The Russian dictator “got the drop” over Nato with “a decade of remilitarisation” in the Arctic before the
war in Ukraine began, says Ed Arnold, a senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, a London-based think tank.
Russia has peppered its Arctic regions with new military bases, upgraded the Northern Fleet to replace
ageing Soviet craft, and invested in hypersonic, highly precise cruise missiles like the
Tsirkon, whose 1,000km (621-mile) range brings Western targets into play.
However, the war in Ukraine has
stretched the Russian military and it is now “so much weakened it’s almost giving Nato a ‘get out of jail free’ card,” says Mr Arnold.
“If you invest and take this seriously now, you could potentially ensure supremacy in the Arctic” for the long term, he adds.