Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

[YZT580]

Sean Speer is almost always a good read, and the headline is hard to disagree with- but I think he's missing the big picture.

No, Build Canada Homes won't solve the housing crisis in aggregate. Correct -"If your policy won’t move the big levers—zoning, approvals, and fees—you shouldn’t expect big results."

But- those big levers have already been pulled, to a degree that flirted with the line on Federal overreach. HAF exists, it has agreements in place across the vast majority of Canadian population centres, most of those agreements have multi-year implementation timelines, on projects and changes for which the impacts won't be seen for years. (First round of progress reports have been coming available online through 2025). Is it working, will it work? To soon to tell. But that's the Federal Government supply side play. It's in implementation mode, but drawing attention to a "hurry up and wait" situation on the policy of a deeply unpopular predecessor isn't exactly a political winner. Then there's immigration on the demand side, the multi-year weaning process. Again, long term. Again, drawing attention to the JT era. But those two things, as Sean identifies, are the "solutions" to the broader affordability crisis. But they need to be seen to be doing something more urgently, something they can talk about

So we get Build Canada Homes. A showy policy plank where the primary first order benefit is quite narrow in scope, essentially treating a symptom while waiting for the "cure" to take effect. Though there are very interesting potential second order impacts if the investment in scaling modular infrastructure and normalizing it's use can improve overall housing throughput outside of the direct purview of Build Canada Homes

and it will boost Carney's holdings significantly!

 

[Altair]

The Bloc might if they smell the ability to form official opposition. I know I know, but it happened before. That would probably also require the NDP to gain significant strength and eat away at the LPC which isn't really a threat right now.

I'll give the Bloc credit.

They are always open to make a deal. If they can get something for Quebec, they will support the government.

But if they cannot they are not afraid to throw down the gauntlet.

I know their fundraising numbers are nothing impressive but they only run in 78 ridings so I don't think their expenses are that high either. But I would imagine as a smaller party, they would want time to refill their coffers, but I would put them as a toss up in terms of wanting to do this all again within a year.

 

[Halifax Tar]

I'll give the Bloc credit.

They are always open to make a deal. If they can get something for Quebec, they will support the government.

But if they cannot they are not afraid to throw down the gauntlet.

I know their fundraising numbers are nothing impressive but they only run in 78 ridings so I don't think their expenses are that high either. But I would imagine as a smaller party, they would want time to refill their coffers, but I would put them as a toss up in terms of wanting to do this all again within a year.

The Bloc has some redeeming qualities. But their over all raison d'état I cant get behind.

But I can respect their commitment to their people.

 

[Remius]

The Bloc has some redeeming qualities. But their over all raison d'état I cant get behind.

Seperation correct?

But I can respect their commitment to their people.

Province before country.

 

[Altair]

Province before country.

Not hard to see why the UCP and Bloc/PQ get along so well.

 

[Halifax Tar]

Separation correct?

Correct.

Province before country.

In their case, yes. They are a Federal party in name only.

 

[ArmyRick]

The Bloc has some redeeming qualities. But their over all raison d'état I cant get behind.

But I can respect their commitment to their people.

Oddly enough (I have said this before) The Bloc is the most honest party in parliament, they have have no intent of ever forming government and represent one interest group.

 

[IKnowNothing]

and it will boost Carney's holdings significantly!

Because a 5B speck as part of a 900B conglomerate that doesn't operate in our country does the same thing?

Or because a small Ontario company (Royal Homes) is now being lead by former Brookfield Employee, in a bank (not Brookfield) funded acquisition?

 

[YZT580]

Because a 5B speck as part of a 900B conglomerate that doesn't operate in our country does the same thing?

Or because a small Ontario company (Royal Homes) is now being lead by former Brookfield Employee, in a bank (not Brookfield) funded acquisition?

you take whatever you can get. With his holdings it would be hard not to profit in any venture underwritten by the government. Prefabs make sense in our climate but it isn't THE way to increase the housing supply: it is just one way. It has the potential for actually reducing the labour available as construction would end up being done inside with more automation and the companies supply all their own people in teams to do the installation. There are pluses and a number of minuses too. Underwriting infrastructure and perhaps capping the municipal costs to reduce the overall price would be a better way to start.

 

[IKnowNothing]

you take whatever you can get. With his holdings it would be hard not to profit in any venture underwritten by the government.

Your words were

"and it will boost Carney's holdings significantly!"

Show your work

 

[dapaterson]

Underwriting infrastructure and perhaps capping the municipal costs to reduce the overall price would be a better way to start.

Provincial responsibilities, not federal, though.

 

[YZT580]

Provincial responsibilities, not federal, though.

since when has that stopped the liberals, actually any federal government from interfering? Daycare, health care are two examples