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CAN-USA Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

Canada needs to apply reciprocal tariffs to everything that's excluded. And see how that lands...
Would be nice if Canada/Carney took off the gloves.

Export tariffs on oil, potash, critical minerals.

Especially oil. You think it's expensive now....just wait.
 
Another Trump tantrum.....

If the U.S. doesn’t produce enough cement domestically and needs to import it, taxing Americans who buy it seems somewhat self-defeating, no?
 
If the U.S. doesn’t produce enough cement domestically and needs to import it, taxing Americans who buy it seems somewhat self-defeating, no?
One would think.

An export tariff on oil/gas/potash/electricity/nickel would for certain rattle their cage - but at what cost to us?
 
One would think.

An export tariff on oil/gas/potash/electricity/nickel would for certain rattle their cage - but at what cost to us?
Oil has physical limits(pipelines) on how much we could export elsewhere, but it would drive up American fuel costs. It would be a costly game of chicken.

Potash can go elsewhere, I think that's fine, especially with fertilizer globally being hard hit by the iran war.

Electricity, hard hit for the yanks, but at the same time, unless they have alternatives, they are stuck with the price.

Nickle would be fine.

More importantly, Canadians would hold out due to spite. Would Americans?
 
Oil has physical limits(pipelines) on how much we could export elsewhere, but it would drive up American fuel costs. It would be a costly game of chicken.

Potash can go elsewhere, I think that's fine, especially with fertilizer globally being hard hit by the iran war.

Electricity, hard hit for the yanks, but at the same time, unless they have alternatives, they are stuck with the price.

Nickle would be fine.

More importantly, Canadians would hold out due to spite. Would Americans?
They pretty much are handcuffed to our oil right now - they have no viable other options. Export tax it and they will have to pay for it.

I don’t think we’ll come to that on our side. Trump is having to deal with being the guy who dropped the soap in the communal shower right now on Iran. He’s flaying about to try and point out a distraction so he can escape the shower and make it back to his cell. We are the distraction.
 
They pretty much are handcuffed to our oil right now - they have no viable other options. Export tax it and they will have to pay for it.

I don’t think we’ll come to that on our side. Trump is having to deal with being the guy who dropped the soap in the communal shower right now on Iran. He’s flaying about to try and point out a distraction so he can escape the shower and make it back to his cell. We are the distraction.
Problem is, Trump is painting Carney into a box.

Carney, for all his pragmatism, got elected on Elbows up. He got elected on PP would be weak on the US file.

He burned a lot of his political capital on being conciliatory to the USA to get a deal. It was for not. He's being made to look like a fool or pushover on the bridge deal, Carney saying one thing while lutnick gloats about another.

Here is the thing about elbows up. Once Carney loses that allure, once he's no longer seen as Captain Canada, he wont get that back. So to simply sit by meekly while the Americans do this is to risk just tanking his poll numbers. He might need to do something, otherwise it's no longer elbows up, its turtling.
 
Problem is, Trump is painting Carney into a box.

Carney, for all his pragmatism, got elected on Elbows up. He got elected on PP would be weak on the US file.

He burned a lot of his political capital on being conciliatory to the USA to get a deal. It was for not. He's being made to look like a fool or pushover on the bridge deal, Carney saying one thing while lutnick gloats about another.

Here is the thing about elbows up. Once Carney loses that allure, once he's no longer seen as Captain Canada, he wont get that back. So to simply sit by meekly while the Americans do this is to risk just tanking his poll numbers. He might need to do something, otherwise it's no longer elbows up, its turtling.
Time will tell.
 
If the U.S. doesn’t produce enough cement domestically and needs to import it, taxing Americans who buy it seems somewhat self-defeating, no?
they used to tariff Mexican cement at 100%, no idea now, been lots of consolidation in the cement industry
 
Thankfully for Carney, Trump has given him 30 days to craft a response, but I don't think it will be politicallly palatable to simply turn the other cheek this time.
Didn’t Trump announce other tariffs against us 2+ months ago and nothing happened?
 
Would be nice if Canada/Carney took off the gloves.

Export tariffs on oil, potash, critical minerals.

Especially oil. You think it's expensive now....just wait.
I suspect, Trump being Trump that would not work the way we hope it would unfortunately.
 
50% tariffs on things like wine, cement and hockey stick coming in 30 days, I guess DT needs some distractions


Section 338 has never been used in this way before (to impose tariffs). I'm calling TACO before the 30 day countdown ends or the impending court challenge kills it in the cradle.
 
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