daftandbarmy
Army.ca Fossil
- Reaction score
- 48,563
- Points
- 1,160
You’re proving my point on foreign ownership risk, but the rest of the math simply doesn't hold up.
Reclaiming Stelco won't create demand out of thin air. Without guaranteed high-volume domestic need across all sectors, a Canadian-owned mill faces the exact same structural deficit. Chinese import volumes are fragmented across dozens of specialized product grades, meaning total tonnage still falls well short of the multi-million-tonne threshold needed to justify a dedicated mill to replace them.
As for Europe, targeting their market ignores massive transatlantic ocean freight costs and carbon border taxes that destroy any profit margin. At the end of the day, we can't subsidize or nationalize our way past basic market size. Without seamless access to North American supply chains, isolated Canadian lines will just run under capacity at taxpayer expense.
We've seen this sort of thing before: it starts with a Cape and ends with a Breton. I'm a Maritimer with a long memory.
Turning uncompetitive mills into state-backed heritage projects to preserve jobs or signal industrial pride is how you end up with another Sysco / Sydney Steel: decades of endless taxpayer bailouts, billions spent chasing markets that don't exist, and an eventual collapse that leaves the public holding the bill. You can't nationalize or subsidize your way past basic market reality.
We have always been a net importer of steel. But we're in the hurt locket now that tarriffs have pinched off access to the US markets...
Meanwhile, the (astonishingly complex, multi-faceted, expensive and risky) mitigation plan that was announced last year for wood and steel - the most heavily unionized, capital intensive and hard to adapt quickly to new conditions industries:
Prime Minister announces new measures to protect and transform Canada’s steel and lumber industries
The world is changing rapidly. The United States, the world’s largest economy, is fundamentally reshaping all its trade relationships, causing major disruption and upheaval for Canadians. It is time to transform our economy from one that is reliant on a single trade partner to one that is stronger, more self-sufficient, and resilient to global shocks. That means working with urgency and determination to transform our strategic industries – including steel and lumber – so they can adapt, compete, and win in this new global environment.
Prime Minister announces new measures to protect and transform Canada’s steel and lumber industries
The world is changing rapidly. The United States, the world’s largest economy, is fundamentally reshaping all its trade relationships, causing major disruption and upheaval for Canadians. It is time to transform our economy from one that is reliant on a single trade partner to one that is...
