Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

[Navy_Pete]

PP has to keep this Gov alive for as long as he can for two reasons:

1) Time is not PMMC or the LPCs side. The longer they are in power the more Canadians will see its the same old LPC game of announcements with missing deliverables. As a side quest, time also lets the Dems take back the US Gov. The LPC need DJT to stay in power.

2) An election now would be devastating to the CPC and probably seal his, PP's, fate.

Time is never really on the governing parties side, but I think all things considered MC is doing very well and gaining a lot of approval across the board, so may just keep getting worse for PP. Especially for the old PCs that are disillusioned with the Reformer and social conservative sway on the CPC, where it's pretty easy to see MC as a red Tory.

This is a pretty unprecedented time in modern history, and really haven't heard anything out of the CPCs about what they would actually do differently, once you get past their corny verbing the noun slogans and empty complaints and reflexive criticism.

 

[brihard]

PP has to keep this Gov alive for as long as he can for two reasons:

1) Time is not PMMC or the LPCs side. The longer they are in power the more Canadians will see its the same old LPC game of announcements with missing deliverables. As a side quest, time also lets the Dems take back the US Gov. The LPC need DJT to stay in power.

2) An election now would be devastating to the CPC and probably seal his, PP's, fate.

Alternatively, as time passes more commitments and agreements may turn into delivery and tangible things being built. Which I mean is obviously what we all hope for.

I maintain that Poilievre is simply not the leader the times call for. He had a place to play and he did his bit, but against someone like Carney the CPC need to attract someone with similar chops in working in the real world, not an entire adult life spent in the Ottawa Parliamentary bubble.

 

[Halifax Tar]

Alternatively, as time passes more commitments and agreements may turn into delivery and tangible things being built. Which I mean is obviously what we all hope for.

I guess that depends on the individual policies.

I maintain that Poilievre is simply not the leader the times call for. He had a place to play and he did his bit, but against someone like Carney the CPC need to attract someone with similar chops in working in the real world, not an entire adult life spent in the Ottawa Parliamentary bubble.

Absolutely, I am simply trying to think PP. And predict how sees the lay of the land.

 

[brihard]

I guess that depends on the individual policies.

Sorry, I should have clarified that I’m talking specifically about economic development projects.

 

[HavokFour]

Getting wider.

Every alarm bell should be going off in the CPC with how close the Liberals have gotten to them in Alberta, Manitoba, and Saskatchewan.

https://storage.ghost.io/c/5a/2c/5a2c6702-fc8c-4232-bdc0-33fad8d71a80/content/files/2026/03/2026.03.09---Federal-Tracker.pdf

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 14

March 2, 2026 (Toronto, ON) – A new national survey from Liaison Strategies shows the federal Liberals have established a significant 14-point lead over the Conservatives among decided and leaning voters with 44% support. The Weekly Federal Tracker shows the Conservatives in second place at...

press.liaisonstrategies.ca

The trend continues with Nanos. This puts the CPC 3% away from their base starting to erode.

Pragmatism seems to be a key feature politicians in Canada should have.

LPC 46, CPC 33, NDP 10. Preferred PM, Carney 57, Poilievre 22. – Nanos Research

nanos.co