CAN-USA Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

[Furniture]

James Dean Garriock, 49.

Calgary man facing firearms charges after alleged death threats linked to tariffs

Calgary police have charged a man after he allegedly threatened to shoot another man inside a southwest grocery store.

www.ctvnews.ca

This specific case seems less a matter of ‘lowering the temperature’, and more a single individual who’s completely unhinged.

There is a somewhat concerning number of unhinged people on the internet calling for/or at least hopeful for a US annexation, to fix the "woke" in Canada. Particularly if you wander into the cesspit of CGN's more political sub-forums...

Too many people terminally online in their weirdo echo-chambers, and not coming up for air in the real world.

 

[Halifax Tar]

Particularly if you wander into the cesspit of CGN's more political sub-forums...

They creep me out...

 

[brihard]

Interesting ramifications of the Iran quagmire: the spike in oil prices may significantly offset our economic losses due to U.S. tariffs.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-oil-prices-trump-iran-trade-war-tariffs-9.7341298

I have to wonder what that will do to our trade surplus that the U.S. is so super happy about?

 

[lenaitch]

Interesting ramifications of the Iran quagmire: the spike in oil prices may significantly offset our economic losses due to U.S. tariffs.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-oil-prices-trump-iran-trade-war-tariffs-9.7341298

I have to wonder what that will do to our trade surplus that the U.S. is so super happy about?

Not to worry. They'll get all they need from their new vassal state of Venezuela.

Besides, prices are going to tumble . . . after the midterms. He said so, so it must be true.

 

[brihard]

Not to worry. They'll get all they need from their new vassal state of Venezuela.

Besides, prices are going to tumble . . . after the midterms. He said so, so it must be true.

Well yeah, sending every adult $5000 will definitely reduce demand for consumer goods and cause fuel prices to come down. Obviously.

 

[PPCLI Guy]

Too many people terminally online in their weirdo echo-chambers, and not coming up for air in the real world.

Also the motto of this place......

 

[Good2Golf]

Also the motto of this place......

Isn’t it Pillei et Digitabula?

 

[Jarnhamar]

Also the motto of this place......

Crazy when you consider we've been on this forum longer than a lot of new soldiers have been alive.

 

[brihard]

Crazy when you consider we've been on this forum longer than a lot of new soldiers have been alive.

Used to be my joints hurt from doing army stuff. Now they hurt from saving a baby-fumble and eating shit off a picnic table in the process.

 

[HavokFour]

The Ford government is all in on buying Canadian, and put out a warning today to municipalities.

Failure to comply with Buy Ontario requirements will force us to reconsider provincial funding made available to municipalities, in addition to other consequences under the Buy Ontario Act (Public Sector Procurement), 2025.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2100196770953199672

 

[HavokFour]

And there it is, serving up a massive vulnerability to a Russian puppet state.

Trump working on deal to buy potash from Belarus for lower price than Canada

U.S. President Donald Trump says he is working on a “massive deal” to purchase potash from Belarus.

www.ctvnews.ca

 

[Retired AF Guy]

And there it is, serving up a massive vulnerability to a Russian puppet state.

Trump working on deal to buy potash from Belarus for lower price than Canada

U.S. President Donald Trump says he is working on a “massive deal” to purchase potash from Belarus.

www.ctvnews.ca

That will be interesting when you consider that Belarus is 5,000+ miles from the US and Canada is literally right next door!

 

[HavokFour]

That will be interesting when you consider that Belarus is 5,000+ miles from the US and Canada is literally right next door!

...and the cost of fuel right now.

 

[brihard]

The U.S. would have to buy effectively all of Belarus’ potash to replace what they get from Canada; roughly half of our exports go to the U.S.

If they did this, everyone Belarus currently exports to would need to find new suppliers. As potash is a commodity, existing suppliers and purchasers would find each other through normal mechanisms, and all purchasers would simply pay a bit more for a less cost effective supply. Someone else would still buy our potash.

If U.S. purchasers could get a better price for Belarusian potash, they already would be doing so. I can only see this happening if the U.S. abandons current sanctions on Belarus and drops existing tariffs.

 

[Czech_pivo]

That will be interesting when you consider that Belarus is 5,000+ miles from the US and Canada is literally right next door!

How will this Belarus potash be transported?

Poland does not allow any Belarus fertilizer to be transported through its territory. The same with the Baltic states. Fertilizer is one of the banned export items.

 

[HavokFour]

The U.S. would have to buy effectively all of Belarus’ potash to replace what they get from Canada; roughly half of our exports go to the U.S.

If they did this, everyone Belarus currently exports to would need to find new suppliers. As potash is a commodity, existing suppliers and purchasers would find each other through normal mechanisms, and all purchasers would simply pay a bit more for a less cost effective supply. Someone else would still buy our potash.

If U.S. purchasers could get a better price for Belarusian potash, they already would be doing so. I can only see this happening if the U.S. abandons current sanctions on Belarus and drops existing tariffs.

Brazil, India, and China being their biggest customers. Does buddy not know potash is basically a global commodity just like oil is? Those gaps created would quickly be filled (by us) and all he'd get for it is higher prices for Americans exclusively, on top of giving leverage to a Russian vassal.

On top of all this the new mine starting up in Jansen is going to bring us to 4x more Potash production compared to Belarus over the next decade, it being 25 million tons vs 7 million tons now.

 

[MilEME09]

How will this Belarus potash be transported?

Poland does not allow any Belarus fertilizer to be transported through its territory. The same with the Baltic states. Fertilizer is one of the banned export items.

The only option is to ship via Russia, closest port would be St. Petersburg. So America is paying Belarus to ship potash via Russian ports and ships to the US, many of those ships are sanctioned because they have been running stolen Ukrainian grain.

 

[Gordon Dundas/]

The only option is to ship via Russia, closest port would be St. Petersburg. So America is paying Belarus to ship potash via Russian ports and ships to the US, many of those ships are sanctioned because they have been running stolen Ukrainian grain.

It should be interesting to watch either the State or Agriculture Departments tie themselves into knots trying to explain this.

 

[HavokFour]

It sounds like the Colonel has already shot the idea down.

Lukashenka cited negotiations with the American side as an example of this. He had previously reported on the supply of Belarusian potash fertilizers to the US. However, he stated, large volumes of products cannot be supplied, as all fertilizers for this year have already been contracted. Lukashenka emphasized that even if there was a desire to enter other Western markets, there are allegedly no free volumes of products.

Lukashenka: Even if we wanted to supply potash to the West, there's nothing to supply

nashaniva.com

 

[Good2Golf]

That will be interesting when you consider that Belarus is 5,000+ miles from the US and Canada is literally right next door!

Protecting tender egos is well worth the additional cost.

How will this Belarus potash be transported?

Poland does not allow any Belarus fertilizer to be transported through its territory. The same with the Baltic states. Fertilizer is one of the banned export items.

Cargo trebuchets, transporting the potash aerially from Belarus, over Poland via the Suwałki gap, into Kaliningrad, and thereafter via U.S. registered cargo ships…easy peasy.