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Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

I will throw in my 2 cents (and take the trashing that comes with it)
On by elections, the only surprise is that the Bloc didn't compete more with the LPC for Chicoutimi. Political pundits said the reason Martel held that riding (even as a CPC) is he was extremely popular and well respected locally, even if he had been a green party, he would have gotten elected. The new MP, very tactical decision (politically from Carney) to put a Dairy board member (and former President) up, and earn the dairy farm votes.

Beaches was no surprise (it is extremely left) however be warned, the NDP numbers increased considerably, some saying the left youth vote is going to the NDP.

BC riding was one I was surprised the LPC cleaned up as well as they did.

I have offered up my opinion that Carney scuttled the trade deal last minute to gain political points, you can call me delusional or whatever you want. I have also heard rumours that Doug Ford was refusing to cooperate with Carney and said he would NEVER put American Booze back on the shelf. This is no help. I would say to Dougie "what is better? 25% possibly reducing to 15% tariffs in time or 50% tariffs?" Its rather obvious. There is NO getting a trade deal without losing a chunk off our asses.

And now Dougie is complaining about Carneys mass imports of Chinese EVs? Pick a F-ing lane, Doug.

But damn, better hurl that PP right overboard, right guys? Lost 3 by elections so again lets sick the sharks on him? OK, go for it.

Put in your red tory and you give the Liberals an easier victory (boys get f-ing real, the CPC of today is NOT at all Reform revitalized, not even an inch, being pro oil and gas does not qualify)

Now someone said it best here. If we are going to ride a few years with this current government, then switching out Pierre now (which the Liberals seem eager to do) will allow the LPC, the paid for media and paid for polling companies a chance to define the next person. I still look at the "Harper will never be PM..." shit I heard all the way up until he was PM. I may very well be way wrong. Time will tell.

One political commentator said it well "The Liberals are great at politics, very poor at governing"

I will say this, the LPC (Not Trump, he is the same belligerent President he was 18 months ago) sure got the Nation (especially the Liberal over 65 crowd) really worked up over the trade deal.
The only point that I'll bring up is that Carney is the Brian Mulroney and Paul Martin Jr of old - meaning all 3 of them were CEO's of companies before becoming a successful politician and then a PM. How many times in our history have we had CEO's become our PM in the past?

I believe that a large number of individuals here - across both the Blue side of the aisle and the Red side of the aisle, have agreed on here that Paul Martin as a great FM and a pretty decent PM. I'm hopeful that Carney will become this as well. He's governing from the center (overall), and he's tackling the vast majority of the issues as a CEO would.
 
The only point that I'll bring up is that Carney is the Brian Mulroney and Paul Martin Jr of old - meaning all 3 of them were CEO's of companies before becoming a successful politician and then a PM. How many times in our histor
With the additional aspect that while Mulroney and Martin we lawyers prior to executive business and political life, Carney is the first investment/Central banker senior politician (let alone PM).
 
Good news for La Pocatiere and Thunder Bay; a $4.7B VIA Rail contract for acquisition and sustainment of 313 cars for regional and long distance cars.


 
Any ideas what this is? Thunder Bay is a weird place for a manufacturing announcement.

The Prime Minister will announce an historic investment in Canadian manufacturing.

Apparently loadsa VIA cars promised to be built - there & in the plant in QC.
 
True. We should do a redo right now, see how the CPC fairs in a rematch.

Good news for La Pocatiere and Thunder Bay; a $4.7B VIA Rail contract for acquisition and sustainment of 313 cars for regional and long distance cars.


Sure hope they revert to the older dimensions for the seating. The current ones in the corridor train sets are too narrow if your waist and butt are greater than 38 inches and even then you feel the edges pushing against you. And they no longer recline which was a great feature for any trip longer than an hour or so. The old stainless steel coaches from the 70's were far more customer friendly. So with that caveat I am delighted to hear of the new investment. Its a wonderful way to travel at any speed :ROFLMAO:
 
I have no basis for comparison. Is $15m per train car a reasonable price?
Wonder how many years of work this is. I guess it comes down to how many cars per month they build.

If they build 5 cars a month or 60 a year, that's just over 5yrs through of work. I think that the throughput per month will be lower, so many 3.5 a month would be 7.5yrs of work.
 
Any ideas what this is? Thunder Bay is a weird place for a manufacturing announcement.
Thunder Bay has a rail car manufacturing facility. It is now owned by Alstom which bought it and the Quebec pant from Bombardier when they got out of the rail business. I'm not sure but it might have originally been owned by Canadian Car & Foundry. BBD built all the GO bi-level cars plus the new TTC streetcars (poorly - a bunch of work was subbed out to Mexico) and LRT stock. They do some maintenance refurbishment work for GO as well.

I have no basis for comparison. Is $15m per train car a reasonable price?
I don't know for certain either, but the release mentions "design and engineering". It could also include funding for plant modifications like they did with the shipyards.

There's not a whole lot of market for long distance passenger rail cars that includes the need for berths, sleepers, kitchen/galley, baggage, etc. so they probably don't have anything to draw on, and I can guarantee you there is nothing in Canada. I suspect that they will starting with a clean sheet, so design, engineering, testing and certification will gobble up a chunk of change.

By not going to competition is the new way.
 
As someone who recently spent 27 hours on a 23 hour trip in a Renaissance sleeper car, I say bravo. They're the VIA rail equivalent of the Chicoutimi class submarines.
 
Wonder how many years of work this is. I guess it comes down to how many cars per month they build.

If they build 5 cars a month or 60 a year, that's just over 5yrs through of work. I think that the throughput per month will be lower, so many 3.5 a month would be 7.5yrs of work.
One source I found showed its entire long distance fleet to be around 320. That's for every run except their Windsor to Quebec City 'corridor' service. I don't know how much of that is active, in storage, etc. so no clue how many they will need assuming a reasonable number of spares. The fleet they have now is pretty old.
 
Got curious and fired a query into Claude (Sonnet 5, high) about the origins of VIA’s current fleet.

Prompt: “Where was Via Rail’s current in service train fleet built, and when?”

AI ASSISTED
VIA’s “current fleet” isn’t one fleet — it’s five distinct sub-fleets spanning 1954 to present, and they’re not all North American-built.

• Siemens Venture (Quebec City–Windsor Corridor) — built at Siemens’ plant in Sacramento, California; deliveries began 2022 and are still rolling out (only partially replacing the legacy Corridor fleet as of 2026).

• LRC coaches (Corridor) — built by Bombardier/MLW in Montreal, Quebec, 1980–1984. The LRC locomotives were retired around 2001, but Bombardier LRC coaches remain in service today, now hauled by other locomotives.

• HEP-1 stainless-steel cars (the Canadian, Ocean, Winnipeg–Churchill and other remote/long-distance services, plus some Corridor use) — originally built by the Budd Company in Philadelphia, USA, in 1954–55 for Canadian Pacific; transferred to VIA in 1978 and re-equipped with Head-End Power in the late 1980s.

• HEP-2 cars (Corridor only) — also Budd-built stainless steel, but originally built for various U.S. railroads mostly in the 1950s; VIA bought them secondhand from Amtrak and others in the 1990s and rebuilt them with HEP and multiple-unit cabling.

• Renaissance cars (Montreal–Halifax Ocean) — the outlier: built by Metro-Cammell in Washwood Heath, Birmingham, England, in the mid-1990s, originally for the never-launched UK–Europe “Nightstar” overnight service. VIA bought them secondhand in 2000 and put them into service in 2002 — the one fleet not built in North America at all.

• F40PH-2 locomotives (workhorse across most non-Corridor routes) — built by General Motors Diesel Division (GMD/EMD) in London, Ontario, 1986–1989.

So depending which route you’re asking about, the honest answer ranges from “Sacramento, last few years” to “Birmingham, England, 30 years ago” to “Philadelphia, 70 years ago.”


So, taken at face value, this will probably in the mid term substitute ongoing WC-Windsor corridor fleet renewal that would have been built in California, and will also mean domestic replacement of long distances fleets that are super long in the tooth and likely would have gone to someone in the U.S. probably at least a few billion bucks (maybe over $10B) not going south.
 
Got curious and fired a query into Claude (Sonnet 5, high) about the origins of VIA’s current fleet.

Prompt: “Where was Via Rail’s current in service train fleet built, and when?”

AI ASSISTED
VIA’s “current fleet” isn’t one fleet — it’s five distinct sub-fleets spanning 1954 to present, and they’re not all North American-built.

• Siemens Venture (Quebec City–Windsor Corridor) — built at Siemens’ plant in Sacramento, California; deliveries began 2022 and are still rolling out (only partially replacing the legacy Corridor fleet as of 2026).

• LRC coaches (Corridor) — built by Bombardier/MLW in Montreal, Quebec, 1980–1984. The LRC locomotives were retired around 2001, but Bombardier LRC coaches remain in service today, now hauled by other locomotives.

• HEP-1 stainless-steel cars (the Canadian, Ocean, Winnipeg–Churchill and other remote/long-distance services, plus some Corridor use) — originally built by the Budd Company in Philadelphia, USA, in 1954–55 for Canadian Pacific; transferred to VIA in 1978 and re-equipped with Head-End Power in the late 1980s.

• HEP-2 cars (Corridor only) — also Budd-built stainless steel, but originally built for various U.S. railroads mostly in the 1950s; VIA bought them secondhand from Amtrak and others in the 1990s and rebuilt them with HEP and multiple-unit cabling.

• Renaissance cars (Montreal–Halifax Ocean) — the outlier: built by Metro-Cammell in Washwood Heath, Birmingham, England, in the mid-1990s, originally for the never-launched UK–Europe “Nightstar” overnight service. VIA bought them secondhand in 2000 and put them into service in 2002 — the one fleet not built in North America at all.

• F40PH-2 locomotives (workhorse across most non-Corridor routes) — built by General Motors Diesel Division (GMD/EMD) in London, Ontario, 1986–1989.

So depending which route you’re asking about, the honest answer ranges from “Sacramento, last few years” to “Birmingham, England, 30 years ago” to “Philadelphia, 70 years ago.”


So, taken at face value, this will probably in the mid term substitute ongoing WC-Windsor corridor fleet renewal that would have been built in California, and will also mean domestic replacement of long distances fleets that are super long in the tooth and likely would have gone to someone in the U.S. probably at least a few billion bucks (maybe over $10B) not going south.
Brain fart, I had $14B in mind, not $4.7B. Still a couple bil not going south.
 
Thunder Bay has a rail car manufacturing facility. It is now owned by Alstom which bought it and the Quebec pant from Bombardier when they got out of the rail business. I'm not sure but it might have originally been owned by Canadian Car & Foundry. BBD built all the GO bi-level cars plus the new TTC streetcars (poorly - a bunch of work was subbed out to Mexico) and LRT stock. They do some maintenance refurbishment work for GO as well.


I don't know for certain either, but the release mentions "design and engineering". It could also include funding for plant modifications like they did with the shipyards.

There's not a whole lot of market for long distance passenger rail cars that includes the need for berths, sleepers, kitchen/galley, baggage, etc. so they probably don't have anything to draw on, and I can guarantee you there is nothing in Canada. I suspect that they will starting with a clean sheet, so design, engineering, testing and certification will gobble up a chunk of change.

By not going to competition is the new way.
I know someone who works for Alstom's Pittsburgh facility. Over the past year he has told me about the 'wheel systems' being manufactured at Alstom's Pittsburgh facility for shipment up to Alstom's facility here for recent TTC contracts.

I'm going to assume that the Alstom Pittsburgh facility will not be supplying anything up to the Alstom Thunder Bay site under this new VIA contract. I'll be seeing him soon and will ask him but I think it will be much too early for him to have any sense/info on this.
 
Since the PM (here for the rail car announcement) and Bryan Adams (here for a concert) are in Thunder Bay at the same time, they stopped at a local bakery for a Persian (a pink-frosting-topped cinnamon bun strongly associated with the city) :) - from FB
794234909_10163783546508111_4369615212699201012_n.jpg
More on the Persian:
 
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