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Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

... Keep in mind there was blatant CBC, CTV (They muzzled Vassey during the election), Global were all pretty much cheerleading team red ...
Another interpretation on that bit in yellow could also be PP decided not to speak to Kapelos in spite of (likely) multiple invites to speak on one of her platforms (CTV, CFRB, etc.) during the whole "don't need to do MSM to win" phase. In fact, PP chose to speak to a conservative commentator last year on one of the Toronto radio stations Kapelos also does interviews on:

An update: CTV "unmuzzled" VK/PP decided to accept an invitation/PP decided talking to MSM makes sense a few days ago:
Decent watch - makes ya wonder why he didn't do this earlier in the three years or so he's been leader.
 
Another interpretation on that bit in yellow could also be PP decided not to speak to Kapelos in spite of (likely) multiple invites to speak on one of her platforms (CTV, CFRB, etc.) during the whole "don't need to do MSM to win" phase. In fact, PP chose to speak to a conservative commentator last year on one of the Toronto radio stations Kapelos also does interviews on:

An update: CTV "unmuzzled" VK/PP decided to accept an invitation/PP decided talking to MSM makes sense a few days ago:
Decent watch - makes ya wonder why he didn't do this earlier in the three years or so he's been leader.
One of the media strategies I kind of questioned (I think it was on the advice of Jenni Byrne) was being stand off ish to the Legacy/MSM Media.

I also feel last election, Pierre needed to highlight the talent on his team more (Larry Brock, Roman Baber, Michael Cooper, Michelle RG, etc). He has a lot of fire crackers and to the non-political junky population (like 80% of Canadians) they would have come to really respect the CPC more as a team.

Pierre seems to be doing more of that now, and I hope he continues to engage CANADIAN media more often (Who gives a rats piss if he engages amerian media), he did hit a few podcast but much too late in the election.

That being said, I think we are heading to another election within a years time unlss Carney secures some real and visible wins
 
One of the media strategies I kind of questioned (I think it was on the advice of Jenni Byrne) was being stand off ish to the Legacy/MSM Media.

I also feel last election, Pierre needed to highlight the talent on his team more (Larry Brock, Roman Baber, Michael Cooper, Michelle RG, etc). He has a lot of fire crackers and to the non-political junky population (like 80% of Canadians) they would have come to really respect the CPC more as a team.

Pierre seems to be doing more of that now, and I hope he continues to engage CANADIAN media more often (Who gives a rats piss if he engages amerian media), he did hit a few podcast but much too late in the election.

That being said, I think we are heading to another election within a years time unlss Carney secures some real and visible wins
His best talent is Mike Chong and PP is stifling him because he’s viewed as a direct threat to him.
If Chong was running the show I’d renew my membership.
 
His best talent is Mike Chong and PP is stifling him because he’s viewed as a direct threat to him.
If Chong was running the show I’d renew my memmembership
Interesting to see Rempel-Garner brought back into the fold. Wonder if that's back room fence/tent mending by PP or ring kissing by her
 
... I also feel last election, Pierre needed to highlight the talent on his team more (Larry Brock, Roman Baber, Michael Cooper, Michelle RG, etc). He has a lot of fire crackers and to the non-political junky population (like 80% of Canadians) they would have come to really respect the CPC more as a team ...
150%.

Agree or disagree with the policies, it makes sense giving people a sense of the team who would run things - he does have talent there, for sure. Also a good chance to try people out for different jobs down the road. That’s one of the ways they could look less like "nothing but opposing for the sake of opposing", and more like “this is the team you could have” (which is a bit more ... humanizing? than "this is the playbook you can have").

It’ll be interesting to see if PP continues this approach, and the look/feel/approach he'll choose before vs. after the Team Blue leadership vote.
 
Even the NDP's saying, "hey, you better be careful about those Chinese ...."
... after this:
 
Here’s some news -


Canada signs ‘game-changing’ trade deal with Indonesia, new defence pact​

The trade deal is comprehensive, meaning it opens up trade in multiple industries with the world’s fourth most populous country.
 
Here’s some news -


Canada signs ‘game-changing’ trade deal with Indonesia, new defence pact​

The trade deal is comprehensive, meaning it opens up trade in multiple industries with the world’s fourth most populous country.

Some figures on Canada’s exports to Indonesia. Predominately agricultural- potentially a fair bit of room for growth there? Even a modest decrease in import costs can potentially significantly impact the competitiveness of certain goods and services.

Liberalizing our trade with such a large population and growing economy is certainly a good thing.

 
Some figures on Canada’s exports to Indonesia. Predominately agricultural- potentially a fair bit of room for growth there? Even a modest decrease in import costs can potentially significantly impact the competitiveness of certain goods and services.

Liberalizing our trade with such a large population and growing economy is certainly a good thing.


Indonesia has the world's largest pulpmill and already regularly imports Canadian wood products. Finding a home for more of our NBSK fibre would be a great thing.
 
Indonesia has the world's largest pulpmill and already regularly imports Canadian wood products. Finding a home for more of our NBSK fibre would be a great thing.
With that many people and with farming being a large chunk of their economy, you’d think that Potash would be a shoe in to export to them.
 
With that many people and with farming being a large chunk of their economy, you’d think that Potash would be a shoe in to export to them.

We already are, big time...


 
With that many people and with farming being a large chunk of their economy, you’d think that Potash would be a shoe in to export to them.

We already are, big time...



I think we may have a 2 birds 1 stone opportunity.

 
For you? My answer is don't worry. Everything is going excellent for Carney and his brand of Liberals, nothing to worry about.
I mean, it's a minority parliament.

There are 5 parties in parliament, but 4 that that have any say on when the government falls.

By order of size.

LPC-do they call a new election if they are doing as bad as you say? Doubtful.

CPC-always ready for an election.

Bloc- To those who don't think this is the 3rd biggest party, they got MORE votes and more seats than the NDP despite running in one province versus the whole country. That said, they hold the balance of power in Ottawa, and I don't see them as flush with cash enough to want to run another election within a year. That said, they also aren't scared to stand on principle, so who knows, they might.

NDP-broke. Leaderless. And one election away from oblivion. They hold the balance of power now. They won't under a CPC or LPC majority. Why would they be complicit in their electoral destruction?

You say election within a year like the 3 opposition parties have an interest in seeing PP as PM. This is only true for one.

So when you say you see an election within a year, I keep wondering why the NDP or Bloc are so keen on having PMPP, or a LPC majority as to forgo their own interests to make that happen.

So how do you see an election within a year? Do the NDP win the lottery?
 
I mean, it's a minority parliament.

There are 5 parties in parliament, but 4 that that have any say on when the government falls.

By order of size.

LPC-do they call a new election if they are doing as bad as you say? Doubtful.

CPC-always ready for an election.

Bloc- To those who don't think this is the 3rd biggest party, they got MORE votes and more seats than the NDP despite running in one province versus the whole country. That said, they hold the balance of power in Ottawa, and I don't see them as flush with cash enough to want to run another election within a year. That said, they also aren't scared to stand on principle, so who knows, they might.

NDP-broke. Leaderless. And one election away from oblivion. They hold the balance of power now. They won't under a CPC or LPC majority. Why would they be complicit in their electoral destruction?

You say election within a year like the 3 opposition parties have an interest in seeing PP as PM. This is only true for one.

So when you say you see an election within a year, I keep wondering why the NDP or Bloc are so keen on having PMPP, or a LPC majority as to forgo their own interests to make that happen.

So how do you see an election within a year? Do the NDP win the lottery?

The Bloc might if they smell the ability to form official opposition. I know I know, but it happened before. That would probably also require the NDP to gain significant strength and eat away at the LPC which isn't really a threat right now.
 
Drifting into the Sargasso Sea of municipal development...

Sean Speer: Mark Carney’s Build Canada Homes agency won’t solve Canada’s housing crisis​


When the federal government declares itself a builder of first resort, municipalities have less incentive to fix their own rules. Why tough out local opposition to four- and six-plexes if Ottawa will write a cheque for a small number of units on federal land? The political economy here is perverse: federal builds can crowd out the urgency for systemic municipal reform even as they barely dent the national shortage.

None of this says social and supportive housing don’t matter. But the real housing crisis is a market scarcity problem. It requires market-scale solutions: legalize more housing types, reduce the cost and time to build, and align population inflows with construction capacity so we aren’t pouring demand into a fixed pipe. The federal government’s comparative advantage is setting conditions and incentives, not acting like a national developer.

By reframing the challenge as primarily one of non-market production, Build Canada Homes essentially guarantees under-performance. It addresses a narrow segment of housing while the wider market remains constricted. If your policy won’t move the big levers—zoning, approvals, and fees—you shouldn’t expect big results.

Sean Speer is almost always a good read, and the headline is hard to disagree with- but I think he's missing the big picture.

No, Build Canada Homes won't solve the housing crisis in aggregate. Correct -"If your policy won’t move the big levers—zoning, approvals, and fees—you shouldn’t expect big results."

But- those big levers have already been pulled, to a degree that flirted with the line on Federal overreach. HAF exists, it has agreements in place across the vast majority of Canadian population centres, most of those agreements have multi-year implementation timelines, on projects and changes for which the impacts won't be seen for years. (First round of progress reports have been coming available online through 2025). Is it working, will it work? To soon to tell. But that's the Federal Government supply side play. It's in implementation mode, but drawing attention to a "hurry up and wait" situation on the policy of a deeply unpopular predecessor isn't exactly a political winner. Then there's immigration on the demand side, the multi-year weaning process. Again, long term. Again, drawing attention to the JT era. But those two things, as Sean identifies, are the "solutions" to the broader affordability crisis. But they need to be seen to be doing something more urgently, something they can talk about

So we get Build Canada Homes. A showy policy plank where the primary first order benefit is quite narrow in scope, essentially treating a symptom while waiting for the "cure" to take effect. Though there are very interesting potential second order impacts if the investment in scaling modular infrastructure and normalizing it's use can improve overall housing throughput outside of the direct purview of Build Canada Homes
 
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