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Taliban Information warfare

a_majoor

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From Small Dead Animals

http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/archives/004006.html

Countering The Taliban Propaganda Ministry (Ottawa Bureau)

Bill Roggio; http://counterterrorismblog.org/2006/05/the_inaccurate_taliban_offensi.php

    The news reports of a major Taliban offensive in southeastern Afghanistan are inaccurate, as Coalition offensives and Taliban attacks have been lumped together to give the impression of a coordinated Taliban assault in multiple provinces. A reading of the various reports indicates that while the Taliban has launched a major strike on a police station and government center in Helmand province and a small scale attack on a police patrol in Ghazni, as well as two suicide attacks against U.S. contractors in Herat and an Afghan army base in Ghazni, the fighting in Kandahar was initiated by Afghan and Coalition security forces during planned operations. Over 100 have been reported killed during the fighting, with 87 being Taliban. Well over half of those killed were killed during the Coalition offensives in Kandahar.

    There were two separate major engagements in Kandahar province, and both were initiated by the Coalition. Coalition forces conducted a raid and subsequent air strikes against a Taliban safe haven in the village of Azizi. As many as 27 Taliban are believed to have been killed during the operation. A joint Canadian and Afghan security force conducted a sweep in the Panjwai district of Kandahar, and killed 18 Taliban and captured 26 in the process. One Canadian officer was killed and three Afghan police were wounded during the operation.

    [...]

  It is important to understand how the fighting was initiated, as the current reporting is giving the impression of a coordinated Taliban uprising. This provides the Taliban with a propaganda victory, as their power is perceived as far greater than it actually is, which can negatively influence the government and peoples of the Coalition forces serving in Afghanistan. The narrow passage of the extension of the Canadian mission in Afghanistan (by a 149-145 vote in Parliament) illustrates the fragile nature of the support for the mission in some Western nations.


Emphasis mine. More on Afghanistan at Strategy Page. http://www.strategypage.com/qnd/afghan/articles/20060518.aspx

Bill goes to Afghanistan to embed with the Canadian Forces next week. Be sure to bookmark him.


Posted by Kate at May 20, 2006 03:51 PM
 
Continuing with this theam:

http://www.civitatensis.ca/archives/2006/05/21/863

The Aznar Effect in Canada

Two years ago last March, terrorists attacked Spain at the tail end of an election, and succeeded in making themselves influential in the debate and decision as to whether Spain should withdraw its soldiers from Iraq. In appearance or in effect, unfortunately, the new socialist government of Spain withdrew its soldiers.

In so doing, it gave the impression of succumbing to terrorist threats, and in turn Prime Minister Zapatero may have emboldened the terrorists into believing that they can make a difference in the long run.

We do not have an election situation at the moment in Canada, but we expect one anywhere between a year and two. We are already seing foreshadows of the same type of defeatists thinking among the local peaceniks. Fortunately, the illness seems to be mostly localised in Toronto. In reply to the question “The head of Canada’s spy agency says a terrorist attack in this country is now probable. Are you worried?” some Torontonians have been writing in to condemn Canada’s presence in Afghanistan a) as an American mission, b) as a source of a conspiracy by the military and security forces to acquire more materiel in Canada, c) as the source of a probable and future attack on Canada.

The implied extension of all this: it’s the fault of the Conservative government –the essence of the Aznar effect: a terrorist attack is the result of a specific politician’s policy  position, decision or series of decisions. Let’s not forget that some liberals in the US absurdly blame 9/11 on Bush.

The answers above may be such as they are because it was the Toronto Star asking the questions. Or because it was Torontonians answering in that way. Given Ignatieff’s public and well-known positions about defence against terrorism, and given his own assent to the extention of our troops’ presence in Afghanistan, it will be interesting to see who the Liberals pick as their new leader. If the party’s left radicalises, the discourse may polarise even more than it is now, Ignatieff’s position will not be appealing –unless he repudiates his previous positions, which would leave him as a flip-flopping Canadian version of John Kerry. Otherwise, we should expect a compromise candidate from the middle of the road, nauseatingly warm but neither cold or hot.

Considering that most of the candidates for the Grit leadership are Torontonians, they will also be more susceptible to the Toronto view. The country may be moving on in regards to terrorism, but Ontario is still stuck in its anti-Americanism, reacting to misperceived events from 5 years ago. The Liberal Party as a whole, no longer pressed to look less anti-American now that they are out of power, will likely suffer the same fate.

The Taliban have already announced that more attacks to Canadian troops will make Canadians leave Afghanistan. By that logic, an attack on Canadian soil, terrorists will think, will expedite their departure. Except for the minor fact that our government, our Parliament, just sent a signal that we’ll not let intimidation rule us. Our soldiers will remain in Afganistan for two more years after February.

That leaves a few Grits, the NDP and the Bloc, praying for the Aznar Effect around the next election.
 
Let’s not forget that some liberals in the US absurdly blame 9/11 on Bush.

I've already debunked the "Aznar effect" in previous posts, I am also one of those liberals who blame 9/11 on Bush. If it were not for Bush's willful suspension of intelligence activity against Al Qaeda, his determination to regulate Islamic Terror to a sideline issue, the woeful state of readiness of the CIA and FBI ( which Clinton also shares some blame for), his and Rumsfield's efforts to put the limelight on their missile defence program and (later)Iraq instead of the real threat of AQ terrorists, 9/11 may very well have been stopped. There's nothing absurd about it.
 
There is a very real problem in our media.  In reporting on science and the military (examples chosen because my own knowledge is sufficient to judge), the reporters often haven't got a clue what they are looking at, what the are talking about, or even what they are being told.  These same reporters are then interviewed by other reporters, thus become apparent "authorities" on the subject, and given more credibility than the military or govt sources who attempt to correct them.
    Often, if you track down a primary source, the initial report is the closest to correct, as the embedded reporters are often smart enough to learn from the troops around them.  The closer to Canada the report comes, the more it is rewritten by more senior reporters with no understanding, edited by Toronto or Montreal news editors who try to make it fit their own, media created, preconceptions and turned into alarmist garbage.
    There was a nice piece on the Newsworld about a year ago, about the frustrations of a CBC reporter in Jerusalem trying to tell his editor in Toronto what was happening in the streets around his home, and being overruled because it didn't match what his editor had gleaned from CNN and the BBC.  He laughed about sharing his frustrations with the CNN and BBC reporters in Jerusalem who were also being ignored.
    In the media, or the intelligence community, once an impression gets formed (right or wrong) all evidence to the contrary is usually ignored.  The weakness of our media, of most media in general, is due to an apathetic public who can't be bothered to take them to task for it.  If anybody wants the truth, primary sources are not that hard to track down.
 
Taliban Offensive Shot to Pieces
by James Dunnigan
June 1, 2006

The last two weeks have seen an ambitious Taliban offensive shot to pieces. As many as a thousand Taliban gunmen, in half a dozen different groups, have passed over the Pakistani border, or been gathered within Afghanistan, and sent off to try and take control of remote villages and districts. The offensive was a major failure, with nearly half the Taliban getting killed, wounded or captured. Afghan and Coalition casualties were much less, although you wouldn't know that from the mass media reports (which made it all look like a Taliban victory). The Taliban faced more mobile opponents, who had better intelligence. UAVs, aircraft and helicopters were used to track down the Taliban, and catch them. Thousands of Afghan troops and police were in action, exposing some of them to ambush, as they drove to new positions through remote areas. 

The Afghan and British governments are both accusing Pakistan of looking the other way as Taliban groups set up shop and openly operate in Pakistani border areas. Pakistan denies this, but anyone who is bold enough to travel to these areas, will see evidence of Taliban presence (including enforcement of conservative Islamic lifestyle practices.) In truth, the Pakistani government has never controlled many areas along the border, and is only now, for the first time in its history, trying to exert control.

May 23, 2006: In the last week, Afghan and Coalition operations in the south have killed some 300 Taliban, while losing 50 soldiers, police and civilians. In several incidents, Taliban used civilians as human shields, which led to civilian deaths.  British and French troops were heavily engaged, including British AH-64 gunships.

May 21, 2006: Coalition forces found that about a hundred Taliban gunmen were staying at a religious school near Kandahar in southern Afghanistan. Smart bombs hit the school in the middle of the night, but several dozen of the Taliban fled to nearby homes. As Afghan and Coalition forces closed in, the surviving Taliban fired back from nearby homes. So smart bombs were used on the homes as well, which killed about 16 civilians and wounded another twenty. Over 80 Taliban were killed, with no Afghan army or Coalition dead. The Taliban promptly spun their use of civilian homes, as human shields, as a Coalition atrocity.
 
It seems the Taliban wants Canada/Canadian Troops out of A-stan.  ::)

Scare tactic to get the Canadian public rowled up to pressure our Government to pull out after the extension of the current mission to Feb '09??  Or a threat to be taken serious that attacks/acts of terror could be put into action in Canada?

Or the Taliban yap yap yappin'...

http://sympaticomsn.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20060503/taliban_warning_060601

Taliban warns Cdn. troops to leave Afghanistan
CTV.ca News

A top Taliban official says Canadian troops should get out of Afghanistan and stop acting like Americans, or face the insurgents' wrath at the same level the U.S. has experienced.

The military commander and Taliban spokesperson, known as Mullah Dadallah, appeared on the Al-Jazeera television network this week.

"Our main enemy is the United States. As for Canada and the other countries, we have no historical enmity with them," Dadallah said, according to a report in The Globe and Mail on Friday.

"But if they want to come here as fighting forces, we will view then just as we view the Americans. America is a big snake that wants to bite everybody."

Canada currently has 2,300 soldiers in Afghanistan, and recently committed to remaining in the war-torn nation until at least 2009.

Since 2002, 16 Canadian soldiers and one diplomat have been killed in Afghanistan.

Dadallah advised Canada and the other multi-national forces in Afghanistan to abandon both the nation, and any attempts to defend or side with the U.S.

"If they return to where they came from, and withdraw their forces from here, we will not view them like the Americans."

Dadallah said the U.S. is using Canada, and others, to fight its battles for it, according to a transcript of the interview prepared by the Middle East Media Research Institute.

"Our advice to Canada and Britain is to refrain from defending the American propaganda, and from standing by this historic American crime. America wants to get other countries entangled in the crimes it committed in Afghanistan.

"Our advice to these countries is to avoid the heat of battle, because we will wreak vengeance upon them one by one, like we are doing with the Americans, if they remain here when the Americans are gone."

The warning marks one of the few occasions the Taliban has specifically mentioned Canada directly. The comments seem intended to strike fear in the hearts of troops, and to provoke distrust in the Afghan population.

Meanwhile, the Canadian military has gone to great lengths to build bridges with Afghans, holding informal, sit down meetings with village elders around the country to determine the needs of locals, as well as working to help provide vital services.

The Taliban has kept a relatively low profile since the U.S. invaded Afghanistan in 2001, but the insurgents appear to be stepping up efforts recently.

This week in Ottawa, Lt.-Gen. Michel Gauthier appeared before a Senate committee. He told members it is vital that Canadian troops strive for the support of locals, and said the work in Afghanistan will be accomplished by providing security and safety to Afghans.

"If they are still being terrorized by the Taliban, that terror might force them to vote with the Taliban," Gauthier said.

Jack Hooper, the deputy director of operations with the Canadian Security Intelligence Service, told the committee that Canada's work in Afghanistan will have ramifications outside the nation's borders.

"In the here and now, terrorism and insurgency are being brought to Canadians in Afghanistan," Hooper said.

"At some future point, if we are to learn the lessons of history, their practitioners may bring violence to the streets of our cities."



 
Here is the MEMRI translation of the Al-Jiz interview, along with the video clip.

http://memri.org/bin/latestnews.cgi?ID=SD118006

(It's actually a pretty good interview - roughly 10min - in which the Taliban commander delves into organization, contacts and what-not)
 
Is that "THE" James Dunnigan, formerly of SPI fame?
 
As do I.  I have his second edition of the Wargamer's Handbook.  I've never tried the game in it (Drive on Metz), but I will one day
 
"When the Americans are gone"  ::)

Uhm, if he did the math, even with the US draw down they still have more troops than ALL the other coalition or ASIF ISAF combined.

 
I suspect math is not his strong point, typical propaganda for Muslims audiences. Yes everything is going wonderfully send more money and your sons.
 
I know body counts don't mean much but 500 in 2 weeks sounds high doesn't it?  Would this also include the attacks on Canadians?
 
So, does this mean that they'll start targeting CF pers w/ VBIED/IED & ambushes?  ::)


Crapbag, I just soiled myself at the thought... I better get mommy to change my nappy.  ;D
 
"Our main enemy is the United States. As for Canada and the other countries, we have no historical enmity with them”
"But if they want to come here as fighting forces, we will view then just as we view the Americans. America is a big snake that wants to bite everybody."
"If they return to where they came from, and withdraw their forces from here, we will not view them like the Americans."
"Our advice to Canada and Britain is to refrain from defending the American propaganda, and from standing by this historic American crime. America wants to get other countries entangled in the crimes it committed in Afghanistan.
"Our advice to these countries is to avoid the heat of battle, because we will wreak vengeance upon them one by one, like we are doing with the Americans, if they remain here when the Americans are gone."

Pretty canny remarks – I think in these passages he’s speaking straight to Canadians who are either opposed to the war and/or wavering in support for it.
The Taliban have been reading our left-wing blogs and editorials, I strongly suspect, because these remarks play out like a checklist of the fears you typically find there.
If Dadullah-lips could have only thrown in the words “Stephen Harper is a puppet of George Bush” he would have hit for the cycle.

Don’t underestimate the power of this b.s. – we laugh it off, but I’m getting a mental picture of Jack Layton, arms outsretched, running around in circles yelling
“SEE! SEE! SEE! IT’S COMING TRUE!!!”
 
probum non poenitet said:
I’m getting a mental picture of Jack Layton, arms outsretched, running around in circles yelling
“SEE! SEE! SEE! IT’S COMING TRUE!!!”
me too, but my visual ends with him getting walloped in the kisser with a halibut
 
Unfortunately, the recent Taliban activity and Canadian casualties are working their magic on our media--see these posts at "The Torch":

'Afstan: The Globe's agenda secret no more--it's a "quagmire"'
http://toyoufromfailinghands.blogspot.com/2006/06/afstan-globes-agenda-secret-no-more.html

'Afstan: Globe reporter declares quagmire'
http://toyoufromfailinghands.blogspot.com/2006/05/afstan-globe-reporter-declares.html

Mark
Ottawa
 
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