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Iran Super Thread- Merged

Respectfully, @Lumber its obvious that our careers have had wildly different paths. And why I hope never have to go to war with the RCN.
Hey don't lump me in with the nancies who are to shy to engage in combat. My motto as an ORO was "Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead!".
 
You'd be living in a fairyland... If we are at war, we are at war everywhere. If Iran can land a missile in Baltimore, or San Diego, that's fair game. It's a war, not a game of tummy sticks...

Can I ask what tummy sticks is, and how one plays it ?

What sailors lives are being put at risk by having a P8 put a Harpoon into it from outside their AD envelope? If anything, using a submarine may have been the more dangerous option.

Are you making the statement that a harpoon hitting that ship wouldn't have caused casualties ?

Hey don't lump me in with the nancies who are to shy to engage in combat. My motto as an ORO was "Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead!".

Could have fooled me.
 
Hey don't lump me in with the nancies who are to shy to engage in combat.
For someone not shy to engage, you are doing a lot of bemoaning that an in-contact asset engaged a target instead of stalking it while dragging another asset into the fight. You are prepared to compromise surprise and economy of effort, which can cost missed opportunities and lives.
 
A combatant is still a combatant even when carrying neither weapon nor ammo.
A warship is full of weapons even when it has no ammo.
A warship is a combatant unless it is sinking, sunk, or surrendered.

It doesn't even have to be a warship. We also sink unarmed enemy merchantmen.
 
A combatant is still a combatant even when carrying neither weapon nor ammo.
A warship is full of weapons even when it has no ammo.
A warship is a combatant unless it is sinking, sunk, or surrendered.
Agreed. Not disputing any of that. I was just pointing out that all ships that had participated in the exercise were supposedly unarmed.
 
Also, you still don't apparently understand how policy made and the difference between public servants and political staff.
Don't confuse my observations about hardball politics with "don't understand". There are people who worship "interagency" concensus on various matters, and people who figure elections have consequences. The latter are running the administration.
 
On the girls school bombing. The investigation is still ongoing but it's not looking good.



And this doesn't bode well. Back in February Caine himself warned that the US Military didn't have the ammunition to win a war with Iran, contradicting what Trump claimed.


EDIT: February 23, 2026

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Agreed. Not disputing any of that. I was just pointing out that all ships that had participated in the exercise were supposedly unarmed.
Do any of us actually believe those ships were unarmed? Honestly that sounds more like social media BS that’s taken on a life of its own. I read elsewhere that the ex even had a live fire component.

Might be that their posture was visibly lower, but I donmt imagine many countries would send their ships out defenseless…
 
Do any of us actually believe those ships were unarmed? Honestly that sounds more like social media BS that’s taken on a life of its own. I read elsewhere that the ex even had a live fire component.

Might be that their posture was visibly lower, but I donmt imagine many countries would send their ships out defenseless…
Great question. Having read reports from India media and on the exercise itself, they do state that the ships were to be 'unarmed'. It could be that the foreign warships/planes were to be unarmed but that the Indian ships would be armed?

Also reading that the US submarine has been named - USS Charlotte
 
Great question. Having read reports from India media and on the exercise itself, they do state that the ships were to be 'unarmed'. It could be that the foreign warships/planes were to be unarmed but that the Indian ships would be armed?
I’m not a boaty guy. Is this maybe gonna be some distinction like “loaded” versus “readied”? (Obviously more technical than that)- but weapons states designed to utterly prevent the possibility of an ND?

It seems utterly implausible to me that naval vessels would have all their ship’s weapons unloaded for a transit to an exercise, the ex itself, then transit back.

But this is a situation where I don’t know what I don’t know; all I’ve got is a stinky sniff test.
 
I’m not a boaty guy. Is this maybe gonna be some distinction like “loaded” versus “readied”? (Obviously more technical than that)- but weapons states designed to utterly prevent the possibility of an ND?

It seems utterly implausible to me that naval vessels would have all their ship’s weapons unloaded for a transit to an exercise, the ex itself, then transit back.

But this is a situation where I don’t know what I don’t know; all I’ve got is a stinky sniff test.
I agree.
 
Are you making the statement that a harpoon hitting that ship wouldn't have caused casualties ?
No no. What I'm saying is that the delivery platform (in this case, a P8) is at less potential risk from the Dera than the submarine is. While its clear that the Dera was not in any way aware of the submarine's presence, it at least had the capability of engaging the submarine with it's own torpedoes (although, some recent reporting is indicating that the ship may not have had any weapons aboard). The P8, on the other hand, can fire on the Dera from far outside the SAM range of the Dera's missiles.
 
Effects....

“If I just walk back a couple of years, remember what you used to always hear, we’re shooting down a $50,000 drone with a $2 million missile,” he added. “These days, we’re spending a lot of time shooting down $100,000 drones with $10,000” weapons.

.....

“Costing approximately $35,000 per platform, LUCAS is a low-cost, scalable system that provides cutting-edge capabilities at a fraction of the cost of traditional long-range U.S. systems that can deliver similar effects,” Navy Capt. Tim Hawkins, a CENTCOM spokesperson, told TWZ back in December. “The drone system has an extensive range and the ability to operate beyond line of sight, providing significant capability across CENTCOM’s vast operating area.”

....

“The Iranian regime has launched over 500 ballistic missiles and over 2,000 drones,” Adm. Brad Cooper said in a video message.

“Iran’s theater ballistic missile shots fired are down 86% from the first day of fighting, with a 23% decrease just in the last 24 hours, and their one-way attack drone shots are down 73% from the opening days,” Caine told reporters, including from The War Zone, at a Wednesday morning press conference. “This progress has allowed CENTCOM to establish localized air superiority across the southern flank of the Iranian coast and penetrate their defenses with overwhelming precision and firepower. We will now begin to expand inland, striking progressively deeper into Iranian territory and creating additional freedom of maneuver for U.S forces.”

More bombers and more fighters are arriving, just today,” Hegseth said. “And now with complete control of the skies, we will be using 500-pound, 1,000-pound and 2,000-pound GPS and laser-guided precision gravity bombs, of which we have a nearly unlimited stockpile.”

“We used more exquisite standoff munitions at the start, but no longer need to,” the secretary proclaimed. “Our stockpiles of those, as well as Patriots [air defense interceptors], remain extremely strong. The enemy can no longer shoot the volume of missiles they once did. Not even close.”

....

Another big factor in the reduction of Iranian missile launches could be how CENTCOM has concentrated striking command and control (C2) nodes, degrading Tehran’s ability to communicate and direct fires.

Iranian (C2) “structures in a bad way,” Caine posited. “Admiral Cooper has been continuing to pressure the [Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps] IRGC C2 and other military elements, and will continue to do so.”




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