I was wrong on my criteria for "urban" centre. Currently, Statistics Canada defines "urban" as:
Part B – Detailed Definition
An urban area has a minimum population concentration of 1,000 persons and a population density of at least 400 persons per square kilometre, based on the current census population count. All territory outside urban areas is classified as rural. Taken together, urban and rural areas cover all of Canada.
For example, a town of 5,000 persons, or a town that has 500 pers living in a sq km (relatively easy to find) is not "rural".
Based on this, I would suggest that very few of our soldiers, and thus even fewer of our casualties, come from "rural" areas as Canada defines them. There may be some "city-centricism" going on here: the mentality that says that if it isn't a big metropolitan city it's Hicksville.
The posts you provided are interesting, but we might want to be careful about drawing direct parallels to US demographics. For example, the UNH piece suggests that "lower education" is a prime motivator in young rural Americans joining the military. Is this true of Canadian recruits? And what does "lower education" mean here? Not finished high school? Didn't get good grades? Didn't go on to post secondary? My impression has always been, especially in the last few years, that the education level amongst Canadian Regular Force Combat Arms NCMs was higher than that for their US Army peers, (but I certainly stand to be corrected on this one.) I have sat on a few NCM selection and promotion boards at the national level, and I was struck by the number of MCpls/Cpls with community college diplomas and in some cases partial or complete degrees, which appeared to have been obtained before entry. I believe it is also true that our soldiers are generally about 2-5 years older in rank than their US peers, which might mean more time to get that education. On the other hand, the US Army was offering educational incentives to its NCMs long before we started to take it seriously, so perhaps I'm wrong.
Second, the issue of "low income" (shorthand for "poverty"?). Again, my impression is that our military, including the RegF CbtA, is overwhelmingly middle class, with some lower middle class. I do agree that there was a time when the Army was a refuge for the poor and poorly educated in Canada (keeping in mind that some of those people became excellent soldiers...), but I am having a hard time squaring that with what I have seen and experienced over the last few years.
I'm happy for currently serving folks to challenge me on this.
Cheers
DJB