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I have my thoughts on who they’d support.
Trump administration 2024-2028
- Thread starter dimsum
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FTFY
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What's the confusion? They can hate both. Though they may be confused why people are calling soccer "football".
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Some people are wondering if FIFA didn't do it on purpose. Considering the head of FIFA is best chums with Trump, who knows!
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daftandbarmy
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oops...
Thailand’s caretaker prime minister has denied the existence of a ceasefire with Cambodia, despite Donald Trump announcing that both countries had agreed to halt fighting.
As heavy clashes continued along the border between the two countries, Anutin Charnvirakul said on Saturday that Thailand had not agreed to a ceasefire with Cambodia and that its forces would continue fighting. Cambodia announced it had suspended all border crossings with Thailand.
Thai forces carried out strikes, including with fighter jets, while Cambodia fired rocket barrages along the border area on Saturday. The Thai army announced that at least two civilians had been seriously injured by Cambodian fire while running to a bunker.
www.theguardian.com
Thailand denies Trump ceasefire claim as clashes with Cambodia continue at border
Thai PM says military will keep fighting and Cambodia suspends border crossings as casualties riseThailand’s caretaker prime minister has denied the existence of a ceasefire with Cambodia, despite Donald Trump announcing that both countries had agreed to halt fighting.
As heavy clashes continued along the border between the two countries, Anutin Charnvirakul said on Saturday that Thailand had not agreed to a ceasefire with Cambodia and that its forces would continue fighting. Cambodia announced it had suspended all border crossings with Thailand.
Thai forces carried out strikes, including with fighter jets, while Cambodia fired rocket barrages along the border area on Saturday. The Thai army announced that at least two civilians had been seriously injured by Cambodian fire while running to a bunker.
Thailand denies Trump ceasefire claim as clashes with Cambodia continue at border
Thai PM says military will keep fighting and Cambodia suspends border crossings as casualties rise
www.theguardian.com
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This conflict has been going on for a long time and will be going on, long after Trump is just a bad memory.
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So we've found the an answer on the Potash - unreal, Trump would rather trade with a (fellow) dictator in Belarus than with Canada.
If Trump tariffs fertilizer, U.S. lacks reserves ‘to meet domestic demand’ | Globalnews.ca
In a statement, Fertilizer Canada said increasing fertilizer production 'cannot happen overnight and can take 10 to 15 years to increase.'globalnews.ca
I always thought we should put export tariffs on potash to fight the USA,but I realized that would come with significant pushback from the USA.
Well, thanks to Trump, they will do the damage to themselves.
US lifts sanctions on Belarusian potash,
US lifts sanctions on Belarusian potash, Lukashenko releases 123 more political prisoners
The US presidential envoy announced the lifting of sanctions on Belarusian potash fertilisers. In return, Aliaksandr Lukashenka released a large group of political prisoners, including Nobel Peace Prize laureate Ales Bialiatski and one of the opposition leaders Maria Kolesnikova
www.euronews.com
"As directed by President Trump, the US is lifting sanctions on potash," Cole said. "I think this is a very good move on the part of the US for Belarus. We are lifting them now."
The US envoy also noted that communication on sanctions between Washington and Minsk will continue. "As relations between the two countries normalise, more and more sanctions will be lifted," Cole said, expressing hope that in the future the parties will come to a situation where there will be no such restrictive measures at all.
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So we've found the an answer on the Potash - unreal, Trump would rather trade with a (fellow) dictator in Belarus than with Canada.
US lifts sanctions on Belarusian potash,
US lifts sanctions on Belarusian potash, Lukashenko releases 123 more political prisoners
The US presidential envoy announced the lifting of sanctions on Belarusian potash fertilisers. In return, Aliaksandr Lukashenka released a large group of political prisoners, including Nobel Peace Prize laureate Ales Bialiatski and one of the opposition leaders Maria Kolesnikova
"As directed by President Trump, the US is lifting sanctions on potash," Cole said. "I think this is a very good move on the part of the US for Belarus. We are lifting them now."
The US envoy also noted that communication on sanctions between Washington and Minsk will continue. "As relations between the two countries normalise, more and more sanctions will be lifted," Cole said, expressing hope that in the future the parties will come to a situation where there will be no such restrictive measures at all.
I remeber some in here saying Trump was actually the tough on Russia president.
I remember some here getting upset that the US is no longer a friend and a reliable ally.
daftandbarmy
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HavokFour
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So we've found the an answer on the Potash - unreal, Trump would rather trade with a (fellow) dictator in Belarus than with Canada.
US lifts sanctions on Belarusian potash,
US lifts sanctions on Belarusian potash, Lukashenko releases 123 more political prisoners
The US presidential envoy announced the lifting of sanctions on Belarusian potash fertilisers. In return, Aliaksandr Lukashenka released a large group of political prisoners, including Nobel Peace Prize laureate Ales Bialiatski and one of the opposition leaders Maria Kolesnikova
"As directed by President Trump, the US is lifting sanctions on potash," Cole said. "I think this is a very good move on the part of the US for Belarus. We are lifting them now."
The US envoy also noted that communication on sanctions between Washington and Minsk will continue. "As relations between the two countries normalise, more and more sanctions will be lifted," Cole said, expressing hope that in the future the parties will come to a situation where there will be no such restrictive measures at all.
Still the matter of how Belarus will get their potash out of the country. Russia's own potash industry is a competitor, and then there's the matter of the not just EU but US sanctions on Russia.
I have a bad feeling Lithuania may be targeted to force them to allow Belarusian access to the port of Klaipėda.
Altair
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Lets buy their jets.
Mills Bomb
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To be fair, there is currently no tariff on Canadian potash, it's covered under CUSMA, for now. Although, Trump has mentioned a possible heavy tariff being applied at some point, hard to predict when, if at all, or how severe.
Perhaps it's a strategy for the upcoming CUSMA negotiations, pointing out America has "other options" to Canada if we try to bring up American reliance on the product, while giving Belarus (Russia?) a way to sell product.
But what benefit would there be for American farmers to ship inferior Belarusian potash across the globe? Canada still remains a better option, as of now. Why would any farmer prefer this kind of deal?
Americans would want to rely on a critical farming product from across the globe when it's available in Canada? Not seeing logic here, seems unlikely to play out that way.
Because of CUSMA, we still have one of the best deals with the USA in some regards. It could change, and it's still disappointing.
Perhaps it's a strategy for the upcoming CUSMA negotiations, pointing out America has "other options" to Canada if we try to bring up American reliance on the product, while giving Belarus (Russia?) a way to sell product.
But what benefit would there be for American farmers to ship inferior Belarusian potash across the globe? Canada still remains a better option, as of now. Why would any farmer prefer this kind of deal?
Americans would want to rely on a critical farming product from across the globe when it's available in Canada? Not seeing logic here, seems unlikely to play out that way.
Because of CUSMA, we still have one of the best deals with the USA in some regards. It could change, and it's still disappointing.
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According to this article on the Investing News Network website the top three producers of Potash are:
1. Canada
Potash production: 15 million metric tonsPotash reserves: 1.1 billion metric tons
2. Russia
Potash production: 9 million metric tonsPotash reserves: 920 million metric tons
3. Belarus
Potash production: 7 million metric tonsPotash reserves: 750 million metric tons
So, if Russia were to sell their potash through their client state Belarus in order to bypass sanctions, then between them they produce 16 million metric tons annually (vs 15 million metric tons by Canada) and have total reserves between them of 1.67 billion metric tons (vs 1.1 billion metric tons in Canada).
That tracks with Trump's ongoing efforts to re-engage in business with Russia while at the same time applying economic pressure on the US's traditional allies.
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So if Canada sells 10-12MT to US annually, U.S. would most definitely have to work out how to get Belarusian potash, and as noted, would likely be by bullying/‘convincing’ Latvia/Europe to let it be transited through Latvia and the Baltic. Interesting COAs about
The question for Canada (and Belarus and Russia) is can it pivot (and how quickly) its potash sales to the international market, that would be losing the Belarusian (and proxy Russian) potash ash imports to the US?
I suspect Canada’s job might be easier (shipping potash to other international customers) than Trump will have be coming ‘dependent’ on Russia (and its proxy(ies)) for its fertilizer.