• Thanks for stopping by. Logging in to a registered account will remove all generic ads. Please reach out with any questions or concerns.

Trump administration 2024-2028

Czech_pivo said:
So we've found the an answer on the Potash - unreal, Trump would rather trade with a (fellow) dictator in Belarus than with Canada.

US lifts sanctions on Belarusian potash,​

www.euronews.com

US lifts sanctions on Belarusian potash, Lukashenko releases 123 more political prisoners

The US presidential envoy announced the lifting of sanctions on Belarusian potash fertilisers. In return, Aliaksandr Lukashenka released a large group of political prisoners, including Nobel Peace Prize laureate Ales Bialiatski and one of the opposition leaders Maria Kolesnikova
www.euronews.com www.euronews.com

"As directed by President Trump, the US is lifting sanctions on potash," Cole said. "I think this is a very good move on the part of the US for Belarus. We are lifting them now."

The US envoy also noted that communication on sanctions between Washington and Minsk will continue. "As relations between the two countries normalise, more and more sanctions will be lifted," Cole said, expressing hope that in the future the parties will come to a situation where there will be no such restrictive measures at all.
Click to expand...

Still the matter of how Belarus will get their potash out of the country. Russia's own potash industry is a competitor, and then there's the matter of the not just EU but US sanctions on Russia.

I have a bad feeling Lithuania may be targeted to force them to allow Belarusian access to the port of Klaipėda.
 
To be fair, there is currently no tariff on Canadian potash, it's covered under CUSMA, for now. Although, Trump has mentioned a possible heavy tariff being applied at some point, hard to predict when, if at all, or how severe.

Perhaps it's a strategy for the upcoming CUSMA negotiations, pointing out America has "other options" to Canada if we try to bring up American reliance on the product, while giving Belarus (Russia?) a way to sell product.

But what benefit would there be for American farmers to ship inferior Belarusian potash across the globe? Canada still remains a better option, as of now. Why would any farmer prefer this kind of deal?

Americans would want to rely on a critical farming product from across the globe when it's available in Canada? Not seeing logic here, seems unlikely to play out that way.

Because of CUSMA, we still have one of the best deals with the USA in some regards. It could change, and it's still disappointing.
 
Mills Bomb said:
To be fair, there is currently no tariff on Canadian potash, it's covered under CUSMA, for now. Although, Trump has mentioned a possible heavy tariff being applied at some point, hard to predict when, if at all, or how severe.

Perhaps it's a strategy for the upcoming CUSMA negotiations, pointing out America has "other options" to Canada if we try to bring up American reliance on the product, while giving Belarus (Russia?) a way to sell product.

But what benefit would there be for American farmers to ship inferior Belarusian potash across the globe? Canada still remains a better option, as of now. Why would any farmer prefer this kind of deal?

Americans would want to rely on a critical farming product from across the globe when it's available in Canada? Not seeing logic here, seems unlikely to play out that way.

Because of CUSMA, we still have one of the best deals with the USA in some regards. It could change, and it's still disappointing.
Click to expand...
According to this article on the Investing News Network website the top three producers of Potash are:

1. Canada​

Potash production: 15 million metric tons
Potash reserves: 1.1 billion metric tons

2. Russia​

Potash production: 9 million metric tons
Potash reserves: 920 million metric tons

3. Belarus​

Potash production: 7 million metric tons
Potash reserves: 750 million metric tons

So, if Russia were to sell their potash through their client state Belarus in order to bypass sanctions, then between them they produce 16 million metric tons annually (vs 15 million metric tons by Canada) and have total reserves between them of 1.67 billion metric tons (vs 1.1 billion metric tons in Canada).

That tracks with Trump's ongoing efforts to re-engage in business with Russia while at the same time applying economic pressure on the US's traditional allies.
 
Mills Bomb said:
Perhaps it's a strategy for the upcoming CUSMA negotiations, pointing out America has "other options" to Canada if we try to bring up American reliance on the product, while giving Belarus (Russia?) a way to sell product.
Click to expand...

GR66 said:
According to this article on the Investing News Network website the top three producers of Potash are:

1. Canada​

Potash production: 15 million metric tons
Potash reserves: 1.1 billion metric tons

2. Russia​

Potash production: 9 million metric tons
Potash reserves: 920 million metric tons

3. Belarus​

Potash production: 7 million metric tons
Potash reserves: 750 million metric tons

So, if Russia were to sell their potash through their client state Belarus in order to bypass sanctions, then between them they produce 16 million metric tons annually (vs 15 million metric tons by Canada) and have total reserves between them of 1.67 billion metric tons (vs 1.1 billion metric tons in Canada).

That tracks with Trump's ongoing efforts to re-engage in business with Russia while at the same time applying economic pressure on the US's traditional allies.
Click to expand...

So if Canada sells 10-12MT to US annually, U.S. would most definitely have to work out how to get Belarusian potash, and as noted, would likely be by bullying/‘convincing’ Latvia/Europe to let it be transited through Latvia and the Baltic. Interesting COAs about

The question for Canada (and Belarus and Russia) is can it pivot (and how quickly) its potash sales to the international market, that would be losing the Belarusian (and proxy Russian) potash ash imports to the US?

I suspect Canada’s job might be easier (shipping potash to other international customers) than Trump will have be coming ‘dependent’ on Russia (and its proxy(ies)) for its fertilizer.
 
Meanwhile Trump is both sucking and blowing

www.defensenews.com

As US ramps up munitions production, South Korea and Australia want in

Hanwha Aerospace and Lockheed Martin are taking different routes to partake in the massive push to replenish America's artillery shells and rockets.
www.defensenews.com www.defensenews.com

en.defence-ua.com

U.S. Blocks German EuroPULS From Using GMLRS Missiles For Third Year Running | Defense Express

U.S. won't allow using its missiles from German-Israeli EuroPULS or other European MLRS is it just fear of technology leaks
en.defence-ua.com en.defence-ua.com

He wants to sell more stuff and make more money but he wants to tie his customers into exclusive supply arrangements. People neither like his prices nor trust his commitment to his deals.

defencesecurityasia.com

Switzerland Slashes F-35 Order as Cost Overruns Expose Fragility of Western Airpower Modernisation - Defence Security Asia

Switzerland is set to reduce its F-35 fighter jet purchase after cost overruns breached voter-approved limits, highlighting growing pressure on Western airpower modernisation.
defencesecurityasia.com defencesecurityasia.com
 
Lumber said:
Oh man the MAGA crowd will be so confused. Do they take the side of the pride parade participants because they are American, or do they take the side of the foreigner tourists because they are anti-LGBTQ?
Click to expand...
They may get some cognitive dissonance advice from some social conservative folks on this side of the border who don't like "those people" while point to them and saying "yay team" then "those people" don't want LGBT stuff in public schools - hate 'em unless I love 'em :)
 
The Bread Guy said:
They may get some cognitive dissonance advice from some social conservative folks on this side of the border who don't like "those people" while point to them and saying "yay team" then "those people" don't want LGBT stuff in public schools - hate 'em unless I love 'em :)
Click to expand...

Red Tories
Blue Liberals
Waffling Dippers
Socialists, Marxists, Leninists, Trotskyites, Stalinists, Maoists
Social Democrats and Democratic Sociaists
Old Light and New Light Presbyterians
Recollets and Jesuits
Cistercians and Benedictines
Dominicans and Franciscans
People's Front of Judaea and the Popular Front of Judaea

7 billion brains all holding more than one idea and those dynamics reduced to a single headline.

Factions are social constructs of those who would be leaders and followers.
Ideas and principles ade secondary.
 
Good2Golf said:
So if Canada sells 10-12MT to US annually, U.S. would most definitely have to work out how to get Belarusian potash, and as noted, would likely be by bullying/‘convincing’ Latvia/Europe to let it be transited through Latvia and the Baltic. Interesting COAs about

The question for Canada (and Belarus and Russia) is can it pivot (and how quickly) its potash sales to the international market, that would be losing the Belarusian (and proxy Russian) potash ash imports to the US?

I suspect Canada’s job might be easier (shipping potash to other international customers) than Trump will have be coming ‘dependent’ on Russia (and its proxy(ies)) for its fertilizer.
Click to expand...

I am by no means an export on any of this, but from the mixed sources I've read, it seems Russia and Belarus already sell their potash to more local markets, such as China, India, and South-East Asia. Russia has had some trouble selling potash from the sanctions, but has found workarounds.

From my understanding, the Belarus / Russia potash is generally considered an inferior product. Canada has vast high-grade deposits.

Does it make any sense for the USA to get Potash from Russia and / or Belarus when a superior product is available locally from Canada?

It seems like a lot of international shipping essentially for no reason? How does this benefit the USA in any way?
 
Mills Bomb said:
I am by no means an export on any of this, but from the mixed sources I've read, it seems Russia and Belarus already sell their potash to more local markets, such as China, India, and South-East Asia. Russia has had some trouble selling potash from the sanctions, but has found workarounds.

From my understanding, the Belarus / Russia potash is generally considered an inferior product. Canada has vast high-grade deposits.

Does it make any sense for the USA to get Potash from Russia and / or Belarus when a superior product is available locally from Canada?

It seems like a lot of international shipping essentially for no reason? How does this benefit the USA in any way?
Click to expand...
They want to buy more from their friends and they want to buy less from their enemies.
 
FAFO time for Auntie Beeb...


Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech​

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast

Donald Trump has filed a lawsuit against the BBC over its editing of a speech he made to supporters in Washington before they stormed the US Capitol in 2021, requesting up to $10bn in damages.

The US president alleged the broadcaster “intentionally, maliciously, and deceptively” edited his 6 January speech before the insurrection, in an episode of Panorama just over a year ago.

In a complaint filed on Monday evening, Trump sought $5bn in damages each on two counts: alleging that the BBC defamed him, and that they violated Florida’s Deceptive and Unfair Trade Practices Act.

The Panorama edit, taken from sections of his speech almost an hour apart, suggested Trump told the crowd: “We’re going to walk down to the Capitol and I’ll be there with you, and we fight. We fight like hell.”

The BBC did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the lawsuit. It has previously acknowledged the editing was an “error of judgment” and apologized to Trump, but insisted there was no legal basis for a claim.


www.theguardian.com

Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
 
daftandbarmy said:
FAFO time for Auntie Beeb...


Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech​

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast

Donald Trump has filed a lawsuit against the BBC over its editing of a speech he made to supporters in Washington before they stormed the US Capitol in 2021, requesting up to $10bn in damages.

The US president alleged the broadcaster “intentionally, maliciously, and deceptively” edited his 6 January speech before the insurrection, in an episode of Panorama just over a year ago.

In a complaint filed on Monday evening, Trump sought $5bn in damages each on two counts: alleging that the BBC defamed him, and that they violated Florida’s Deceptive and Unfair Trade Practices Act.

The Panorama edit, taken from sections of his speech almost an hour apart, suggested Trump told the crowd: “We’re going to walk down to the Capitol and I’ll be there with you, and we fight. We fight like hell.”

The BBC did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the lawsuit. It has previously acknowledged the editing was an “error of judgment” and apologized to Trump, but insisted there was no legal basis for a claim.


www.theguardian.com

Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
Click to expand...
I’ll be curious to know what the legal reasoning is to assert that courts in Florida have jurisdiction on the matter.
 
Does it make any sense for the USA to get Potash from Russia and / or Belarus when a superior product is available locally from Canada?
Click to expand...
Doesn't have to make sense with this Administration.

Obviously this is support for Russia (Russian potash designated as Belarus). There is got to be undisclosed money make with this deal.
 
daftandbarmy said:
FAFO time for Auntie Beeb...


Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech​

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast

Donald Trump has filed a lawsuit against the BBC over its editing of a speech he made to supporters in Washington before they stormed the US Capitol in 2021, requesting up to $10bn in damages.

The US president alleged the broadcaster “intentionally, maliciously, and deceptively” edited his 6 January speech before the insurrection, in an episode of Panorama just over a year ago.

In a complaint filed on Monday evening, Trump sought $5bn in damages each on two counts: alleging that the BBC defamed him, and that they violated Florida’s Deceptive and Unfair Trade Practices Act.

The Panorama edit, taken from sections of his speech almost an hour apart, suggested Trump told the crowd: “We’re going to walk down to the Capitol and I’ll be there with you, and we fight. We fight like hell.”

The BBC did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the lawsuit. It has previously acknowledged the editing was an “error of judgment” and apologized to Trump, but insisted there was no legal basis for a claim.


www.theguardian.com

Donald Trump sues BBC for up to $10bn over edit of January 6 speech

President accuses corporation of ‘intentionally, maliciously and deceptively’ editing speech in Panorama broadcast
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
Click to expand...

Dishonest media has done the most damage to the West. I hope the BBC takes a massive hit for that.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top