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Iran Super Thread- Merged

Bombardier or Viking should create a meme about the good old DASH 8 coming to the rescue, with a big old Made in Canada you silly orange bugger…
It wasn’t DASHes. CASA (Airbus) C-295 Persuader, apparently USAF has a half dozen for stuff like this. Confusingly (for us) they’re in their 427 Special Operations Squadron. But yeah, the fact that European built aircraft eventually pulled them out is worth a chuckle given current tensions.

Video of a C-295 low over Iran yesterday:


I’ll be curious to hear if the ‘stuck in sand’ account holds up or if the aircraft at the FARP were damaged by ground fire.

Regardless of the fine details and the equipment losses, incredible work put in to recover their people. BZ to everyone involved.
 
It wasn’t DASHes. CASA (Airbus) C-295 Persuader, apparently USAF has a half dozen for stuff like this. Confusingly (for us) they’re in their 427 Special Operations Squadron. But yeah, the fact that European built aircraft eventually pulled them out is worth a chuckle given current tensions.

Video of a C-295 low over Iran yesterday:


I’ll be curious to hear if the ‘stuck in sand’ account holds up or if the aircraft at the FARP were damaged by ground fire.

Regardless of the fine details and the equipment losses, incredible work put in to recover their people. BZ to everyone involved.
Hmmm, that silhouette looks like one of the big yellow planes that flies up and down our valley every few weeks.
 
Saw this on Truth,.

Message to Iranian leaders from President Trump:


Can't be having too much focus on the successful rescue, instead of himself.

Does this mean his 48 hour ultimatum is reset? Or did he originally mean 72 hours?

FOX is also quoting him today saying he think's he'll have a deal on Monday. Setting himself up for more eggs to the face, perhaps a breakfast TACO?

 
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<yawn> give it a day and he'll be posting about negotiations with the regime.
It’ll have to be in time for markets open. Wait for futures trading to open this evening and to absolutely shit itself, and then he’ll say something reassuring after a few anomalous whale trades buying cheap positions.
 
It’ll have to be in time for markets open. Wait for futures trading to open this evening and to absolutely shit itself, and then he’ll say something reassuring after a few anomalous whale trades buying cheap positions.
Fool them once; shame on Trump. Fool them two, or three, or four or five times; shame on them.

;)
 
The markets havent been rational since the Great Recession. Its all vibes based.
They’re rational- at least the individual actors pretty much all are. Overall prices, but specially in derivatives trading, is just highly responsive to short term micro stuff with the futures market everyone’s gonna be trying to anticipate the swing and get a price edge. The trading price swings reflect anticipated pricing of the same derivatives in a short span of time rather than the underlying fundamental value of whatever asset is being traded. Once markets open Monday, actual stock price movements will still be wild, but are still trading on what investors think stability will look like in a few weeks or months.
 
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At what point does the signal emanating from Trump become noise?
 
Yes - ‘You too can join up and have a chance to star in your very own version of Running Man.’
Might do wonders for recruitment.

It does help recruiting and retention. There's something comforting in knowing that heaven and earth will be moved to get you home.

That WSO climbed a hill thousands of feet with a broken ankle and under fire. Because he knew if he got to the top with a clear signal he was guaranteed to get home.
 
It wasn’t DASHes. CASA (Airbus) C-295 Persuader, apparently USAF has a half dozen for stuff like this. Confusingly (for us) they’re in their 427 Special Operations Squadron. But yeah, the fact that European built aircraft eventually pulled them out is worth a chuckle given current tensions.

Hmmm, that silhouette looks like one of the big yellow planes that flies up and down our valley every few weeks.

The Canadian version is higher performing. We required performance upgrades to meet our SAR performance requirements. Actually, they might have rebaselined the American version to our base frame.
 
At what point does the signal emanating from Trump become noise?
Most of it has been for quite a while… But there’s still enough that can impact profit and loss. And I’d say a shooting war considerably amplifies that. He’ll post “open the fuckin’ strait!” on social media and bomb some bridges. Iran will respond with an AI LEGO music video telling him to eat a dick and they’ll hit another smelter or refinery, and now there’s a couple percentage points’ supply destruction of a key industrial input resource out of commission for a year. So even his snippets of signal amidst the noise matter.
 
At what point does the signal emanating from Trump become noise?
Never, unfortunately. Some of what is emitted becomes policy. People whose jobs depend on eking advantages by making accurate predictions/guesses have to try.

Without meaning to, and for all the wrong reasons, the Trump administration ends up gaining the advantages of formlessness.
 
Most of it has been for quite a while… But there’s still enough that can impact profit and loss. And I’d say a shooting war considerably amplifies that. He’ll post “open the fuckin’ strait!” on social media and bomb some bridges. Iran will respond with an AI LEGO music video telling him to eat a dick and they’ll hit another smelter or refinery, and now there’s a couple percentage points’ supply destruction of a key industrial input resource out of commission for a year. So even his snippets of signal amidst the noise matter.

Two years ago?

I agree with both of you.

Now ask yourselves if that could be exploited by his own establishment.

Not the people that showed up for the MAGA assemblies but the people that financed him, that got him elected and that wrote papers and presentations describing alternate, unexploited courses of action.

I think we all can agree that as much as any individual could be enthralled by the possibility of absolute power the American system makes that hard to achieve.

For a while the most powerful man in the world was the British Prime Minister who enjoyed considerable freedom of action while everyone's attention was focused on the potentially tyrannical monarchs whose actions were tightly constrained by law, custom and practice.

For all the sound and fury have there been material changes in the international situation that can be exploited to the benefit of the US and others? And if so who also benefits?

Trump may be the George III that the Americans feared.
Does he have a North or Pitt who actually govern?
 
Never, unfortunately. Some of what is emitted becomes policy. People whose jobs depend on eking advantages by making accurate predictions/guesses have to try.

Without meaning to, and for all the wrong reasons, the Trump administration ends up gaining the advantages of formlessness.

The key words there are never and some.

I disagree on never.
I agree on some.
The some gets masked by all of the possibilities that may come to pass.

I absolutely concur on the advantages of formlessness.

In a transparent world decoys are your only friend.
 
Most of it has been for quite a while… But there’s still enough that can impact profit and loss. And I’d say a shooting war considerably amplifies that. He’ll post “open the fuckin’ strait!” on social media and bomb some bridges. Iran will respond with an AI LEGO music video telling him to eat a dick and they’ll hit another smelter or refinery, and now there’s a couple percentage points’ supply destruction of a key industrial input resource out of commission for a year. So even his snippets of signal amidst the noise matter.
Meme deleted
 
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