General Election: Oct 21, 2019

[stellarpanther]

I'm sure I'll be proven wrong but I think this will last because no other party wants to see the CPC running the country.

 

[daftandbarmy]

History suggests 18-24 months.  Time enough for the Conservatives to search their souls and chose a leader of their party ready to be the leader of the the country.....

... and the best man for that job is probably a female conservative MP, IMHO

 

[AbdullahD]

I'm sure I'll be proven wrong but I think this will last because no other party wants to see the CPC running the country.

Unless the NDP think they can steal it... I'd love CPC minority with NDP official opposition.

 

[Remius]

Lisa Raitt, currently behind.

Jane philpot, JWR behind as well.

 

[BurnDoctor]

Lisa Raitt, currently behind.

Jane philpot, JWR behind as well.

Does that lend credence to the idea that Liberals are fake feminists like their leader?

 

[Remius]

Mad max.  Done.

 

[brihard]

How long could we expect a minority government to last?

The Bloc can prop the Liberals up on their own. The NDP/Green or possibly NDP on their own will probably also be able to. The Liberals will have a lot of options... They’re good for a while; they won’t fall until both Bloc and NDP each think that they stand to gain from an early election.

We’re also sitting with not many polls reporting still in many areas, so little is yet carved in stone.

Beauce is being called for the CPC. The PPC look to have been completely shut out, which I think is a very good thing for Canada.

 

[Remius]

The NDP is broke and won’t want another campaign anytime soon.

 

[Jarnhamar]

Are Conservatives winning the popular vote?

 

[Remius]

Are Conservatives winning the popular vote?

Pretty much what the pollsters were saying.  33% each.  CPC à fraction ahead.


Correction:  34 for the CPC, 33.7 for the LPC

 

[BurnDoctor]

Welp, I’m out. First thing in the morning. Hope to see some of you over on army.ab someday.

 

[Jarnhamar]

Pretty much what the pollsters were saying.  33% each.  CPC à fraction ahead.


Correction:  34 for the CPC, 33.7 for the LPC

Mariomike does this mean you're going to be arguing that Scheer should have won the election?

 

[brihard]

Welp, I’m out. First thing in the morning. Hope to see some of you over on army.ab someday.

You’ll be fine.

 

[SeaKingTacco]

The CPC ran a terrible campaign. I hope heads roll.

On the Liberal side, it looks like Ralph Goodale might be finished in Regina.

 

[tomahawk6]

So the Libs will form a minority government or at least try to. A new election in 18 to 24 months ?

 

[Remius]

So the Libs will form a minority government or at least try to. A new election in 18 to 24 months ?

That’s a possible timeframe.  But the NDP is broke and needs time to fill their coffers. They will prop up the LPC for a while.

 

[SeaKingTacco]

So the Libs will form a minority government or at least try to. A new election in 18 to 24 months ?

Yes- they are only about a dozen short of a majority. I would expect they will make deal with the NDP. Or the NDP may decide to just support them on an issue by issue basis.

The interesting thing is what this means for Elizabeth May. She might be finished, too. 3(ish) seats for the Greens is not the bearkthrough they were hoping for.

 

[Cloud Cover]

Goodale is out.

 

[Brad Sallows]

The willingness of an opposition party to go along with defeating a minority will depend on whether it has funds to fight an election and whether it likes the leader it has.  If, for example, the NDP is low on funds and decides to blame underperformance (looking at about 25 elected/leading at this moment, with final poll aggregations having predicted 32+) on Singh, the NDP will not be in a hurry to defeat the government.

Likewise, if the CPC fails to hit 125 to 130, it might want to replace Scheer before defeating a minority.

 

[Jarnhamar]

Goodale is out.

Where do I go to see if Mark holland is out?