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Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

Or… and entertain this for a moment… the US is keeping its powder dry for a potential engagement with China over Taiwan. Hence pressuring the EU to rearm to counter Russia, hence countering China at the Panama Canal and with Venezuela.

I guess the US wants to avoid being embroiled in the UKR reducing its ability to counter China if it tries to take Taiwan.
 
Or… and entertain this for a moment… the US is keeping its powder dry for a potential engagement with China over Taiwan. Hence pressuring the EU to rearm to counter Russia, hence countering China at the Panama Canal and with Venezuela.

I guess the US wants to avoid being embroiled in the UKR reducing its ability to counter China if it tries to take Taiwan.
Or...entertain this for a moment...

If the USA thought for a second that it could defend Taiwan, would defend Taiwan, wanted to defend Taiwan,it wouldn't be rushing at breakneck speed to build semiconductor plants in the USA.

The USA, and Europe most recently, are actively trying to prepare for a world where they won't be getting their semiconductors from Taiwan anymore. I wonder why?
 
Hey sorry. I’m trying to get this to a rule specific enough to be enforceable. I hen we talk about “crossing the floor” really we’re talking about leaving one caucus to sit with another. In and of itself that’s not a formal thing; federal law doesn’t define caucus membership.

What I believe you want to prevent is MPs who don’t faithfully represent the party whose banner they campaigned under, and you want that to go to the extent of if they step out from under that banner, they lose their seat. I’m trying to figure out how a legally enforceable rail could be written.

Nothing would stop an MP who’s a member of the Rhinocerous Party from not formally leaving that party, but nonetheless casting their vote alongside the Kangaroo Party. Rhinocerous party could of course kick them out of caucus for that… But how do you write that into being a rule where someone loses their seat in Parliament?

Losing a seat in Parliament outside of an election is deliberately very hard. Members of the House can themselves formally vote to expel a member. I don’t fully know, but suppose that would be a straight majority vote. Parliamentary privilege of a powerful and weird thing.
Could it not be as straightforward as writing a rule saying exactly that though?

"If an elected MP wants to change what party they work under, they must first vacate their seat & win the subsequent byelection."

The rule wouldn't even need to be enforced from a practical or tangible standpoint, because it would be more of a procedural matter than anything. No??


Boom! Done! <slaps my hands together, pretending I just did something that required more than moving my thumbs>


For one thing, voters don’t go to the polls trying to elect a specific composition of the HoC. They vote in 336 or so individual elections for the person or party they want to represent them. There is no way voters can choose the makeup of the House. I’m pretty sure no Liberal or Tory voter went to the polls hoping to elect a minority government for any party. I’m sure they wanted to win an stonking majority for their party. All I can do as a partisan is hope a majority of of those 336 elections are won by my party. If they don’t, well that’s democracy.

And if that representative crosses the floor? They were elected by their constituents to use their judgment on how best to represent their constituents. If the constituents don’t like their judgment or decisions, they can vote them out in the next election.
All fair points, and you are absolutely right.

Broadly speaking, at the macro level, it iiisss democracy. If voters don't approve of that MP's choices or performance, they can always elect someone else come the next election.


But does that not seem like a dirty, or inefficient, or perhaps even dangerously lazy way for a democracy to run?

4 years is a long time. A lot can happen in 4 years. A lot of damage can be done in 4 years.


...


And you are right - every voter (for the most part) wants their preferred party to win a majority, and nobody knows what the makeup of the HoC will end up looking like once the ballots have been counted.

I DO think that whether a party forms a majority government or not should be decided at the ballot box, by the voters - NOT stumbled into because some nitwit decides to cross the floor less only 7 months after an election.

...

In my opinion, with the way things are currently set up, it would be way too easy for a politician to be bribed, enticed, maybe even blackmailed into crossing the floor...and BAM!

For the next 4 years, we wouldn't really have an opposition. Meaning the government can basically do almost whatever it wants.

And IF we end up in a situation where the government can essentially do whatever it wants, shouldn't we vote for that??

It's a bit rich for us to call ourselves a democracy when the government uses subversion & dishonesty to skirt the vote of the people and give themselves a majority.



Anyways, Cheers Guys 🍻
Happy New Years Eve!! 🥳🥳🍻🍻
 
And IF we end up in a situation where the government can essentially do whatever it wants, shouldn't we vote for that??
Miramichi-Grand Lake, N.B. – 394 votes CPC beats LPC

Windsor-tecumseh lakeshore, Ont. -233 votes CPC beats LPC

Nunavut, 77 votes NDP beats LPC

We were 707 votes away from that possibility anyways. While every vote matters, are you seriously going to say that 707 voters knew their vote was the difference between a majority and minority and thus held the will of the nation in their voting booth?

Also, majority governments are not dictatorships.
 
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"If an elected MP wants to change what party they work under, they must first vacate their seat & win the subsequent byelection."
The "rule" would have to be judged by the court to be a reasonable limitation on Charter Sec. 2 (freedom of association) and Sec. 3 (right to stand for election).
 
The "rule" would have to be judged by the court to be a reasonable limitation on Charter Sec. 2 (freedom of association) and Sec. 3 (right to stand for election).
I kind of like the alternative if any such rule were implemented

"I, Mr Ma/d'entremont will not be leaving the Conservative Party of Canada. I will however, be voting with the Liberal Party of Canada for the remainder of this session until the next election when I officially make the switch."
 
I kind of like the alternative if any such rule were implemented

"I, Mr Ma/d'entremont will not be leaving the Conservative Party of Canada. I will however, be voting with the Liberal Party of Canada for the remainder of this session until the next election when I officially make the switch."
I'm sure his constituents and the CPC party whip would be 100% behind that.
 
Miramichi-Grand Lake, N.B. – 394 votes CPC beats LPC

Windsor-tecumseh lakeshore, Ont. -233 votes CPC beats LPC

Nunavut, 77 votes NDP beats LPC

We were 707 votes away from that possibility anyways. While every vote matters, are you seriously going to say that 707 voters knew their vote was the difference between a majority and minority and thus held the will of the nation in their voting booth?

Also, majority governments are not dictatorships.
not officially, no. But demonstrate to me where Trudeau's leadership embraced democratic ideals. And it wasn't even a true majority although Jagmeet allowed him to act as if it was.
 
I kind of like the alternative if any such rule were implemented

"I, Mr Ma/d'entremont will not be leaving the Conservative Party of Canada. I will however, be voting with the Liberal Party of Canada for the remainder of this session until the next election when I officially make the switch."
That’s exactly what the workaround would be, and why I asked if being fired from caucus would trigger the same consequences.
 
I'm sure his constituents and the CPC party whip would be 100% behind that.
The rule as suggested by @CBH99 would result in exactly that.

MPs aren't going to cross the floor and have it result in a bi election. They will simply circumvent the rules.

The next rule would have the whip and the party be able to control MPs votes or kick them out of caucus forcing them into a bi election.

At which point you no longer have MPs able to vote according to their conscience, you have 338 lapdogs and yes men and women, with 5 party leaders.

Or if they are kicked out of caucus and are the allowed to freely move to the party they want, you just have a bunch of unnecessary stupid steps for the exact same result.

The rules CBH99 is advocating for would create more issues than it solves, and the issue they are trying to solve isn't that big a issue 99 percent of the time.

It's just that this one instance where a party is a stone's throw from a majority and the opposition has MPs that are disgruntled that is causing this to be a perfect storm.

If PP or PMMC had won 200 seats, and a MP crossed the floor, nobody would bat an eye. But in this one case, lets make a bunch of rules in search of a problem.
 
not officially, no. But demonstrate to me where Trudeau's leadership embraced democratic ideals. And it wasn't even a true majority although Jagmeet allowed him to act as if it was.
I compare Trudeau to Doug Ford, Danielle Smith, Francois Legault and I think he was fine.

Premiers with majorities have been acting much worse than Trudeau did with his minority. Case in point, Alberta bill 14.
 
That’s exactly what the workaround would be, and why I asked if being fired from caucus would trigger the same consequences.
The results would be either the exact same thing as now with a bunch of useless steps, kabuki theater of MPs not leaving their parties but voting with the opposition, or parties with ironclad control over the MPs.

I don't know how any of this is a improvement.
 

Many countries expected the EU to back down on the “green tariff” rules, in the same way that other environmental regulations have recently been watered down, but the bloc has pressed ahead despite protests from China, the US, Australia and others.

So now Europe will have a carbon price on goods entering the EU. That industrial carbon tax may come in handy. I expect PP to continue to rail about it however despite turning to Europe to increase our exports.
 



So now Europe will have a carbon price on goods entering the EU. That industrial carbon tax may come in handy. I expect PP to continue to rail about it however despite turning to Europe to increase our exports.
We should have the exact same thing if we are going to keep the stupid tax. I have been saying for years all we are doing is subsidizing foreign industry at the cost of our own.
 
We should have the exact same thing if we are going to keep the stupid tax. I have been saying for years all we are doing is subsidizing foreign industry at the cost of our own.
The underlined says it all. Carbon taxes on our own products makes them less competitive so we go elsewhere for our goods. Our own industry loses market and goes bust. In order to level the playing field, we add a tax or tariff to the same product coming in. So now everyone is paying X% more for those same goods. Since we need the product we still buy it but either fewer or less frequently. Our industry has now recovered its market share but the entire market is smaller. Reduced output = reduced profit which translates to fewer jobs. So what have you accomplished? You haven't reduced carbon output (if that is really necessary), you haven't improved living standards and you haven't cleaned up the atmosphere. All you have done is give Ottawa, Paris, Bonn or whereever more tax money to spend.
 
Also, majority governments are not dictatorships.

Well, even Mr. Liberal Establishment himself, Geoffrey Simpson acknowledged majority governments in Canada are essentially elected dictatorships. He wrote a whole book about it.

It’s a big failure in our system that no one wants to change when they have the power to do so. Since Pierre Trudeau, power has been centralized in the PMO. Every PM since has promised to devolve power back to Cabinet and Parliament; every PM since has centralized more power in the PMO.

Otherwise, I agree on the futility and unconstitutional nature of trying to force MPs to remain with the caucus they were elected under. It would just make our current system of electing trained seals worse.
 
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