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A-10 Warthog

I think fundamentally the question is how much COIN does one expect to do that justifies keeping a separate type that has limited utility elsewhere. The A-10s being 9.5% of the fast jet combat fleet is a substantial hindrance for the USAF. That will get cut down. If all that's planned is occasional fights in Africa, than a smaller dedicated fleet of 50-80 frames (of a COIN aircraft that is substantially less capable than the A-10) is probably what they end up with. But looking at what is happening with next gen rotorcraft, we're fast converging to a point where coax and tiltrotors have much of the same performance characteristics of an A-10. Only a matter of time to me before the Army and Marine Corps start asking why the USAF has OA1s when they can just weaponize an MV-75 and do the same job. And there's a case to be made that they can do it much better than the USAF.
Ye ole Key West Agreement rears its ugly head. I can see the USAF digging it's heels in about it isn't a rotary wing, so you can't arm it offensively ...
While that can't stop the USMC, the Army only really gets to do something with Armed Airframes if either it's hidden by USASOC or the USAF doesn't want and abdicates the role. The Army won "Chopper Wars" as the USAF didn't want it, and then USAF fought the Army adopting the Chinook and tried to bury that way back when as well. Army Aviation has ceded any gunship development to USASOC, and 160th has been rather hot/cold on the MV-75 due to it not working a lot of mission profiles.

Also the USAF doesn't own the OA1's that is SOCOM. Yes AFSOC, but funded out of SOCOM for SOCOM as the Big USAF didn't want the mission.
 
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Yep. There's a lot of institutional politics and inside baseball on how this plays out. Mostly my point is that technology is converging to enable a rotorcraft weapons delivery platform that has the same speed, range and endurance as an A-10. As that happens, obviously current paradigms need to evolve.
 
Yep. There's a lot of institutional politics and inside baseball on how this plays out. Mostly my point is that technology is converging to enable a rotorcraft weapons delivery platform that has the same speed, range and endurance as an A-10. As that happens, obviously current paradigms need to evolve.

On the other hand the A-10 is in the inventory right now and has trained crew to fly and support them.

I am not a fan of discarding current assets to procure future assets.

I prefer to keep one foot on the ground as I advance and start bringing in the new before disposing of the old. Even if that might cost money.
 
Yep. There's a lot of institutional politics and inside baseball on how this plays out. Mostly my point is that technology is converging to enable a rotorcraft weapons delivery platform that has the same speed, range and endurance as an A-10. As that happens, obviously current paradigms need to evolve.
Agreed.

However if you need that cannon, outside something bigger than the MV-22 Osprey being fielded, you aren’t getting there from here in a non fixed wing. Now that said I think that rocket/missile loadout is preferable on the AntiTank role. The GAU-21, M61 and other lower recoil systems provide decent anti-material options outside of hard armor. Quite frankly while I think that while the A-10’s days are numbered, that @Kirkhill is right, they are still around, and many have just been recently (last 3-4 years) upgraded, so we may as well use them

I honestly don’t know what a future platform will look like, we know that with the cancellations of the attack helicopter side of Future Rotary Lift that Army Aviation doesn’t either — just that it likely won’t be a manned system.
 
I am not a fan of discarding current assets to procure future assets.

If you go a few pages back, I said that as long as they have life in them, it's good to use them. But they are getting old and burning through engines and airframe hours. At some point, it simply becomes massively expensive to keep sustaining what is a bespoke fleet.

I honestly don’t know what a future platform will look like, we know that with the cancellations of the attack helicopter side of Future Rotary Lift that Army Aviation doesn’t either — just that it likely won’t be a manned system.

FARA suffered from a fatal flaw. The performance specs were less than that of FLRAA. So it couldn't escort the now MV-75. In the proposals we see from the USA and USMC, they recognize this mismatch and increasingly propose simply weaponizing the MV-75.

Going further, recall that FARA was only meant to replace the Kiowas. If we going down the path of discussing what can replace the A-10 and provide decent CAS in a pinch, it becomes pretty obvious that tiltrotors and coax rotorcraft are the literal 80% solution (you can see this is compare range, speed, payload) and can be organic to the Army or Marine Corps. This discussion is still maturing because the technology is new and people don't fully understand the implications yet. Just look at how shocked the Army was they saw what the MV-75 enabled for long range assault. Read this and then consider that at some point they'll need a platform that can escort that force and provide support immediately and organically:

 
If you go a few pages back, I said that as long as they have life in them, it's good to use them. But they are getting old and burning through engines and airframe hours. At some point, it simply becomes massively expensive to keep sustaining what is a bespoke fleet.



FARA suffered from a fatal flaw. The performance specs were less than that of FLRAA. So it couldn't escort the now MV-75. In the proposals we see from the USA and USMC, they recognize this mismatch and increasingly propose simply weaponizing the MV-75.

Going further, recall that FARA was only meant to replace the Kiowas. If we going down the path of discussing what can replace the A-10 and provide decent CAS in a pinch, it becomes pretty obvious that tiltrotors and coax rotorcraft are the literal 80% solution (you can see this is compare range, speed, payload) and can be organic to the Army or Marine Corps. This discussion is still maturing because the technology is new and people don't fully understand the implications yet. Just look at how shocked the Army was they saw what the MV-75 enabled for long range assault. Read this and then consider that at some point they'll need a platform that can escort that force and provide support immediately and organically:


Seen.

But when we reduced that fleet others have been converting crop dusters to perform the same roles.

The same thing happened when proper air forces went jet powered in 1945. Twenty years later they were still looking for props to relace their Mustangs and Typhoons.

Our soldiers and police still train with shields and tactics the Romans would recognize. Some things cannot be discarded ot the enemy will exploit the opening.
 
Seen.

But when we reduced that fleet others have been converting crop dusters to perform the same roles.

The same thing happened when proper air forces went jet powered in 1945. Twenty years later they were still looking for props to relace their Mustangs and Typhoons.

Our soldiers and police still train with shields and tactics the Romans would recognize. Some things cannot be discarded ot the enemy will exploit the opening.
Don't forget the A1 Skyraider in Vietnam IIRC
 
If you go a few pages back, I said that as long as they have life in them, it's good to use them. But they are getting old and burning through engines and airframe hours. At some point, it simply becomes massively expensive to keep sustaining what is a bespoke fleet.
strictly on the side, your bespoke fleet is twice the size of our entire air force.
 
strictly on the side, your bespoke fleet is twice the size of our entire air force.

Sure. But contrary to popular belief, even the USAF has resource constraints. Even if those are constraints beyond our imagination. Again, the A-10 is almost 10% of the USAF's fast jet combat fleet. That is not proportional to the primary threat. Basically, they have to start planning near-peer with a 10% handicap.
 
Sure. But contrary to popular belief, even the USAF has resource constraints. Even if those are constraints beyond our imagination. Again, the A-10 is almost 10% of the USAF's fast jet combat fleet. That is not proportional to the primary threat. Basically, they have to start planning near-peer with a 10% handicap.

And that is the role of the US Air National Guard who wants to keep flying the A-10.

A lower cost means of maintaining a "Just in Case" capability in a lower threat environment.

As the head of NORAD said, in his jurisdiction Gen 5 fighters are not critical to the threats he is facing. He is content with F16s and older F15s for most of his missions.

The pacing threat he is facing at home is the low and slow UAS threat and in that threat environment the A-10 still has a place.

 
FARA suffered from a fatal flaw. The performance specs were less than that of FLRAA. So it couldn't escort the now MV-75. In the proposals we see from the USA and USMC, they recognize this mismatch and increasingly propose simply weaponizing the MV-75.
Is the MV-75 a good configuration for the CAS role? The rotors are huge vulnerable targets for ground fire and when in the forward flight position would seriously constrain the firing arcs of any weapons mounted. Even missiles mounted on the stub wings would be firing pretty darned close to the blade tips and cabin-mounted weapons would have their forward firing arcs blocked. Maybe a chin-mounted cannon like the Apache?
 
In defence of @YZT 's position that the future is catching up to the A-10


Hellfires from Reapers.

Given that the APKWS II was developed as the low cost alternative to the Hellfire for the AH-64, and uses the same guidance system, I think it is safe to assume that the Hellfires on the Reaper could be swapped out for 4 or 7 packs of the APKWS II.
 
Is the MV-75 a good configuration for the CAS role? The rotors are huge vulnerable targets for ground fire and when in the forward flight position would seriously constrain the firing arcs of any weapons mounted. Even missiles mounted on the stub wings would be firing pretty darned close to the blade tips and cabin-mounted weapons would have their forward firing arcs blocked. Maybe a chin-mounted cannon like the Apache?
No, it really is not -- the same way the MV-22 Osprey is very limited in offensive weapons.
Also Bell had to go back and rework the V-280 Valor's (MV-75) internal cabin layout after award due to realizing (read being told) the need for crew chief weapon stations. It is very problematic as while in rotary flight the cabin area is clear - and the arcs are solid for ground support - but when the shift to forward propellor "winged" flight the arc are extremely limited from both a wing pylon type or from crew chief minigun stations.

Quite honestly the Chinook replacement segment of FVL is still in draft - give the size/weight capacity of that program - you may end up with a much more fit for purpose Ground Support / Ground Attack platform in that. If it becomes anything at all, as there is a still a lot of angst in the Army Aviation community about the MV-75, and if the gains in speed and range where worth the other capability losses.

I am not holding my breath, as MV-75 is still in it's infancy, and there will be a lot of lessons to be learned from it as it starts to mature.
 
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