I am on a LOGFAS course right now and consumption rates are a hot topic.
“When we started fielding some of these systems, we weren’t concerned about thousands of ballistic missiles, particularly from smaller countries,” Meink said.
Whether it’s air-based, ground-to-air, air defense, or offensive action systems, Meink said, “we just never predicted the numbers and scale of what we’re seeing.”
Air Force leaders are poised to decide as early as this summer on the number of Collaborative Combat Aircraft the service will need.
www.airandspaceforces.com
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How far have we come from our Cold War expectations of 72 hr battles and 3 week wars? Much less the end of history and peace dividends?
It is great that we are embracing all this counter-battery, high payload long range stuff, like HIMARS FOM and Mk41 compatible missiles but it seems to me that the urgent requirement, as seen in Ukraine, Russia and now the Gulf, is all the small calibre GBAD/CUAS/LAA guns, bullets and sub 70 mm missiles.
Concerted campaigns of missiles and drones are bad. More economically and politically debilitating is the sporadic attack from both internal and external actors.
The counter-battery stuff may eliminate most of the threats most of the time but it is the possibility that any target, any where can be at risk from anyone that is both novel and concerning.
And the worst part is that that elevate risk demands greater expenditure of time and money even if a single Radio Shack homebuilt never lands.
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Even if Trump and every president before him had not been demanding raising defence spending to 2, 3,5 or 5% the insurance companies would have got us there as actuarial risk increased.