Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

[Navy_Pete]

PP has to keep this Gov alive for as long as he can for two reasons:

1) Time is not PMMC or the LPCs side. The longer they are in power the more Canadians will see its the same old LPC game of announcements with missing deliverables. As a side quest, time also lets the Dems take back the US Gov. The LPC need DJT to stay in power.

2) An election now would be devastating to the CPC and probably seal his, PP's, fate.

Time is never really on the governing parties side, but I think all things considered MC is doing very well and gaining a lot of approval across the board, so may just keep getting worse for PP. Especially for the old PCs that are disillusioned with the Reformer and social conservative sway on the CPC, where it's pretty easy to see MC as a red Tory.

This is a pretty unprecedented time in modern history, and really haven't heard anything out of the CPCs about what they would actually do differently, once you get past their corny verbing the noun slogans and empty complaints and reflexive criticism.

 

[brihard]

PP has to keep this Gov alive for as long as he can for two reasons:

1) Time is not PMMC or the LPCs side. The longer they are in power the more Canadians will see its the same old LPC game of announcements with missing deliverables. As a side quest, time also lets the Dems take back the US Gov. The LPC need DJT to stay in power.

2) An election now would be devastating to the CPC and probably seal his, PP's, fate.

Alternatively, as time passes more commitments and agreements may turn into delivery and tangible things being built. Which I mean is obviously what we all hope for.

I maintain that Poilievre is simply not the leader the times call for. He had a place to play and he did his bit, but against someone like Carney the CPC need to attract someone with similar chops in working in the real world, not an entire adult life spent in the Ottawa Parliamentary bubble.

 

[Halifax Tar]

Alternatively, as time passes more commitments and agreements may turn into delivery and tangible things being built. Which I mean is obviously what we all hope for.

I guess that depends on the individual policies.

I maintain that Poilievre is simply not the leader the times call for. He had a place to play and he did his bit, but against someone like Carney the CPC need to attract someone with similar chops in working in the real world, not an entire adult life spent in the Ottawa Parliamentary bubble.

Absolutely, I am simply trying to think PP. And predict how sees the lay of the land.

 

[brihard]

I guess that depends on the individual policies.

Sorry, I should have clarified that I’m talking specifically about economic development projects.

 

[HavokFour]

Getting wider.

Every alarm bell should be going off in the CPC with how close the Liberals have gotten to them in Alberta, Manitoba, and Saskatchewan.

https://storage.ghost.io/c/5a/2c/5a2c6702-fc8c-4232-bdc0-33fad8d71a80/content/files/2026/03/2026.03.09---Federal-Tracker.pdf

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 14

March 2, 2026 (Toronto, ON) – A new national survey from Liaison Strategies shows the federal Liberals have established a significant 14-point lead over the Conservatives among decided and leaning voters with 44% support. The Weekly Federal Tracker shows the Conservatives in second place at...

press.liaisonstrategies.ca

The trend continues with Nanos. This puts the CPC 3% away from their base starting to erode.

Pragmatism seems to be a key feature politicians in Canada should have.

LPC 46, CPC 33, NDP 10. Preferred PM, Carney 57, Poilievre 22. – Nanos Research

nanos.co

 

[YZT580]

The trend continues with Nanos. This puts the CPC 3% away from their base starting to erode.

Pragmatism seems to be a key feature politicians in Canada should have.

LPC 46, CPC 33, NDP 10. Preferred PM, Carney 57, Poilievre 22. – Nanos Research

nanos.co

The only poll that counts is on election day. That may sound trite but I am still waiting for the deliveries and not the speeches. As I wrote earlier, it has been a year and apart from travel miles and signed pieces of paper I haven't seen any deliverables actually in play. There are no pipelines, indigenous are still boiling water and taking possession of more and more of downtown VR without any further oil reaching the coast on either side. The NFLD development owes nothing to Carney and Quebec is still blocking everything proposed eastbound. Companies are still paying the industrial carbon tax. If there is no action on any of the major issues within a year it isn't going to happen and the votes will start going back the other way

 

[Lumber]

The only poll that counts is on election day. That may sound trite but I am still waiting for the deliveries and not the speeches. As I wrote earlier, it has been a year and apart from travel miles and signed pieces of paper I haven't seen any deliverables actually in play. There are no pipelines, indigenous are still boiling water and taking possession of more and more of downtown VR without any further oil reaching the coast on either side. The NFLD development owes nothing to Carney and Quebec is still blocking everything proposed eastbound. Companies are still paying the industrial carbon tax. If there is no action on any of the major issues within a year it isn't going to happen and the votes will start going back the other way

Respectfully, I disagree. It was abysmal poling that led to Trudeau stepping down. Wouldn't you say that was a good thing?

 

[Halifax Tar]

Respectfully, I disagree. It was abysmal poling that led to Trudeau stepping down. Wouldn't you say that was a good thing?

Arguably Chrystia Freeland is Canada's unsung savior. Trudeau seemed to want his turn against PP.

2024–2025 Canadian political crisis - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[Humphrey Bogart]

Hubris is my only explanation. I hate to throw in my hat either certain factions, but perhaps a dismissal the political waste land is what's required to reset things.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2027833518907089254

Carney's popularity and the LPC staying power is 50% related to #ElbowsUp and #OrangeManBad and 50% related to the socialist bent of this Country. It has nothing to do with Pollievre.

By all metrics, Canada isn't doing particularly well, but.... the majority don't really seem to care. Especially if they continue to get their entitlements and Government handouts.

Canadians have already rejected the Con platform in 2014 when they booted Harper out of office. The message hasn't really changed since then either. The Cons aren't offering anything the average Canadian wants.

 

[GR66]

Alternatively, as time passes more commitments and agreements may turn into delivery and tangible things being built. Which I mean is obviously what we all hope for.

You'd think that would be true, but I get the distinct impression that there are some people that would rather see Carney fail than succeed despite what that implies for Canada.

 

[HavokFour]

And here they come.

BYD, Chery, and Geely.

Three Chinese Automakers Confirmed for Canada Entry by Year-End | EV

Three of China's largest automakers are moving toward their first consumer vehicle sales in Canada by the year's end, with certification work and retail network development already underway.

eletric-vehicles.com