Attrition works well but it's too slow, and it seems they're looking for 24% cuts so the Day of Reckoning is probably nigh ...
Cap or cuts? Public servants have 40,000 reasons to worry
A former public service executive who managed cuts at CBSA speculates that tens of thousands of positions could be slashed.
Once final decisions are made, public service executives and managers will have the daunting task of realizing identified savings. The rolling three-year average attrition rate in the federal government is roughly 4 per cent or 10,000-12,000 employees per year. So, even at 40,000 FTEs, a significant portion of the desired FTE savings can likely come from not staffing current vacancies and using attrition.
Reductions that can’t be absorbed will likely result in the use of workforce adjustment to help employees find another job within growing sectors of the government or make the transition out of the public service altogether.
I was the lead director general for implementing the Deficit Reduction Action Plan targets at the CBSA from 2012 to 2014, under the government of then-prime minister Stephen Harper. We had to cut more than 1,000 FTEs.
We harvested salary savings from funded vacancies, used voluntary departures through early retirement, internally deployed staff from cut positions to vacancies, found offsets from new spending to deploy cut personnel to new jobs (where skill sets fit), and employed targeted use of workforce adjustment. In the end, the CBSA managed to realize its savings from 2012 to 2014 with fewer than 100 employees who lost their jobs involuntarily.
I think it’s reasonable for you and many public servants to be concerned about the next federal budget and coming FTE cuts. Few people know for certain how deep the cut side of the ledger will be (as opposed to the reinvestment side of new spending under a new “cap”). In any scenario, I would be doing you an injustice to say “don’t worry” because the net impact will be hard on people.
A former federal director general explains what $13B in savings could mean for job reductions across departments and what public servants should watch for in the months ahead.
ottawacitizen.com