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5 Aug 2026 - Attempted drone attack at Leipzig airport

brihard

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This is a bit of an “oh s***” moment for aviation security and critical infrastructure.

Leipzig Airport, Germany. Overnight last night:
  • Drone spotted and seized in the secure cargo area near Antonov Airlines. I’ve seen reports it may have been brought down from a hover. The drone was found to be carrying some form of explosives.
  • Later, a DHL aircraft on takeoff ascent struck an object midair, flight continued and was found on landing to have nose damage. No further info yet on what it was.
  • Counterterrorism police are investigating.


EDIT TO ADD: Purorted photo of the recovered drone next to a Ukrainian Antonov.

 
This is a bit of an “oh s***” moment for aviation security and critical infrastructure.

Leipzig Airport, Germany. Overnight last night:
  • Drone spotted and seized in the secure cargo area near Antonov Airlines. I’ve seen reports it may have been brought down from a hover. The drone was found to be carrying some form of explosives.
  • Later, a DHL aircraft on takeoff ascent struck an object midair, flight continued and was found on landing to have nose damage. No further info yet on what it was.
  • Counterterrorism police are investigating.


EDIT TO ADD: Purorted photo of the recovered drone next to a Ukrainian Antonov.

Shit - so it begins.
 
This Is Fine GIF
 
It's possible that an Ukrainian cargo aircraft may have been the target. More from TWZ:

Given Russia has tried to knock out DHL, UPS, FedEx, as well as some passenger aircraft, I suspect that the Ukrainian airplane would have been a bonus but not the singular point.
 
Not if you blow them all up. If I were UKR, that would be my next strategy. Make the roads impassable, and isolate the city.
I was more thinking visit Russia before Russia visits you…
 
I think I've posted this before, but here is a cheap crop spraying drone available in Canada right now.

75 L tank, $25k cost. How hard would it be to improvise 75 L of some kind of chemical weapon. How hard would it be for someone add fiber optic control if they're willing to get caught on scene, or a pre programmed or otherwise autonomous control program to fly around the Rogers Centre and dump that 75 L onto the crowd.

Cheap, easily available drones are probably here to stay, and have valid applications, but it's incredibly easy for a rogue actor to do some serious damage with it, nevermind a state level effort. We've been fortunate so far but I feel like we won't get as serious about the threat as we should until something like my above scenario happens.

Hell, how well do we think the US would do right now if Iran was able to get either it's own assets, or others sympathetic to its efforts (or simply want to hurt the US) and fly some drones into a refinery, or multiple refineries.

I was more thinking visit Russia before Russia visits you…

I'd settle for converting some of our unused manufacturing capacity into building strike weapons and/or interceptors at automotive scale. I've mentioned before, but how many Shahed (or an even larger, longer range or higher payload version) could we build at an unused car plant? A couple thousand one way attack drones a day off western assembly lines would certainly bolster Ukraine's long range strike capability.
 
I think I've posted this before, but here is a cheap crop spraying drone available in Canada right now.

75 L tank, $25k cost. How hard would it be to improvise 75 L of some kind of chemical weapon. How hard would it be for someone add fiber optic control if they're willing to get caught on scene, or a pre programmed or otherwise autonomous control program to fly around the Rogers Centre and dump that 75 L onto the crowd.

Keep in mind the NATO (US) doctrinal response to a Chem/Bio attack is a nuclear response.

Any state actor supporting an attack like that would need to do so with the understanding that they were most likely condemning their country to annihilation.
Cheap, easily available drones are probably here to stay, and have valid applications, but it's incredibly easy for a rogue actor to do some serious damage with it, nevermind a state level effort. We've been fortunate so far but I feel like we won't get as serious about the threat as we should until something like my above scenario happens.
Fortunately the Five Eye national assets work diligently to ensuring this doesn’t occur.


Hell, how well do we think the US would do right now if Iran was able to get either it's own assets, or others sympathetic to its efforts (or simply want to hurt the US) and fly some drones into a refinery, or multiple refineries.
Again no state actor wants to be directly tied to strikes on anything that we (the US) may consider to be a national security asset.

I'd settle for converting some of our unused manufacturing capacity into building strike weapons and/or interceptors at automotive scale. I've mentioned before, but how many Shahed (or an even larger, longer range or higher payload version) could we build at an unused car plant? A couple thousand one way attack drones a day off western assembly lines would certainly bolster Ukraine's long range strike capability.

@brihard has pointed out elsewhere that the long pole in the tent is chips.

You don’t need an automotive plant for something like the Shahed OWUAS or smaller in fact you’re better off with smaller regional hubs for items like that.

If you got into large missiles, rockets or significantly complicated AUAS then a large secure site would be ideal.
 
Keep in mind the NATO (US) doctrinal response to a Chem/Bio attack is a nuclear response.

Any state actor supporting an attack like that would need to do so with the understanding that they were most likely condemning their country to annihilation.

Fortunately the Five Eye national assets work diligently to ensuring this doesn’t occur.



Again no state actor wants to be directly tied to strikes on anything that we (the US) may consider to be a national security asset.



@brihard has pointed out elsewhere that the long pole in the tent is chips.

You don’t need an automotive plant for something like the Shahed OWUAS or smaller in fact you’re better off with smaller regional hubs for items like that.

If you got into large missiles, rockets or significantly complicated AUAS then a large secure site would be ideal.

Re: chemical attack - that was more of a potential 9/11 style attack possibility. Whether a nuclear response is doctrine gets hard to implement if it's carried out by a non-state actor. Also that's more of a worst case scenario.

Oil refineries - Depends on whether the state actor thinks, if the current possible peace deal with Iran falls through and either Israel or the US decides to hit more desalination infrastructure or oil infrastructure, it becomes a much more tempting target. A plan and capacity to provide them security needs to be a consideration either way as it represents a vulnerability. And again, non state actors could hit one and cause a lot of disruption to markets.
 
Re: chemical attack - that was more of a potential 9/11 style attack possibility. Whether a nuclear response is doctrine gets hard to implement if it's carried out by a non-state actor. Also that's more of a worst case scenario.

Oil refineries - Depends on whether the state actor thinks, if the current possible peace deal with Iran falls through and either Israel or the US decides to hit more desalination infrastructure or oil infrastructure, it becomes a much more tempting target. A plan and capacity to provide them security needs to be a consideration either way as it represents a vulnerability. And again, non state actors could hit one and cause a lot of disruption to markets.
and how many refugees from Iran, both legitimate and otherwise, with vulnerable families back home do we have in Canada right now? My neighbours use one of those drones regularly and it is pre-programmed prior to t/o. A simple switch selects independent flight. A 75 liter payload would be the equivalent of 30 or so pounds of explosive. Choose any target, launch and drive away. Long gone by the time it hits. We can't defend against everything everywhere so there is little point in worrying about it. Instead perhaps we should undertake preemptive action such as immediate eviction for illegals or drawing a few red lines ourselves and actually meaning it.
 
Re: chemical attack - that was more of a potential 9/11 style attack possibility. Whether a nuclear response is doctrine gets hard to implement if it's carried out by a non-state actor. Also that's more of a worst case scenario.

Agreed. I was just parroting the checklist for a Chem/Bio Response.
Degree of Response can be from low yield tactical target to immolation of the country.

Obviously can be non nuclear as well depending on CinC disposition (no comment)

Oil refineries - Depends on whether the state actor thinks, if the current possible peace deal with Iran falls through and either Israel or the US decides to hit more desalination infrastructure or oil infrastructure, it becomes a much more tempting target.
Hitting a Domestic target in the US will result in an invasion somewhere.

A plan and capacity to provide them security needs to be a consideration either way as it represents a vulnerability.
Agreed.
And again, non state actors could hit one and cause a lot of disruption to markets.
True. The lone wolf /single cell is tougher to penetrate, but also lacks resources.



and how many refugees from Iran, both legitimate and otherwise, with vulnerable families back home do we have in Canada right now?
That is the under the purview of RCMP and CSIS, as well as allied IC/LEA’s
My neighbours use one of those drones regularly and it is pre-programmed prior to t/o. A simple switch selects independent flight. A 75 liter payload would be the equivalent of 30 or so pounds of explosive.
75l payload is pretty large.
That’s going to be at least 75kg/165lbs.
Not a simple unlicensed UAS.

Furthermore, 75kg of a rudimentary fuel explosive slurry mix isn’t going to do much.
It’s a large blast, any fragmentation or directional efforts will reduce the net explosive content.

I have faith that if someone was trying to do something like this, that Canadian government assets have the ability to intervene before the launch.


Smaller <5lb payload drones would be much easier to amass undetected.

Choose any target, launch and drive away. Long gone by the time it hits. We can't defend against everything everywhere so there is little point in worrying about it. Instead perhaps we should undertake preemptive action such as immediate eviction for illegals or drawing a few red lines ourselves and actually meaning it.

Timothy McVeigh should have shown the world how susceptible we were with the Oklahoma City bombing using the Ryder truck.

Outside of 9/11, the biggest issues with North American terrorism are home grown. Most state actors keep their actions in Canada and the US to assassinations and extortion.


As far as a Red Cell attack with large scale damage — a 5t truck with ANFO crashing into an active airport terminal is about the easiest MCAS domestic action with worldwide results. One can add to the mayhem by having a jellied gasoline mixture around it as well.
It is much easier to discreetly make modern vehicles into a SUCV with large payload than a UAS.

While C-UAS efforts definitely need work, as far as North American applications go, there are much larger security concerns.
 
Russian election meddling in favour of the hard right? That would be on brand...


Leipzig drone incident fuels fears of Russian election meddling​

The unmanned vehicle packed with explosives has added to sense of vulnerability ahead of key regional races.


BERLIN — A drone packed with explosives discovered at Leipzig Airport is raising fears of foreign interference in upcoming German regional elections in which far-right politicians have campaigned on fears of escalations with Moscow.

The drone — found at a strategic airport serving Ukrainian and NATO aircraft as well as a major DHL logistics hub — is being seen as evidence of a potential act by "foreign powers," said German Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt.

The Kremlin has been accused of seeking to sway September’s elections in Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg–Western Pomerania, states in the former communist East Germany where pro-Russian sentiment remains strong and where the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party could take power for the first time at the state level.

 
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