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Trump administration 2024-2028

All that gerrymandering in Republican states sure helped. It probably would have been an even bigger tsunami had they not gone through that exercise. 🤣
Honestly it for the most part failed as non MAGA Republicans voted Blue as a protest.

The biggest take away is that the Dem’s didn’t really win, the vote was really solely an indictment of President Trump and his administration.
Both Parties now have 2 years to find an acceptable Candidate more to the middle to appeal to voters down here like Carter and Regan did and gain the middle while ignoring the fringes.
 
... Both Parties now have 2 years to find an acceptable Candidate more to the middle to appeal to voters down here like Carter and Regan did and gain the middle while ignoring the fringes.
I think that bit in yellow'll be the toughest for both teams.
 
Honestly it for the most part failed as non MAGA Republicans voted Blue as a protest.

The biggest take away is that the Dem’s didn’t really win, the vote was really solely an indictment of President Trump and his administration.
Both Parties now have 2 years to find an acceptable Candidate more to the middle to appeal to voters down here like Carter and Regan did and gain the middle while ignoring the fringes.
Evidence that first past the post is very bad for America. Causes way to many separate political positions to be forced into two political camps.
 
The overall result of this mid-term is pretty status quo if you look back: Incumbent president loses seats in house and senate. News at 11.
Don’t forget 10% of the U.S. Governors flipping to Team Blue. Your previously ā€œit’s all fineā€ chart forgot to include that ā€˜never happened before’ metric. šŸ˜‰
 
What, exactly, are you insinuating here. I'd like you to clarify this statement, because at the moment it comes off as nothing other than pure bigotry.
That is not insinuation. It is as strong a dog whistle as I have heard in a while, and I would characterise it as bad faith bigotry in absence of facts.

However, it is possible that this is yet another troll post given longstanding proclivities - but that is a rather charitable take on it.

I do not feel that charitable.
 
Honestly it for the most part failed as non MAGA Republicans voted Blue as a protest.

The biggest take away is that the Dem’s didn’t really win, the vote was really solely an indictment of President Trump and his administration.
Both Parties now have 2 years to find an acceptable Candidate more to the middle to appeal to voters down here like Carter and Regan did and gain the middle while ignoring the fringes.

Trump has announced he will become a "political pundit" following Republican losses in the 2026 midterm elections.

...This seems like a solid strategy, what could possibly go wrong :ROFLMAO:
 
Honestly it for the most part failed as non MAGA Republicans voted Blue as a protest.
Correct. This was a "vote against", not "vote for" election (which is usually the case with a US midterm).
The biggest take away is that the Dem’s didn’t really win, the vote was really solely an indictment of President Trump and his administration.
Mostly, but not solely. As people have been noting here for the past couple of years, the Republicans mostly had a do-little Congress since 2024. Conservative Americans also noticed, and have been talking and writing about it for all that time.
Both Parties now have 2 years to find an acceptable Candidate more to the middle to appeal to voters down here like Carter and Regan did and gain the middle while ignoring the fringes.
Here is where it gets interesting. The Democratic win is - despite what a lot of people seem to think - not really historic by the numbers (Senate, House, governors); what makes it stand out (and I have not read anyone - yet - mention this except a handful of pre-election articles) is that this was supposed to be a "difficult map" year for Democrats. An emphatic win is better than a close result or even a mediocre surge, especially since they have majorities in both legislative bodies. It puts Democrats squarely in charge in Congress, with no doubts. It also reduces the likelihood of members at the extreme left commanding any outsize weight in the internal party decision processes.

It isn't just the presidential candidate choices that are going to matter in two years. Parties can interpret legislative chamber victories generally in one of two ways: the people voted to throw out the other guys; the people voted for our platform.

I predict the Democrats are going to believe the latter (most victors do, but with a two-year election cycle, it's common in the US for the counter-rebuke to be received pretty soon). There are a couple of major indicators that this belief would be wrong. One is that Republican turnout was good, but didn't deliver Republican wins. Another is that conservative-oriented propositions did well on ballots. If conservatives are voting against their incumbents but still supporting conservative policy aims, it suggests this was a "throw out" election.

Another choice for Democrats is how they split their time among these three broad categories: investigating their political enemies; passing their wish-list without any consideration for what Trump thinks; negotiating with Trump to effect meaningful change in the top four or five items US voters nominate when asked.

Given the way some are talking, a lot of emphasis is going to go to the first. Given their past history as a party in opposition to a Republican president, a lot of emphasis is going to go to the second. Very little time will be left for the third, which is actually what voters are mostly likely to reward.

A wild card is whether Democrats will be foolish enough to remove the Senate legislative filibuster rule. As a matter of tactics, it makes little sense for a party to do so except under one set of circumstances: immediately after capturing the trifecta (presidency, Senate, House) with a first-term president. To remove the rule in the face of a presidential veto would be to reap all the negatives with very few (maybe none) positives.

If conservative voters, having contributed to throwing out members of their own team, see the other team simply trying to administer punishment and pursue the left-liberal dream list, they're highly likely to return home in 2028.
 
Senate currently stands at 54(D) to 44(R). We may see that moonshot of 56 seats.

Mississippi is so close it's going to be a few weeks until it gets figured out.

Alaska is currently leaning Democrat with 75% in.

The House projection is currently looking like 258(D) to 177(R).
Let's say 56 seats for now. It would then take 11 Republicans to vote against the president in a Senate Trial. Ten Republicans voted against him last time. You have to wonder that some of them might want to have him as far in the review mirror the next time that they are up for election.
 
Let's say 56 seats for now. It would then take 11 Republicans to vote against the president in a Senate Trial. Ten Republicans voted against him last time. You have to wonder that some of them might want to have him as far in the review mirror the next time that they are up for election.
While everyone is speculating as to whether Democrats really want to impeach and convict Trump at this point, or whether they just want to use impeachment as one of the many tools to keep their outrage pot steadily boiling, think about the tactics.

By the time a Congress that might be able to impeach Trump is sitting and can start working through its processes, Trump will have passed the point at which his successor (Vance) will have less than two years of the term remaining to serve. That makes Vance potentially eligible for two more full terms.

The likelihood should be high that after two Republican terms (let alone two terms of which at least six years have been served by Trump), voters will choose any reasonable Democrat over any Republican. But if Democrats successfully remove Trump AND Vance does his own thing AND Democrats nominate a candidate preferred by the left-most third or so of the party (which means probably not preferred by the right-most third, let alone independents), there's a substantial risk Vance gets at least one more full term. The first of those conditions is a prerequisite. The second can be guessed at by noting that VPs who ascend to the presidency generally do their own thing regardless what they did to stick to the scripts of a prior administration. The third condition is in the realm of substantial possibility.

So the risk of successful impeachment is that Vance executes an abrupt swerve in a direction favoured by Republicans and independents. I doubt very much he's going to follow in Trump's shoes with respect to temper and expression. If moderate Democrats lose a nomination fight to the currently very much influential leftmost side of the party, they could be locked out of the presidency for another eight years.
 
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