Israeli strikes on Iran (2024, 2025, etc.)

[The Bread Guy]

Trump to leave G7 summit early for ‘important matters’. Live updates here.

World leaders are gathering today in the mountain-flanked pastures of Kananaskis, Alta. for this year’s G7 summit.

www.ctvnews.ca

Trump making his G7 exit early to deal with what appears to be a serious ramp up of US action in the Middle East….

Getting busier for him, for sure ...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1934761092317635066

... with this from his own socials

...

 

[HavokFour]

Getting busier for him, for sure ...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1934761092317635066

... with this from his own socials
View attachment 93987
...

This is currently happening too. With luck they are political prisoners escaping looking to change things, and not actual criminals. It's a ton of people.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1934703154865840138

 

[Czech_pivo]

This is currently happening too. With luck they are political prisoners escaping looking to change things, and not actual criminals. It's a ton of people.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1934703154865840138

What we don’t need is a protracted 5yr civil war with 5-8 million new refugees flooding Europe

 

[OldSolduer]

What we don’t need is a protracted 5yr civil war with 5-8 million new refugees flooding Europe

It needs to come to a conclusion macht schnell.

Within 30 days

 

[The Bread Guy]

This is currently happening too. With luck they are political prisoners escaping looking to change things, and not actual criminals. It's a ton of people.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1934703154865840138

Lotsa out-migration going on, for sure ...

‘There’s a smell of death in the air’: chaos in Tehran as residents try to flee or find shelter

Ferocity of Israeli strikes has taken many by surprise, with people rushing to buy petrol and food amid the bombs

www.theguardian.com

What we don’t need is a protracted 5yr civil war with 5-8 million new refugees flooding Europe

The ghost of the Iraq war has entered the chat, again ...

 

[HavokFour]

It sure seems like Iran is running short on launchers, or people to operate them. Last 2 salvos have had less than 10 missiles each. The one before last was only 5.

 

[daftandbarmy]

It sure seems like Iran is running short on launchers, or people to operate them. Last 2 salvos have had less than 10 missiles each. The one before last was only 5.

Seems they remembered they left the bath running in their Moscow apartments...

 

[brihard]

Super legit NOTAM. Whiteman AFB is ‘closed for maintenance’.

Whiteman is where the B2s live.

 

[lenaitch]

Super legit NOTAM. Whiteman AFB is ‘closed for maintenance’.

Whiteman is where the B2s live.

A little aside to that, it seems the FAA has reverted to the original meaning of NOTAM. There must be no big problems left to solve.

On February 10, 2025, the term "Notice to Air Missions (NOTAM)" was changed to "Notice to Airmen (NOTAM)", and the title of FAA Order 7930.2 was changed to "Notice to Airmen (NOTAM)".

 

[PrairieFella]

Lotsa out-migration going on, for sure ...

‘There’s a smell of death in the air’: chaos in Tehran as residents try to flee or find shelter

Ferocity of Israeli strikes has taken many by surprise, with people rushing to buy petrol and food amid the bombs

www.theguardian.com

The ghost of the Iraq war has entered the chat, again ...

I hope we avoid whatever the Americans are about to do like the fucking plague.

 

[OldSolduer]

I hope we avoid whatever the Americans are about to do like the fucking plague.

Like we could realistically field a very substantial force.....but having said that I agree.

Stay out of it.

 

[PrairieFella]

Like we could realistically field a very substantial force.....but having said that I agree.

Stay out of it.

We dont need another Afghanistan is what I'm getting at.

 

[daftandbarmy]

We dont need another Afghanistan is what I'm getting at.

My guess is they're going for a 'Syria' vs. an 'Afghanistan'.

All we need are some ground forces to enter stage left...

 

[HavokFour]

Iran may have just done a massive stupid. If it were just one I might have said it was an accident, but with Iran's threats...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1934795792046272750

 

[brihard]

Iran may have just done a massive stupid. If it were just one I might have said it was an accident, but with Iran's threats...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1934795792046272750

I mentioned this in the Israel/Gaza thread in reply to @daftandbarmy , it looks like a collision between two tankers.

 

[RangerRay]

The son doesn't seem to take too much after the father, politically. From what I've found, SAVAK of the past wouldn't mesh very well with his more liberal beliefs today specifically on human rights. If anything his years in exile might have been beneficial.

Reza Pahlavi, Crown Prince of Iran - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

According to Terry Glavin, the Crown Prince's faction has been causing division among the anti-Khomeinist diaspora.

The end of the world as we know it

And I feel fine, mostly. There's a lot of good news out there.

therealstory.substack.com

I’d like to think the time has come as well but Iran’s disaffected masses have no effective leadership to turn to, and the opposition in exile is deeply fractured. I’m not at all sure that it has helped that Netanyahu’s government has given every appearance of having invested all its hopes in Reza Pahlavi, the “exiled prince” and son of the deposed Shah of Iran.

For some very deep background on the Canadian diaspora and the unhelpful role Pahlavi’s supporters have been playing in the effort to unite the opposition, it’s below the paywall here. For a more global view, I know of no assessment of Iran’s democratic opposition and its tumults that’s better than Arash Azizi’s The Fiasco of Iranian Diaspora Politics.

More background here:

And what fresh hell awaits us this week?

A round-up on journalism's highs & lows: Pharmacare Frenzy, Airdrops in Gaza, Spies in Winnipeg & some previously paywalled content with a brief post by that star candidate the Conservatives ditched.

therealstory.substack.com

The Fiasco of Iranian Diaspora Politics

How personal schisms and political myopia in the opposition abroad prevented the Woman, Life, Freedom movement from bringing down the Islamic Republic

newlinesmag.com

https://twitter.com/x/status/1934745869821370570

Trump has left G7 early, and in the past half hour has tweeted these on his Truth Social account:


View attachment 93986

Not sure if we’re at “hold on to your butts” yet but it’s feeling a bit closer…

Oh Jesus, this doesn't bode well.

 

[Kilted]

I hope we avoid whatever the Americans are about to do like the fucking plague.

I don't think that there should be any Western troops on the ground, western bombs, well......

 

[OldSolduer]

I don't think that there should be any Western troops on the ground, western bombs, well......

Maybe a few “observers” with a penchant for long range shooting…but I’m sure the IDF has a handle on that

 

[HavokFour]

That wasn't a very long tenure.

IDF: We Eliminated Iran's New Chief of Staff Overnight

www.ynetnews.com

Trump said 2 very interesting things recently on Truth Social.

 

[daftandbarmy]

At least they said 'Iran Bad'

G7 Leaders’ statement on recent developments between Israel and Iran

We, the leaders of the G7, reiterate our commitment to peace and stability in the Middle East.

www.pm.gc.ca