Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

[HavokFour]

Posting this clip, upto 10 more MPs still considering crossing the floor to the liberals. This would give Carney a very comfortable majority

https://twitter.com/x/status/2040875588575969657

10 seems very exaggerated, but I guess we'll see.

I wonder what the hell is going on internally in the CPC. Could Pierre stance on the HSR really be that unpopular within the party? I can't really think of anything else that's happened recently that would even come close to causing such a shift.

 

[MilEME09]

10 seems very exaggerated, but I guess we'll see.

I wonder what the hell is going on internally in the CPC. Could Pierre stance on the HSR really be that unpopular within the party? I can't really think of anything else that's happened recently that would even come close to causing such a shift.

Might be? Time will tell, could his HSR stance which goes against their election platform be part of it? Also possible a few MPs would definitely have their ridings benefit from it

 

[brihard]

10 seems very exaggerated, but I guess we'll see.

I wonder what the hell is going on internally in the CPC. Could Pierre stance on the HSR really be that unpopular within the party? I can't really think of anything else that's happened recently that would even come close to causing such a shift.

The internal party inquisition about social media posts and interviews may not have been super popular?

 

[Jarnhamar]

I wonder what the hell is going on internally in the CPC.

Maybe the MP's just developed a conscience and want to join party that lets them speak up about how delightful China and their labour practices are.

 

[Halifax Tar]

10 seems very exaggerated, but I guess we'll see.

I wonder what the hell is going on internally in the CPC. Could Pierre stance on the HSR really be that unpopular within the party? I can't really think of anything else that's happened recently that would even come close to causing such a shift.

I highly doubt there are ten, or honestly any more from the CPC. I could see any of the non-wacky NDP'ers crossing though. After that leadership convention and vote. Anyone anywhere close to blue collar or middle is not welcome there anymore.

But if Iam wrong, one more from the CPC must spell the end for PP.

Maybe the MP's just developed a conscience and want to join party that lets them speak up about how delightful China and their labour practices are.

It's always good to get your quisling card early. That really displays your loyalty.

 

[IKnowNothing]

The internal party inquisition about social media posts and interviews may not have been super popular?

I would be surprised if there were any more crossers, and more surprised if they came from the Shadow Cabinet members that got that email. But...

With the LPC poised to grab a (slim) majority, and CPC polling in the toilet- it's not a huge stretch to see that email as part of a potentially broader shift from campaign at any moment "war footing" into a more internally focused power consolidation and allignment phase. If the party thinks we're 2-3 years from the next election there's a lot more runway to push out unn-alligned MP's via procedural shenanigans, EDA takeovers, and whip pressure.

IF they do that, and IF a member sees the writing on the wall that they're going to be the Canadian version of "primaried" - the relative math on their re-election chances as independents or floor crossers fundamentally changes

A three way choice of: throw your principles aside and loudly join the chorus line, lose your CPC nomination and be out of parliament, face the backlash of defecting and having to run as a liberal/independent isn't one that I envy

 

[Eaglelord17]

I wonder if it is just the ‘red tories’ who have finally found a better alternative than the CPC with the Liberals moving back to the center.

If the LPC held a election put a bunch of CPC members in and kicked some of the more left leaning Liberals out that could be a hell of a party.