• Thanks for stopping by. Logging in to a registered account will remove all generic ads. Please reach out with any questions or concerns.

Zero Option – Potential complete international military withdrawal by end 2014

McG

Army.ca Legend
Reaction score
2,354
Points
1,160
With President Karzai playing the belligerent card, and a billions of dollars incentive for the US to pull-pole, the possibility exists for a significantly accelerated departure of international military presence in Afghanistan.  I cannot picture many nations remaining if the US leaves.  Maybe Turkey.  I am sure India would be ready to establish a small advisor presence.

While Karzai is pushing back, it seems most other members of the political leadership want to get this signed.

How this plays out will have a significant deciding effect on the whether our efforts in the country will have enduring benefits or not.

Obama’s “Zero Option” Saves $111 Billion in Afghanistan
David Francis
The Fiscal Times
06 August 2013

See more at: http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Articles/2013/08/06/Obamas-Zero-Option-Saves%20-111-Billion-in-Afghanistan#sthash.CwS1hqmG.dpuf

Afghanistan-US deal 'hinges on Taliban peace talks'
BBC News
25 January 2014

"Afghanistan will absolutely not accept or sign anything under pressure," he said at a news conference on Saturday.

Most Nato-led foreign combat forces are due to leave this year, as combat operations are declared to be over.

Without a deal, the US will not be able to keep troops in Afghanistan after the end of 2014.

The pact, known officially as the Bilateral Security Agreement, was agreed in principle last year, but Mr Karzai has consistently refused to sign it.

The agreement would see up to 15,000 international troops remain behind to train and mentor Afghan forces.

Some special forces would stay to conduct "counter-terror operations".

In December, a top Afghan general warned that his nation may be dangerously exposed without the deal, in the face of continuing Taliban violence.

On Saturday, President Karzai said that peace in his country lay in the hands of the US and Pakistan, demanding that they bring the Taliban to the negotiating table.

"If the US is not willing to accept our conditions, they can leave anytime and we will continue our lives," he told reporters in the Afghan capital, Kabul.

"Our main condition is the practical start of a peace process, [which] would mean that no foreigners can benefit from the continuation of war."

Mr Karzai added that if he were to sign the deal, he would become responsible if Afghans were killed by US bombs.

He called on the US to be a friend not a rival, but then compared them directly with colonial Britain in the 19th Century - imposing deals on Afghanistan that ultimately led to war, the BBC's David Loyn, in Kabul, reports.

The US government is increasingly considering the zero option and recall all troops from Afghanistan after this year, our correspondent says.

Last month, the head of Afghanistan's ground forces, Lt Gen Murad Ali Murad, told the BBC the army would struggle without US support.

"Without the foreign forces we will have challenges and problems when it comes to the equipping and training of the Afghan national army," he said.

"We don't share the view that Afghanistan will slip back into civil war but we need more support and resources so we can deal with the threat posed by the insurgents especially during elections."

After months of negotiation, the pact was endorsed at a national gathering (Loya Jirga) of Afghan elders in Kabul in November.

Mr Karzai, who has served two terms as Afghanistan's first and only president since the Taliban were ousted from power in 2001, is obliged by law to stand down after elections in April.

The Nato-led international peacekeeping force (ISAF) handed security for the whole country over to Afghan forces last year, but some 57,000 soldiers remain, of whom some 38,000 are Americans, according to the latest Isaf figures.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-25893296
 
Looks like Karzai is bringing Afghanistan closer and closer to making the same mistake as Iraq.  With the US military seeing massive cuts, I am sure they would rather see thier tax money stay at home right now.
US planning full Afghan pullout, Obama tells Karzai
BBC News
25 February 2014
President Barack Obama has warned his Afghan counterpart Hamid Karzai that the US may pull all of its troops out of his country by the year's end.

Mr Obama conveyed the message in a phone call to Mr Karzai, who has refused to sign a security agreement.

The US insists this agreement must be in place before it commits to leaving some troops behind for counter-insurgent operations and training.

The US has had troops in Afghanistan since 2001 when it toppled the Taliban.

Its forces went into the country following the 9/11 attacks on the US. With Afghan and Western allies, they quickly overthrew the Taliban authorities, but have faced insurgent attacks since then.

Correspondents say the disagreement over the bilateral security agreement (BSA) is the latest step in the long and deteriorating relationship between Washington and Mr Karzai, who was once seen as a key US ally.

The BSA, which offers legal protection for US troops and defines a post-2014 Nato training and anti-insurgent mission, was agreed by the two countries last year after months of negotiation.

It was endorsed at a national gathering (Loya Jirga) of Afghan elders in Kabul in November.

But Mr Karzai has refused to sign the deal until a peace process is under way with the Taliban, adding that if he were to sign it, he would become responsible if Afghans were killed by US bombs.

"President Obama told President Karzai that because he has demonstrated that it is unlikely that he will sign the BSA (Bilateral Security Agreement), the United States is moving forward with additional contingency planning," the White House said in a statement.

"Specifically, President Obama has asked the Pentagon to ensure that it has adequate plans in place to accomplish an orderly withdrawal by the end of the year should the United States not keep any troops in Afghanistan after 2014.

"Furthermore, the longer we go without a BSA, the more likely it will be that any post-2014 US mission will be smaller in scale and ambition."

While Mr Karzai has refused to sign the BSA, some candidates in April's Afghan presidential elections have indicated they would.

Mr Karzai, who has served two terms as Afghanistan's first and only president since the Taliban were ousted from power in 2001, is obliged by law to stand down after the next election.

Analysts say the US statement clearly implies that Mr Karzai's stance will harm his country's security long after he leaves office.

The White House statement came as US Defence Secretary Chuck Hagel flew to Brussels for a Nato meeting at which Afghanistan is due to be discussed.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-26346115

 
Back
Top