Iran Super Thread- Merged

[HavokFour]

They really might be entirely alone if they decide to put boots in Iran. The Kurds don't want to go round 4 (?) with being left holding the bag.

US-Israeli plan for Kurdish invasion of Iran reportedly collapsed amid leaks, distrust​

 

[brihard]

They really might be entirely alone if they decide to put boots in Iran. The Kurds don't want to go round 4 (?) with being left holding the bag.

US-Israeli plan for Kurdish invasion of Iran reportedly collapsed amid leaks, distrust​

Well sure. Why would the Kurds want to get screwed over and left hanging again? If the regime collapses I’m sure they’ll happily fight to carve out their territory, but why would they take the risk of kicking things off at the behest of an unreliable partner that cannot be trusted to pull them out of a bad spot?

 

[FJAG]

If in the end the investigation shows that a US strike hit the school, there are only two ways it happened. Either it was deliberate, or it was the culmination of a chain of errors.

In a way it was both but not quite the way you put forward.

The targeting cycle for air strikes is a fairly exact process. The results are more than likely one of the following two situations:

1) a target close to the school was the intended target but there was a technical glitch (mechanical or data entry) that caused the bomb to go "off target;" or

2) the school was the target to be hit but an intelligence failure caused the targeting team to evaluate the school as still being a part of the adjacent base without knowing that it had been turned into a school.

From the material in the press to this point, my guess is that it will turn out to be the latter.