Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

[Czech_pivo]

He's not crossing the floor. He's resigning as a member of parliament. So his seat will be open and a by-election will have to be called (unless the government falls before that time).

Anyone willing to make an educated guess as to which party will win a by-election in Edmonton Riverbed?

Who the leader of the CPC is during that by-election might play a role in who wins.

 

[PrairieFella]

Do their need Charismatic at this point in the game?
They need a voice of reason and clarity. Someone electable.

I totally agree but unfortunately reason amd clarity arent main selling points to the electorate these days. OToole was reasonable and very bright, but lacked charisma and confidence. It cost him the election.

 

[Altair]

Who the leader of the CPC is during that by-election might play a role in who wins.

According to Fife, there is still one more CPC member in play.

 

[brihard]

Didn't he just say he wasn't going anywhere 24 hours ago? Seems on par.

I might have picked up on it yet missed calling it:

Matt Jeneroux’s office has denied rumours that he’s considering crossing. While his office is a slight distinction from he himself saying it I see no reason not to take this at face value.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1986149980181021012

 

[Jarnhamar]

I might have picked up on it yet missed calling it:

You nailed it.

The Mendicino-Benardo maneuver.

"Why would I know what the people in my own office are saying?"

 

[Czech_pivo]

I totally agree but unfortunately reason amd clarity arent main selling points to the electorate these days. OToole was reasonable and very bright, but lacked charisma and confidence. It cost him the election.

That’s because he looked like another Harper against a youthful Trudeau.

 

[HavokFour]

Dust off the for Elizabeth May. The leadership review just became life or death for Pierre.

 

[Altair]

So the line of thought that it was just Chris having sour grapes is officially in the dustbin.

All the hill reporters are talking pretty openly about CPC members of parliament meeting personally with Marc Carney. They are also saying Matt Jeneroux met with Carney on Monday.

PP may not make it to January.

 

[RangerRay]

Someone is going to have to mount a fight and likely clean house.

Ford? Houston? James Moore? Rona Ambrose?

Not sure the CPC base as it is would tolerate any of those.

Christy Clark

 

[MilEME09]

Christy Clark

Let's not start digging up fossils

 

[HavokFour]

Michael Chong, arise.

 

[RangerRay]

I might have picked up on it yet missed calling it:

Well, his office was telling the truth…

 

[MilEME09]

Well, his office was telling the truth…

His riding is a conservative strong hold but was only about a 4k difference last election. A weak cpc and strong liberal candidate could spell doom in a by election. We also cant discount how anger in provincial politics at conservatives could spill over into federal.

 

[Remius]

His riding is a conservative strong hold but was only about a 4k difference last election. A weak cpc and strong liberal candidate could spell doom in a by election. We also cant discount how anger in provincial politics at conservatives could spill over into federal.

He only won by 5%

 

[Jarnhamar]

So the line of thought that it was just Chris having sour grapes is officially in the dustbin.

All the hill reporters are talking pretty openly about CPC members of parliament meeting personally with Marc Carney. They are also saying Matt Jeneroux met with Carney on Monday.

PP may not make it to January.

Liberals have said they've been courting him since 2019.

 

[RangerRay]

It’s not clear to me: is he sitting as an independent or is he resigning his seat?

 

[Remius]

It’s not clear to me: is he sitting as an independent or is he resigning his seat?

Resigning his seat

 

[brihard]

Resigning his seat

There seems to be some ambiguity as to ‘effective when?’.

 

[Remius]

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/conservative-matt-jeneroux-resigns-9.6970100

“Former Conservative campaign manager Jenni Byrne, who is still an adviser to the party, has been involved in the party's efforts to quell possible floor-crossings, sources said.”

I’m sure that isn’t helping…

 

[GK .Dundas]

Probably saying something along the line of " lf you don't like here ,GTHFO !!

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/conservative-matt-jeneroux-resigns-9.6970100

“Former Conservative campaign manager Jenni Byrne, who is still an adviser to the party, has been involved in the party's efforts to quell possible floor-crossings, sources said.”

I’m sure that isn’t helping…