The Strategic MP; Chuck Cadman: This is the one that has got me thinking the most, and I haven't seen much about it so far in the media; maybe they'll wise up to it. A few squeakers in British Columbia finished up in the Conservatives favour, giving them 99 seats in the Commons. Chuck Cadman, ousted from the Conservative spot in a Surrey riding by another candidate signing up some "instant Conservatives" from his ethnic community, managed to show that alot of residents in his riding still believe in the importance of the term representative in our representative democracy. Good on them for voting for a candidate that will represent them in Parliament instead of voting for what has become in recent times a party front man. Cadman has stated that he will poll his constituents to see what party, if any, they are interested in forming; with the way the seats turned out, Cadman can probably have the option of staying neutral and being a factor in the House. Either way, hopefully he has the stones to keep his word and stay free of a party or go with his constituants wishes, because I guarantee you all three parties would be willing to "buy" him.
Anyways, three big implications from this:
1: The NDP is not in the strategic position to offer an alliance to form a majority government. The Liberal 135 and the NDP 19 puts them at 154, one short of the majority government.
2: If the Conservatives and the Bloq decide to band together on a devolution of power agenda, they would sit at Conservative 99 and Bloq 54: 153, two short of the Majority vote.
3: Cadman, the swing guy can join his old Conservative Party to bring a Bloq/Conservative alliance up to 154, deadlocking Parliament at a 154:154 tie (assuming the NDP and the Libs get cozy). What happens with deadlock in Parliament votes anyways? Alternatively, he could be "bought" with a Cabinet position to bring an NDP/Liberal majority coalition up to the 155 seat critical mass. This theory may play out, or it may not; the fluidity of a minority government could send this entire theory to the scrap heap.