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Israeli strikes on Iran (2024, 2025, etc.)

HavokFour said:
This is currently happening too. With luck they are political prisoners escaping looking to change things, and not actual criminals. It's a ton of people.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1934703154865840138
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Lotsa out-migration going on, for sure ...
www.theguardian.com

‘There’s a smell of death in the air’: chaos in Tehran as residents try to flee or find shelter

Ferocity of Israeli strikes has taken many by surprise, with people rushing to buy petrol and food amid the bombs
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
Czech_pivo said:
What we don’t need is a protracted 5yr civil war with 5-8 million new refugees flooding Europe
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The ghost of the Iraq war has entered the chat, again ...
 
It sure seems like Iran is running short on launchers, or people to operate them. Last 2 salvos have had less than 10 missiles each. The one before last was only 5.
 
brihard said:
Super legit NOTAM. Whiteman AFB is ‘closed for maintenance’.

Whiteman is where the B2s live.
Click to expand...
A little aside to that, it seems the FAA has reverted to the original meaning of NOTAM. There must be no big problems left to solve.

On February 10, 2025, the term "Notice to Air Missions (NOTAM)" was changed to "Notice to Airmen (NOTAM)", and the title of FAA Order 7930.2 was changed to "Notice to Airmen (NOTAM)".
Click to expand...
 
HavokFour said:
The son doesn't seem to take too much after the father, politically. From what I've found, SAVAK of the past wouldn't mesh very well with his more liberal beliefs today specifically on human rights. If anything his years in exile might have been beneficial.

en.wikipedia.org

Reza Pahlavi, Crown Prince of Iran - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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According to Terry Glavin, the Crown Prince's faction has been causing division among the anti-Khomeinist diaspora.

therealstory.substack.com

The end of the world as we know it

And I feel fine, mostly. There's a lot of good news out there.
therealstory.substack.com therealstory.substack.com

I’d like to think the time has come as well but Iran’s disaffected masses have no effective leadership to turn to, and the opposition in exile is deeply fractured. I’m not at all sure that it has helped that Netanyahu’s government has given every appearance of having invested all its hopes in Reza Pahlavi, the “exiled prince” and son of the deposed Shah of Iran.

For some very deep background on the Canadian diaspora and the unhelpful role Pahlavi’s supporters have been playing in the effort to unite the opposition, it’s below the paywall here. For a more global view, I know of no assessment of Iran’s democratic opposition and its tumults that’s better than Arash Azizi’s The Fiasco of Iranian Diaspora Politics.
Click to expand...

More background here:

therealstory.substack.com

And what fresh hell awaits us this week?

A round-up on journalism's highs & lows: Pharmacare Frenzy, Airdrops in Gaza, Spies in Winnipeg & some previously paywalled content with a brief post by that star candidate the Conservatives ditched.
therealstory.substack.com therealstory.substack.com

newlinesmag.com

The Fiasco of Iranian Diaspora Politics

How personal schisms and political myopia in the opposition abroad prevented the Woman, Life, Freedom movement from bringing down the Islamic Republic
newlinesmag.com newlinesmag.com

https://twitter.com/x/status/1934745869821370570

brihard said:
Trump has left G7 early, and in the past half hour has tweeted these on his Truth Social account:


View attachment 93986

Not sure if we’re at “hold on to your butts” yet but it’s feeling a bit closer…
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Oh Jesus, this doesn't bode well.
 
Kilted said:
I don't think that there should be any Western troops on the ground, western bombs, well......
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Maybe a few “observers” with a penchant for long range shooting…but I’m sure the IDF has a handle on that
 
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