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Trump administration 2024-2028

Mills Bomb said:
Perhaps it's a strategy for the upcoming CUSMA negotiations, pointing out America has "other options" to Canada if we try to bring up American reliance on the product, while giving Belarus (Russia?) a way to sell product.
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GR66 said:
According to this article on the Investing News Network website the top three producers of Potash are:

1. Canada​

Potash production: 15 million metric tons
Potash reserves: 1.1 billion metric tons

2. Russia​

Potash production: 9 million metric tons
Potash reserves: 920 million metric tons

3. Belarus​

Potash production: 7 million metric tons
Potash reserves: 750 million metric tons

So, if Russia were to sell their potash through their client state Belarus in order to bypass sanctions, then between them they produce 16 million metric tons annually (vs 15 million metric tons by Canada) and have total reserves between them of 1.67 billion metric tons (vs 1.1 billion metric tons in Canada).

That tracks with Trump's ongoing efforts to re-engage in business with Russia while at the same time applying economic pressure on the US's traditional allies.
Click to expand...

So if Canada sells 10-12MT to US annually, U.S. would most definitely have to work out how to get Belarusian potash, and as noted, would likely be by bullying/‘convincing’ Latvia/Europe to let it be transited through Latvia and the Baltic. Interesting COAs about

The question for Canada (and Belarus and Russia) is can it pivot (and how quickly) its potash sales to the international market, that would be losing the Belarusian (and proxy Russian) potash ash imports to the US?

I suspect Canada’s job might be easier (shipping potash to other international customers) than Trump will have be coming ‘dependent’ on Russia (and its proxy(ies)) for its fertilizer.
 
Meanwhile Trump is both sucking and blowing

www.defensenews.com

As US ramps up munitions production, South Korea and Australia want in

Hanwha Aerospace and Lockheed Martin are taking different routes to partake in the massive push to replenish America's artillery shells and rockets.
www.defensenews.com www.defensenews.com

en.defence-ua.com

U.S. Blocks German EuroPULS From Using GMLRS Missiles For Third Year Running | Defense Express

U.S. won't allow using its missiles from German-Israeli EuroPULS or other European MLRS is it just fear of technology leaks
en.defence-ua.com en.defence-ua.com

He wants to sell more stuff and make more money but he wants to tie his customers into exclusive supply arrangements. People neither like his prices nor trust his commitment to his deals.

defencesecurityasia.com

Switzerland Slashes F-35 Order as Cost Overruns Expose Fragility of Western Airpower Modernisation - Defence Security Asia

Switzerland is set to reduce its F-35 fighter jet purchase after cost overruns breached voter-approved limits, highlighting growing pressure on Western airpower modernisation.
defencesecurityasia.com defencesecurityasia.com
 
Lumber said:
Oh man the MAGA crowd will be so confused. Do they take the side of the pride parade participants because they are American, or do they take the side of the foreigner tourists because they are anti-LGBTQ?
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They may get some cognitive dissonance advice from some social conservative folks on this side of the border who don't like "those people" while point to them and saying "yay team" then "those people" don't want LGBT stuff in public schools - hate 'em unless I love 'em :)
 
The Bread Guy said:
They may get some cognitive dissonance advice from some social conservative folks on this side of the border who don't like "those people" while point to them and saying "yay team" then "those people" don't want LGBT stuff in public schools - hate 'em unless I love 'em :)
Click to expand...

Red Tories
Blue Liberals
Waffling Dippers
Socialists, Marxists, Leninists, Trotskyites, Stalinists, Maoists
Social Democrats and Democratic Sociaists
Old Light and New Light Presbyterians
Recollets and Jesuits
Cistercians and Benedictines
Dominicans and Franciscans
People's Front of Judaea and the Popular Front of Judaea

7 billion brains all holding more than one idea and those dynamics reduced to a single headline.

Factions are social constructs of those who would be leaders and followers.
Ideas and principles ade secondary.
 
Good2Golf said:
So if Canada sells 10-12MT to US annually, U.S. would most definitely have to work out how to get Belarusian potash, and as noted, would likely be by bullying/‘convincing’ Latvia/Europe to let it be transited through Latvia and the Baltic. Interesting COAs about

The question for Canada (and Belarus and Russia) is can it pivot (and how quickly) its potash sales to the international market, that would be losing the Belarusian (and proxy Russian) potash ash imports to the US?

I suspect Canada’s job might be easier (shipping potash to other international customers) than Trump will have be coming ‘dependent’ on Russia (and its proxy(ies)) for its fertilizer.
Click to expand...

I am by no means an export on any of this, but from the mixed sources I've read, it seems Russia and Belarus already sell their potash to more local markets, such as China, India, and South-East Asia. Russia has had some trouble selling potash from the sanctions, but has found workarounds.

From my understanding, the Belarus / Russia potash is generally considered an inferior product. Canada has vast high-grade deposits.

Does it make any sense for the USA to get Potash from Russia and / or Belarus when a superior product is available locally from Canada?

It seems like a lot of international shipping essentially for no reason? How does this benefit the USA in any way?
 
Mills Bomb said:
I am by no means an export on any of this, but from the mixed sources I've read, it seems Russia and Belarus already sell their potash to more local markets, such as China, India, and South-East Asia. Russia has had some trouble selling potash from the sanctions, but has found workarounds.

From my understanding, the Belarus / Russia potash is generally considered an inferior product. Canada has vast high-grade deposits.

Does it make any sense for the USA to get Potash from Russia and / or Belarus when a superior product is available locally from Canada?

It seems like a lot of international shipping essentially for no reason? How does this benefit the USA in any way?
Click to expand...
They want to buy more from their friends and they want to buy less from their enemies.
 
FAFO time for Auntie Beeb...


Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech​

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast

Donald Trump has filed a lawsuit against the BBC over its editing of a speech he made to supporters in Washington before they stormed the US Capitol in 2021, requesting up to $10bn in damages.

The US president alleged the broadcaster “intentionally, maliciously, and deceptively” edited his 6 January speech before the insurrection, in an episode of Panorama just over a year ago.

In a complaint filed on Monday evening, Trump sought $5bn in damages each on two counts: alleging that the BBC defamed him, and that they violated Florida’s Deceptive and Unfair Trade Practices Act.

The Panorama edit, taken from sections of his speech almost an hour apart, suggested Trump told the crowd: “We’re going to walk down to the Capitol and I’ll be there with you, and we fight. We fight like hell.”

The BBC did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the lawsuit. It has previously acknowledged the editing was an “error of judgment” and apologized to Trump, but insisted there was no legal basis for a claim.


www.theguardian.com

Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
 
daftandbarmy said:
FAFO time for Auntie Beeb...


Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech​

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast

Donald Trump has filed a lawsuit against the BBC over its editing of a speech he made to supporters in Washington before they stormed the US Capitol in 2021, requesting up to $10bn in damages.

The US president alleged the broadcaster “intentionally, maliciously, and deceptively” edited his 6 January speech before the insurrection, in an episode of Panorama just over a year ago.

In a complaint filed on Monday evening, Trump sought $5bn in damages each on two counts: alleging that the BBC defamed him, and that they violated Florida’s Deceptive and Unfair Trade Practices Act.

The Panorama edit, taken from sections of his speech almost an hour apart, suggested Trump told the crowd: “We’re going to walk down to the Capitol and I’ll be there with you, and we fight. We fight like hell.”

The BBC did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the lawsuit. It has previously acknowledged the editing was an “error of judgment” and apologized to Trump, but insisted there was no legal basis for a claim.


www.theguardian.com

Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
Click to expand...
I’ll be curious to know what the legal reasoning is to assert that courts in Florida have jurisdiction on the matter.
 
Does it make any sense for the USA to get Potash from Russia and / or Belarus when a superior product is available locally from Canada?
Click to expand...
Doesn't have to make sense with this Administration.

Obviously this is support for Russia (Russian potash designated as Belarus). There is got to be undisclosed money make with this deal.
 
daftandbarmy said:
FAFO time for Auntie Beeb...


Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech​

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast

Donald Trump has filed a lawsuit against the BBC over its editing of a speech he made to supporters in Washington before they stormed the US Capitol in 2021, requesting up to $10bn in damages.

The US president alleged the broadcaster “intentionally, maliciously, and deceptively” edited his 6 January speech before the insurrection, in an episode of Panorama just over a year ago.

In a complaint filed on Monday evening, Trump sought $5bn in damages each on two counts: alleging that the BBC defamed him, and that they violated Florida’s Deceptive and Unfair Trade Practices Act.

The Panorama edit, taken from sections of his speech almost an hour apart, suggested Trump told the crowd: “We’re going to walk down to the Capitol and I’ll be there with you, and we fight. We fight like hell.”

The BBC did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the lawsuit. It has previously acknowledged the editing was an “error of judgment” and apologized to Trump, but insisted there was no legal basis for a claim.


www.theguardian.com

Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
Click to expand...

Dishonest media has done the most damage to the West. I hope the BBC takes a massive hit for that.
 
HavokFour said:
Having a bigger ballroom is a matter of national security now.
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It always was. The WH and its property is easier to secure than a hotel or convention centre, and they're unsatisfied with using tents on the property.
 
brihard said:
I’ll be curious to know what the legal reasoning is to assert that courts in Florida have jurisdiction on the matter.
Click to expand...
We do the same. There has to be a real and substantial connection. In this case the plaintiff resides in Florida, claims he suffered financial, reputational and material damages in Florida, the BBC is carried on Florida networks and is accessible on the internet from Florida, Trump did not enter UK jurisdiction at any time during the activities complained of. More generally the civil US Courts in Florida (like courts in Ontario) often assert jurisdiction over matters regardless of where the parties might reside as long as there is a real and substantial connection and prima facie, there appears to be just that. Second, no court in the world other than a US court has jurisdiction over the domestic activities of the head of state of another country. In the same regard, no court other than a Canadian court has jurisdiction over the office of the executive branch of Canada.

On the other hand, it is a very high bar to argue another alternative forum is available: Forum Non Conveniens – When Our Courts Pass The Buck - Kornfeld LLP

Courts usually do not like to pass the buck, especially to a jurisdiction of foreign law that might disfavour the plaintiff.
 
Mills Bomb said:
Meanwhile, in Canada, politicians won't even touch restoring 24 Sussex Dr for fear of the optics.
Click to expand...
Honestly, I think Pierre did the right thing by offering to Trudeau to agree to hear about tearing the place down and rebuilding it with a reasonable budget appropriate for a Prime Ministers home station. No idea why that did not proceed other than costs and fear of public backlash. The security costs for constructing such a building - in effect a facility - would be both enormous and necessary. Perhaps 24 Sussex property and area is no longer an appropriate or secure location???
Carney needs to open that line of discussion, it’s a relatively easy one. (Expensive but it has to be done). Likely a $500,000,000 project.
 
Cloud Cover said:
Honestly, I think Pierre did the right thing by offering to Trudeau to agree to hear about tearing the place down and rebuilding it with a reasonable budget appropriate for a Prime Ministers home station. No idea why that did not proceed other than costs and fear of public backlash. The security costs for constructing such a building - in effect a facility - would be both enormous and necessary. Perhaps 24 Sussex property and area is no longer an appropriate or secure location???
Carney needs to open that line of discussion, it’s a relatively easy one. (Expensive but it has to be done). Likely a $500,000,000 project.
Click to expand...
I've always maintained that the leader of the opposition should be in charge of 24 Sussex.

They want to live there eventually so they want it to be maintained, and if they have the PM living in a run down shack it looks bad on them
 
A lengthy article on how the FBI’s counterintelligence branch was rebuilt post 9/11 but is now being redirected to immigration and street crime by Kash Patel. The same guy to got FBI tactical teams to provide bodyguard services (which they’re not trained for) to his girlfriend.

www.thebulwark.com

The FBI Spent a Generation Relearning How to Catch Spies. Then Came Kash Patel.

As China’s spies grow more aggressive, the FBI is distracted and off-balance.
www.thebulwark.com www.thebulwark.com
 
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