Gap is closing... but who can swing votes away from the other parties...
Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 6 as Conservatives Narrow Gap
The Liberals lead the Conservatives 41% to 35%, while Mark Carney approval slips and Pierre Poilievre posts his best favourability numbers since June.
July 13, 2026 (Toronto, ON) - The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a 6-point lead over Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives.
Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals stand at 41%, followed by the Conservatives at 35%, the NDP at 14%, the Bloc Québécois at 6%, the Green Party at 2%, and the People's Party and Other parties at 1% each.
Among all voters, the Liberals are at 36%, the Conservatives are at 31%, the NDP is at 12%, the Bloc is at 5%, the Greens and PPC are at 1% each, Other parties are at 0%, and 14% are undecided.
The Liberals lead the Conservatives 41% to 35%, while Mark Carney approval slips and Pierre Poilievre posts his best favourability numbers since June.
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