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What if....A Super disaster? Impact on Canada or the world? Napkin speculation

Boom... literally ;)


Disaster risk profile warns Canada ill-prepared for a major earthquake​


The first draft of a new national disaster risk assessment report warns that a major earthquake in British Columbia or parts of Ontario and Quebec could swiftly become the most costly natural disaster Canada has seen.

The national risk profile published Thursday morning is the government’s first attempt to identify the biggest threats Canada faces from natural disasters and to find ways to limit the possible damage.

“It’s kind of like driving down the highway, and this is our attempt to illuminate — to turn the lights on and illuminate further down the road so that people can anticipate hazards,” said Emergency Preparedness Minister Bill Blair at a news conference.

This first report is addressing floods, fires and earthquakes. Extreme heat and hurricanes will come in the next version.

And at the moment, even though floods and fires have become annual problems in much of the country the Canadian public seems ill-informed and ill-prepared for the growing risks of natural disasters.

There are also major gaps in government planning, limited knowledge of what mitigation measures will work best, and problems co-ordinating between levels of government when disaster strikes.

The report said that in 2021, a public opinion survey found three-quarters of Canadians felt they lived in low- or moderate-risk areas for natural disasters, and all but a small portion of the rest said they had no idea what their risk level was.


Further, only one in 10 Canadians had done anything to reduce the risk a weather-related emergency posed to their home.

Earthquakes are rarer in Canada than flooding and wildfires, but when a big one hits the damage will be far greater.

British Columbia is at risk for an earthquake of up to a 9.0 magnitude. For comparison, the quake that hit Turkey and Syria in February was a 7.8. It was a 9.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan that triggered a 15-metre tsunami in 2011, disabling the power supply and cooling systems at a nuclear power plant.

The Insurance Bureau of Canada said in the report that damages from a 9.0 quake in B.C. could top $75 billion. To date, the costliest natural disaster in Canada was the 2017 wildfire in Fort McMurray, Alta., which resulted in about $10 billion in losses.

Quebec has two seismic zones, and while resulting earthquakes aren’t likely to have as high a magnitude as those in B.C., the insurance bureau estimates a major quake there could cause up to $61 billion in losses. The Charlevoix Seismic Zone in northeastern Quebec has had a least five earthquakes greater than 6.0 magnitude in the last four centuries.

“Expected losses from a 1-in-500 year earthquake in the Charlevoix Seismic Zone or on Canada’s West Coast would be higher than any natural hazard the country has experienced,” the report said.

What raises the earthquake risk even more is that the zones will touch on many of Canada’s most populated cities — Vancouver, Montreal, Ottawa, Toronto and Quebec City.



 
The federal government is a major source of humanitarian and disaster relief funding, which is readily available when someone knows where to search and how to apply for the available funding. Here are a few quick examples:

Breton, D. (2023, May 11). Parliamentary Committee Notes: Humanitarian Workforce Program. Public Safety Canada. Parliamentary Committee Notes: Humanitarian Workforce Program

Chronic Pain Centre of Excellence for Canadian Veterans. (2022). Funding Opportunities: Capacity Building Initiatives. Funding - Veterans Chronic Pain Centre of Excellence

Indigenous Services Canada. (2023, Jan 18). Emergency Management. Government of Canada. Emergency management

Public Safety Canada. (2022, May 4). Government of Canada funds NGOs to build capacity, respond to emergencies, and keep communities safe. [News release]. Government of Canada. Government of Canada funds NGOs to build capacity, respond to emergencies, and keep communities safe - Canada.ca

I’ve written an article and submitted a conference paper on the response to Hurricane Fiona in September 2022. So I look forward to the next release of Canada’s national risk profile in 2024, where they intend on sharing their results on the topic.
 
Now this sounds like good advice... while we have time:


The head of the World Health Organization urged countries across the globe to prepare for the next pandemic, warning that future health emergencies could be even worse than the COVID-19 pandemic.

And prepare now while we still have companies and organizations that have resources and experience from dealing with Covid. Those skills and capabilities will soon be lost/atrophied as we return to our "normal" way of doing (or not doing) things.
 
Now this sounds like good advice... while we have time:


The head of the World Health Organization urged countries across the globe to prepare for the next pandemic, warning that future health emergencies could be even worse than the COVID-19 pandemic.
The herd could use a good culling. And if that includes me so be it.

The Black Plague killed a quarter of the European population. Humanity will rebound.
 
Canadians can not afford another pandemic. With all the political pork barreling and individual debts incurred through COVID19, it will take 40 years to pay this off.

Edit: Correct spelling.
 
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Canadians can not afford another pandemic. With all the political pork barreling and individual debts incurred through COVID19, it will take 40 years to pay this off.

Edit: Correct spelling.

Glass half full: if the next pandemic is way more nasty than COVID it could prove to be alot cheaper - in a variety of ways ;)
 
Simple solution, ban air travel next time, like all of it and back to ships to move people and quarantine stations.
If JT is still in power, we’ll likely see tricks from close friend Xi’s pandemic solutions play book…locking people physically into their living space…lock, weld, barrage, board up, etc.
 
If JT is still in power, we’ll likely see tricks from close friend Xi’s pandemic solutions play book…locking people physically into their living space…lock, weld, barrage, board up, etc.
Nah, he’ll just call you a racist if you want to ban flights from China if it’s ground zero for the next plague.
 
If JT is still in power, we’ll likely see tricks from close friend Xi’s pandemic solutions play book…locking people physically into their living space…lock, weld, barrage, board up, etc.

Also, I would like to see healthcare withheld from those who make "poor health choices". We can create a list that is much more comprehensive than simply the the C19 vaccine status. This way we aren't wasting precious health care resources on those who clearly don't take their own health seriously. For the smokers out there, your time having freedom in society is over. Slamming back 2L of Pepsi and a gallon of ice cream before knocking off for the night? Well, you just voided your entire health/dental care plan with that terrible habit. Think of the good this will do!
 
Also, I would like to see healthcare withheld from those who make "poor health choices". We can create a list that is much more comprehensive than simply the the C19 vaccine status. This way we aren't wasting precious health care resources on those who clearly don't take their own health seriously. For the smokers out there, your time having freedom in society is over. Slamming back 2L of Pepsi and a gallon of ice cream before knocking off for the night? Well, you just voided your entire health/dental care plan with that terrible habit. Think of the good this will do!

Can they also withhold their taxes then ?
 
Also, I would like to see healthcare withheld from those who make "poor health choices". We can create a list that is much more comprehensive than simply the the C19 vaccine status. This way we aren't wasting precious health care resources on those who clearly don't take their own health seriously. For the smokers out there, your time having freedom in society is over. Slamming back 2L of Pepsi and a gallon of ice cream before knocking off for the night? Well, you just voided your entire health/dental care plan with that terrible habit. Think of the good this will do!

Maybe you could help China further develop their social credit system, which seems a bit patchy at the moment ;)


China just announced a new social credit law. Here’s what it means.​

The West has largely gotten China’s social credit system wrong. But draft legislation introduced in November offers a more accurate picture of the reality.

... since the central government has given little guidance on how to build a social credit system that works in non-financial areas, even in the latest draft law, it has opened the door for cities and even small towns to experiment with their own solutions.

As a result, many local governments are introducing pilot programs that seek to define what social credit regulation looks like, and some have become very contentious.

The best example is Rongcheng, a small city with only half a million in population that has implemented probably the most famous social credit scoring system in the world. In 2013, the city started giving every resident a base personal credit score of 1,000 that can be influenced by their good and bad deeds. For example, in a 2016 rule that has since been overhauled, the city decided that “spreading harmful information on WeChat, forums, and blogs” meant subtracting 50 points, while “winning a national-level sports or cultural competition” meant adding 40 points. In one extreme case, one resident lost 950 points in the span of three weeks for repeatedly distributing letters online about a medical dispute.

Such scoring systems have had very limited impact in China, since they have never been elevated to provincial or national levels. But when news of pilot programs like Rongcheng’s spread to the West, it understandably rang an alarm for activist groups and media outlets—some of which mistook it as applicable to the whole population. Prominent figures like George Soros and Mike Pence further amplified that false idea.

 
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