVE death and honor the men who are brave enough to fight to the death. Kill all you want but you'll only have thousands rushing in to replace the tens we do cap. Our American democratic and socail justice values are not fully compatable with Islam's ... especially politically as conservative relgion is a bedrock of the culture. But socially and economically there is a baseline of similarity -we must look for that baseline. They are pissed at our actions, not at our values. They couldn't give two hoots about McDonalds ... they do care when we claim we kill 300 people in najaf and call it a victory ... then the pictures of the collateral dead come out and we open another recruiting drive. ... we just can't shove our actions in their face and say the natives must be just like us ... resistance is a inherent human trait and applying culturally trained PSYOPs or intell guys into it helps, but as I learned in the Balkans, Iraq and Afghanistan... present day warfaighters tend to not give a damn about "what you intel weenies know". I make ALLOT of money off the Special Operations Forces because they are the only force that WANTS to know and, like well before they go through a door. They think critically and repectfully kill the enmy by using his own tricks... thats where the army should be in Iraq. Unfortunately we are in Iraq ... anyone that thinks the GWOT is about killing ALL terrorist should line up for never ending war and an America that will be hated as the greatest colonial power since England in the 19th century; lets just kill this global insurgency called Al Qeda and call it a day ... OK I'll be in the Middle East tomorrow and will ask a few allied Arab SPECOP types what they think of your theory ... it won't be pleasant, believe me.
....and finally, what seems to me to be the best plan to date for attacking the Islamic Insurgency:
... I only have a few minutes. Let me sum up my view on how the GWAQ should have gone and can still go ... If I were President I'd buy the entire global political and law enforcement system out on my terms. Here is how it works:
1) We'd make dramatic change on policies regarding fairness in Israel-Palestine. A major, unprecedented political offensive to get this issue off the tarble for Islamic extremists. We go 50-50 on support for both Israel and Palestinians. Peace in exchange for land. Nothingmore, nothing less. We'd have Arafat sign it before he croaks ... if we don't HAMAS will take over and that could suck. We'll build the Israeli security wall on the 1968 border FOR THEM , at no cost and to their standards but not the way they are doing it now by stealing land. All settlements must go. Period. (If we support this stupid policy then we support Israeli settlement claims as far east as Naseriyah, (city of Ur) Iraq were Abraham was from.) We back it up with NATO forces deployed to ensure Israel's security. Also an easy 10 billion for small businesses and government infrastructure. Cash loans. That means immediate prospect of hope and money for the Palestinian Arabs ... Hamas would have no one to hit in a Palestine that suddenly becomes as hopeful as Jordan ... they want Malls and Lattes. They have enough Mosques and faith.
2) Declaration for Global unconditional War against Al Qaeda (GWAQ). We declare they will be eliminated as a concept from Islam and as humans from earth. The US Army will deploy world wide to train and support any government's operations against them. Not small, six man MTT missions ... Battalion+ sized missions like in the Phillipines. Iraq? I'd BEG NATO to take over. Start a 50 billion dollar jobs program adminsitered by the Interim government to start Work Projects type jobs on them. Every Iraqi man will be offered a job to work cleaning streets or rebuilding something we blasted. We are a year late on this one. The price is cheap ... its the cost of 6 months US Army operations in Iraq. Oh yeah we withdraw 100,000 men almost immediately and give anyone who remains in the service a 20% pay raise. Combat Action pay goes up 100%. CAR/CIBs come with a one time $500 bonus. Combat vets draw 20% more pay than none combat vets. Re-enlistment bonuses for SF/SOC go up to $100,000 per 2 year enlistment because that is what they could make in 6 months as a civilian contractor. Wounded men could be retained in service stateside. The VA budget would be increased 300%.
3) We open all "perceived" offensive US policies to discussion at a series of agreed upon international forums. Any cheezy small act we can do to get any of AQ's strategic complaints off the table gives the Arab governments prospect of hope. They will start to fully cooperate instead of ignoring us as they are right now. Moslem nations will not cooperate with us if we keep acting like they work for us ... they don't. They work for themselves but our attitude and behavior has offended almost every moslem out there. Thats 1 Billion people. We will make Al Jazeera and Al Arabiya OUR mouthpiece by being all over it everytime UBL opens his mouth and constantly sponsoring conferences and discussions ... Arabs love discussions and we should accomodate them. I would also expand US aide from the 2% of the State Department's overall budget and make it 20%. Carrots. Lots and lots of carrots. - Also I'd re-open the US university system for foreign government member's children in order for them to learn what democracy and freedom really means ... I'd even offer scholarships to the best 10 mid-western universities ... if we can find any.
4) A secret rewards program for government ministers of allied Arab countries. For senior AQ leadership or each cell captured and confirmed (such as in Jordan) - Boom! $100 million to the person or "charity" of your choice. $1 Billion for UBL himself. He is a symbol but a powerful one.
3) Iran and North Korea will be immediately engaged and offered huge financial support and aide to end their weapons program. NK we will outright buy the weapons, equipment and processing systems. Hard cash for money ... we will also push rapprochement between NK and SK, We should even sign a ceasefire but US Forces do not leave the peninsula until the nukes are gone. Iran we will normalize relations with but they must become a playing and paying memebr of the GWAQ ... also full inspections by IAEA and dismantling of any weapons related programs. They'd jump at it.
5) I would consider invading Pakistan. I would ask nice first thatthey givetheir nukes to us ... if not I'd drop the entire 18th airborne corps on it and take it away from them. The Pakistan program is too close for comfort to AQ. Do we lose Pakistan as an ally ... probably but I would prefer a pissed off Pakistan without nukes to a friendly one with nukes.
6) Every piece of nuclear material in this planet would be bought by the US government ... double the market price. Lets just take it off the table.
Thats my idea ... some touchy feely, some HEAVY use of the hammer but fair enough even the Arabs could love it. It will cost us a Trillion dollars but the global economic environment will dramatically jump because the US will be a serious but fair player back in the market and Made in the USA won't be a hated phrase
Happy reading,
Infanteer