The War in Ukraine

[Rifleman62]

Gee, drone debris sure cause a lot of damage.

 

[HavokFour]

So it's not just in the south, things have suddenly turned very bad for the Russians in Sumy as well.

https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com%2Fpost%2F3lyvnrrlbxs2z

Not painting a pretty picture.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1967970572073119753

 

[HavokFour]

More fruit, time to hit the refineries even harder.

However, Transneft, which handles more than 80% of all the oil extracted in Russia, has in recent days restricted oil firms' ability to store oil in its pipeline system, two industry sources close to Russian oil firms told Reuters.

Transneft has also warned producers it may have to accept less oil if its infrastructure sustains further damage, the two sources said.

Exclusive: Russia close to cutting oil output due to drone attacks, sources say

Russia's oil pipeline monopoly Transneft has warned producers they may have to cut output following Ukraine's drone attacks on critical export ports and refineries, three industry sources said on Tuesday.

www.reuters.com

 

[Colin Parkinson]

Some interesting video and comments in this video

 

[ueo]

One of the interesting things I am hearing is that holding the high ground matters in drone warfare as it give you better signal strength and range.

High ground has always mattered!

 

[HavokFour]

As of September 16, 2025.

Provided by @KHoholenko

This thread by Prune60 is a good read on the fuel situation. Notably, diesel has begun to spike in price.

https://bsky.app/profile/prune602.bsky.social%2Fpost%2F3lyyax7yo3c2p

 

[Czech_pivo]

As of September 16, 2025.

Provided by @KHoholenko

This thread by Prune60 is a good read on the fuel situation. Notably, diesel has begun to spike in price.

https://bsky.app/profile/prune602.bsky.social%2Fpost%2F3lyyax7yo3c2p

Begs the question as to why Yaroslavl hasn't been set ablaze yet as its certainly an outlier.

 

[HavokFour]

Begs the question as to why Yaroslavl hasn't been set ablaze yet as its certainly an outlier.

It may be benefitting from Moscow (and it's AD) being in the path. Then again, the refinery in Moscow has been hit before so who knows.

Slavneft'-Yaroslavnefteorgsintez · Дом 130 Московский проспект ГСП, Yaroslavl, Yaroslavl Oblast, Russia, 150023

★★★★☆ · Oil refinery

www.google.com

EDIT: Correction, it's been targeted before but not successfully hit... yet. Handy map below.

Refineries

Russian oil refineries

www.scribblemaps.com

 

[Czech_pivo]

It may be benefitting from Moscow (and it's AD) being in the path. Then again, the refinery in Moscow has been hit before so who knows.

Slavneft'-Yaroslavnefteorgsintez · Дом 130 Московский проспект ГСП, Yaroslavl, Yaroslavl Oblast, Russia, 150023

★★★★☆ · Oil refinery

www.google.com

EDIT: Correction, it's been targeted before but not successfully hit... yet. Handy map below.

Refineries

Russian oil refineries

www.scribblemaps.com

Moscow 'shielding' it very well might be what's saving it.

 

[HavokFour]

This cannot be sustainable. Russia has only gained ~0.60% more of Ukraine this year, total.

https://bsky.app/profile/leoskyview.bsky.social%2Fpost%2F3lz2ofdjb4c2a

 

[daftandbarmy]

This cannot be sustainable. Russia has only gained ~0.60% more of Ukraine this year, total.

https://bsky.app/profile/leoskyview.bsky.social%2Fpost%2F3lz2ofdjb4c2a

“Hard pounding this, gentleman; let's see who will pound the longest.”

- Arthur Wesley, 1st Duke of Wellington at the Battle of Waterloo.

 

[Czech_pivo]

“Hard pounding this, gentleman; let's see who will pound the longest.”

- Arthur Wesley, 1st Duke of Wellington at the Battle of Waterloo.

Have to wonder if he was thinking of his school days at Eton when he was saying that.

 

[HavokFour]

September isn't over yet.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1968595537524928796

 

[KevinB]

One wonders what the Russian pain point is.
Clearly it isn’t combat losses, whether this is a national pride issue, or the locations/types of recruits isn’t clear.

However with the significant punishment the Russia petroleum industry is taking, one wonders if this may be it. The petroleum exports both legitimate (frankly I’m appalled that they haven’t been 100% embargoed) and shadowy fleet operations are the only thing keeping the economy from utter collapse.

Because if the economy collapses any further, then we will see a near mirror to the conditions that lead to the overthrow of Tsar Nicholas. Tsar Vlad is a pretty solid student of history, and knows that. The question is what is his off route? At this point he can’t just pack up the fam and do a runner to a non extradition country, as Ukraine will go Israeli to get him.

 

[Maxman1]

18 Russian officers killed in sabotage attack in Ukraine's south, Kyiv claims

Unknown individuals set fire to dry grass near the Russian army’s command post near the village of Voskresenka on Aug. 30, the Ukrainian project "I Want to Live" said. The fire reportedly quickly spread to buildings and dugouts at the site.

kyivindependent.com