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Troop Level Decrease

Newguy1

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I was just reading this article http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/canada-just-can-t-get-around-army-cuts-hillier-says-1.1467584

If this proposal to cut the CAF down to 50,000 actually happens, what trades do you think would be most affected, aside from infantry?
 
It would depend on what the government directs the CAF not to do.  And would depend on whether the CAF was instructed to close bases.  Those decisions would heavily influence what occupations would be reduced.

Similarly, if the government decided to increase the size of the CAF, what they directed the CAF to increase would determine what would grow.  So direction to add more ships (say, going to 20 frigates, 6 submarines, 18 coastal defence vessels and 8 arctic patrol icebreakers) would result in a lot of new positions for hard sea trades, perhaps a few more aircrew and maintainers for maritime helicopters, but no growth for the infantry.
 
I was only 12 at the time so forgive me, but does anyone remember approximately how many Reg Force / PRes pers did the CAF have prior to 9/11/01?
 
Newguy1 said:
I was just reading this article http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/canada-just-can-t-get-around-army-cuts-hillier-says-1.1467584

If this proposal to cut the CAF down to 50,000 actually happens, what trades do you think would be most affected, aside from infantry?

If the price is right I'd gladly leave and do my part.  Lemme hear those three lil letters, starting with an F and ending with a P, with an R jammed in the middle.
 
Newguy1 said:
I was just reading this article http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/canada-just-can-t-get-around-army-cuts-hillier-says-1.1467584

If this proposal to cut the CAF down to 50,000 actually happens, what trades do you think would be most affected, aside from infantry?
I would hope that it be bandsman followed by TDO, PSel and PAO.
 
MCG said:
I would hope that it be bandsman followed by TDO, PSel and PAO.

So, that's less than 600 pers, all ranks.  And I'd argue that that capabilities that T Dev and PSel give are better vested in the Reg F.  Better to cut Cbt Arms (relatively low training cost occupations) and put more in the Res F for Force Generation and keep the higher training/education occupations in the Reg F.
 
dapaterson said:
So, that's less than 600 pers, all ranks.  And I'd argue that that capabilities that T Dev and PSel give are better vested in the Reg F.  Better to cut Cbt Arms (relatively low training cost occupations) and put more in the Res F for Force Generation and keep the higher training/education occupations in the Reg F.
I figured they would amount to small absolute numbers, but as percentage of occupation I would like to see them lead in the hits.  I agree with preserving support in the RegF, but I don't know that TDev and PSel provide  anything we could not get from civilian public servants.
 
It's not just senior/long service peers that would be tempted to leave. There's more than one in the Junior Ranks that would be happy enough to walk - given the right incentive. But with the job market the way it is, we aren't all going to sign off our IE25's without a little "sugar".
 
The numbers point to the obvious.  If you wish to cut 10,000 positions, the Army field force is where you have to go, as it houses 15,000 of the 60,000 Regular Force positions (25%).  I don't believe there is ways to get around cuts here if you reduce the size of the regular force.
 
I don't mean to take this thread off topic at all, so forgive me for my little bit of a short rant/sidetrack. 

But why on earth would we DECREASE the number of personnel in our military, while the world still has a great demand for the types of operations we are capable of. 

If the reasoning behind decreasing the number of personnel is purely financial, why can't we stop wasting tens - if not hundreds - of millions of dollars in the beaurocratic mess they call defence procurement? 

Why can't we streamline the process, make common sense and rational decisions, and work to proactively provide our military with modern equipment in a streamlined and well organized fashion.

(Example - it costs $10M per year to keep the project office open re: new trucks.  $10M can buy A LOT of trucks, yet every year we keep this project office open that is $10M worth of trucks that we can no longer buy, as that money was spent on the project office.  Just one of MANY examples.)

I think we need to sit down, stop shooting ourselves in the foot, and get organized.  Have a clear direction for what the government wants from the CF, create a streamlined and cost effective method of procuring equipment, and get our ducks in a row. Until that happens, I think decreasing the number of personnel is absolutely absurd. 

Just my 0.02
 
Spectrum said:
It's not just senior/long service peers that would be tempted to leave. There's more than one in the Junior Ranks that would be happy enough to walk - given the right incentive. But with the job market the way it is, we aren't all going to sign off our IE25's without a little "sugar".

I highly doubt that will happen. Some public servants were hoping for golden handshakes and they never came. But the cuts have.  They'll start with attrition and hiring freezes then targeted cuts.  No FRP, no sugar.
 
Crantor said:
I highly doubt that will happen. Some public servants were hoping for golden handshakes and they never came. But the cuts have.  They'll start with attrition and hiring freezes then targeted cuts.  No FRP, no sugar.

We'll if they do,  I'm on the FRP wagon too!  Or what ever the would call it now so as to distance them selves from the previous expedition into force reduction.
 
CBH99 said:
I don't mean to take this thread off topic at all, so forgive me for my little bit of a short rant/sidetrack. 

But why on earth would we DECREASE the number of personnel in our military, while the world still has a great demand for the types of operations we are capable of. 

If the reasoning behind decreasing the number of personnel is purely financial, why can't we stop wasting tens - if not hundreds - of millions of dollars in the beaurocratic mess they call defence procurement? 

Why can't we streamline the process, make common sense and rational decisions, and work to proactively provide our military with modern equipment in a streamlined and well organized fashion.

(Example - it costs $10M per year to keep the project office open re: new trucks.  $10M can buy A LOT of trucks, yet every year we keep this project office open that is $10M worth of trucks that we can no longer buy, as that money was spent on the project office.  Just one of MANY examples.)

I think we need to sit down, stop shooting ourselves in the foot, and get organized.  Have a clear direction for what the government wants from the CF, create a streamlined and cost effective method of procuring equipment, and get our ducks in a row. Until that happens, I think decreasing the number of personnel is absolutely absurd. 

Just my 0.02

In my pea sized brain, the answer to why they would wish to decrease is simple...there is an election due and the Govt wants to be able to claim a balanced budget.  To do that they have to cut expences which means cutting CF numbers.  Cancelling contracts for CF purchases has already been done to death and to do more would mean contractors get pissed and ridings get lost.  Cut 10, 000 CF personnel means big savings and fewer pissed off voters across the board, not concentrated in ridings where damage could be wrought.
 
Infanteer said:
The numbers point to the obvious.  If you wish to cut 10,000 positions, the Army field force is where you have to go, as it houses 15,000 of the 60,000 Regular Force positions (25%).  I don't believe there is ways to get around cuts here if you reduce the size of the regular force.
If cuts were targeted at WO to CWO and to Maj+, how much reductions do you think we could squeeze from redundant and/or bloated HQs?
 
MCG said:
If cuts were targeted at WO to CWO and to Maj+, how much reductions do you think we could squeeze from redundant and/or bloated HQs?

Redundant yes, bloated is a matter of interpretation.  If the GoC, Treasury Board and all the other intertwined departments who like to stick their fingers into things, would stop imposing silly checks/balances and control measures on some of our activities, then yes, absolutely, you could reduce the HQ staff.  But it just keeps getting worse.

Now a days, due to "segregation of duties" aspects, it takes three different people, just to pay a friggin phone bill or approve a claim.      :facepalm:
 
Schindler's Lift said:
In my pea sized brain, the answer to why they would wish to decrease is simple...there is an election due and the Govt wants to be able to claim a balanced budget. 

In my peas sized brain, the solution to their balanced budget would be NOT to continue sending billions upon billions of dollars overseas in aid and forgivable loans to failing states.







Now I will be off to invest in my 649 Retirement Plan.
 
MCG said:
If cuts were targeted at WO to CWO and to Maj+, how much reductions do you think we could squeeze from redundant and/or bloated HQs?

That's nice and all but just how do you tell folks with that kind of time in that "Even though you've done nothing wrong, we're firing you just because you managed to work your way up our rank structure."?
 
Maybe the same way as has been told to reduced civilian PS and Class B reservists in recent years.
We could also follow the same approach as the civilian workforce reduction which allowed pers to self-identify for the reductions ... Self-identifiers would be let go, and enduring positions would be freed for those who want to stay.
 
DAA said:
Redundant yes, bloated is a matter of interpretation.  If the GoC, Treasury Board and all the other intertwined departments who like to stick their fingers into things, would stop imposing silly checks/balances and control measures on some of our activities, then yes, absolutely, you could reduce the HQ staff.  But it just keeps getting worse.

Now a days, due to "segregation of duties" aspects, it takes three different people, just to pay a friggin phone bill or approve a claim.      :facepalm:


Your point about unnecessary check and control measures imposed by other departments and agencies, especially the ones involved in social engineering, is a good one and it's very valid.

But: it does not alter the fact that the CF has too many HQs, that if you delayered (cut redundant HQs) the resulting C2 superstructure would still be overstaffed, and, perhaps most important, that the CF has too many too senior officers.

The CF needs less gold (fewer GOFOs) and more grey (ships and aircraft) and green (tanks and guns and helicopters, and, and, and ...).
 
We could buy out a lot of the PATs who have been in the training system for 2.5 years and still haven't made it through... since they are all (almost all, if not all) on a 3 yr VIE that would mean a cheap buy-out of untrained pers.
 
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