Huh, on that timely note:
Nice.
Agreed. Good start if Smith is coming out of the blocks conciliatory.Nice.
So I've been hearing that for parties to get reimbursement for their election expenses they need to reach 10 percent support in a riding.
The LPC and CPC had no problems here, the Bloc fell short in 8 percent of ridings, and the NDP fell short in 89 percent of ridings they ran in.
I assume this means they are effectively bankrupt if they get penies on the dollar back from their election expenses.
Might be the determining factor for floor crossers or how long the NDP support the LPC, with them just trying to pay off debt.
William Lyon MacKenzie King had to do that twice.And if the Liberals were in the same situation, you wouldn't suspect some ... persuasion from on high? Especially if the coach's advisor was known for being ruthlessly cutthroat politically?
I'll admit it works no matter the party involved, but I'm guessing there may have been more than zero "voluntold" here - especially if brighter opportunities are (not) offered (out loud or in writing).
The 2 seats in Windsor previously were Lib/NDP and recently both went CPC - it was the NDP supporters in both cases that went to the CPC for the wins.We can't know where NDP support went. If most NDP vote switches were to LPC and some LPC voters switched to CPC, it only looks like NDP -> CPC by the bottom line numbers (changes in vote counts) of a riding.
I would go for jugular and make a pitch to pick up all 7 NDPer’s and gut them Federally.So I've been hearing that for parties to get reimbursement for their election expenses they need to reach 10 percent support in a riding.
The LPC and CPC had no problems here, the Bloc fell short in 8 percent of ridings, and the NDP fell short in 89 percent of ridings they ran in.
I assume this means they are effectively bankrupt if they get penies on the dollar back from their election expenses.
Might be the determining factor for floor crossers or how long the NDP support the LPC, with them just trying to pay off debt.
We can only guess that, mainly because a vote shift in the working class has been noticed in Canada and the US. But short of asking every voter what their previous vote and this one were, we can't know. We don't know whether votes jumped NDP->CPC, or cascaded NDP->LPC, LPC->CPC.The 2 seats in Windsor previously were Lib/NDP and recently both went CPC - it was the NDP supporters in both cases that went to the CPC for the wins.
Having talked with a number of ex-primary and high school classmates via FB from Windsor, who I know were life long NDP supporters, they all voted for the CPC.We can only guess that, mainly because a vote shift in the working class has been noticed in Canada and the US. But short of asking every voter what their previous vote and this one were, we can't know. We don't know whether votes jumped NDP->CPC, or cascaded NDP->LPC, LPC->CPC.
I’m hoping that Carney turns out to be a Paul Martin Jr, I respected him and think that he’s been highly underrated over the years.![]()
Eight charts that show the scale of the Tories’ defeat
Local election numbers point to an unstoppable momentum, with Kemi Badenoch’s party the biggest loserswww.telegraph.co.uk
Why am I including this? Because the policies which Trudeau has been promoting for the last 10 years are the same policies that the Tories, Lib Dems and Labour have been promoting for the same period in the UK and Ireland.
Those policies in Ireland have seen the "street" rise up against the Establishment AND the IRA/Sinn Fein.
In the UK those policies have seen the rise of Nigel Farage, UKIP, Brexit and Reform.
And the local elections resulted in -
The Tories losing 635 councillors that were picked up by Reform (648).
Labour losing 198 councillors that were likely picked up by the Lib Dems (146) and Greens (41).
This was against a back drop of Labour deciding not to have elections in a bunch of council areas that they were likely to lose.
....
Reform is now projected as being in with a chance at the next General Election.
Tories and Labour, and Keir Starmer are all unpopular as are Net Zero policies.
All of which prompted Tony Blair to call time on the Davos project and note that governments need to bring the people with them.
![]()
Eight charts that show the scale of the Tories’ defeat
Local election numbers point to an unstoppable momentum, with Kemi Badenoch’s party the biggest loserswww.telegraph.co.uk
...
Next step.
Finding out if Mark Carney is Keir Starmer, Tony Blair or Groucho Marx.
View attachment 93094
Personally I am hoping for a bit of Groucho. That leans towards that well known Canadian man of principle Mackenzie King.
Carney has got a good start. Pipelines if necessary but not necessarily pipelines.
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Carney says pipelines 'not necessarily' among major projects to prioritize
Mark Carney says pipelines are “not necessarily” the large projects his government would prioritize.nationalpost.com
....
To be clear - I would be happy if Carney turned out to be a pragmatist willing to ditch his previously espoused principles.
....
As to energy corridors - if Quebec doesn't want to play I would be happy to see the Churchill-Nelson route, the Grays Bay route, the Mackenzie Valley route and the Prince Rupert routes unblocked and developed.
That would release the Prairie economy to salt water and make it harder to block and control development.
Thanks for the clarificationIt's not so simple as 10% in a riding. Reimbursement of election expenses is at two levels; Registered Parties and Candidates. What is eligible for reimbursement and the amount of any reimbursement is a whole other matter.
Part of the eligibility criteria is:
For Registered Parties:
The candidates endorsed by the party received at least:
For Candidates:
- 2% of the valid votes cast in the election, or
- 5% of the valid votes cast in the electoral districts where the party endorsed a candidate
A candidate's campaign is eligible for reimbursement if the candidate:
- was elected or received at least 10% of the valid votes, and
I think we are in for 90s fiscal liberals, not 2010s feelings liberalsI’m hoping that Carney turns out to be a Paul Martin Jr, I respected him and think that he’s been highly underrated over the years.
I think Carney ‘gets it’, he’s a businessman, he’s looking for practical solutions to the problems placed in front of him.
It would definitely set him apart from Trudeau, since they didn't follow the tradition and ran a Liberal candidate against Jagmeet in the 2019 Burnaby by-election.Andrew Coyne did suggest that if Carney didn’t play silly-bugger with allowing Poilievre a chance to get a seat in Parliament, that might suggest that Carney is too busy with the real work of the nation unlike his predecessor.
It would definitely set him apart from Trudeau, since they didn't follow the tradition and ran a Liberal candidate against Jagmeet in the 2019 Burnaby by-election.
![]()
2019 Burnaby South federal by-election - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
Hopefully the other difference will be an expanding military and military budget.I think we are in for 90s fiscal liberals, not 2010s feelings liberals
Assuming the Team Orange folks want to cross the floor.I would go for jugular and make a pitch to pick up all 7 NDPer’s and gut them Federally.
No seats at all in the House for the next 4-5yrs.
My dad’s been living there with his wife for years and we have a call scheduled tomorrow. I’m looking forward to hearing their take. She was recently a state legislator herself, so has some decent political insight.![]()
Live Results: Australia federal election 2025
Local networks project Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's left-leaning Labor Party will form Australia's next government.www.bbc.com
Interesting that Australia seems to have had a Trump factor election result as well emulating what happened here.
Including the unseating of their conservative leader.