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Link to story:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080924.welection25/BNStory/politics/home
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080924.welection25/BNStory/politics/home
JANE TABER AND STEVEN CHASE
Globe and Mail Update
September 24, 2008 at 11:47 PM EDT
OTTAWA and WINNIPEG — Stéphane Dion enters the halfway point of the election campaign under fire from members of his own party, many of whom have already given up on forming government.
Some Liberals are framing the weeks ahead as a case of salvaging what they have currently – 95 seats – and ensuring the election campaign does not end in the devastation seen in 1984, when John Turner's Liberals were reduced to a mere 40 seats.
“Not one, not a single serious Liberal is talking about Stéphane Dion becoming Prime Minister,” a long-time Liberal said. “This is not about beating Harper as PM. This is about living for another day.”
A Harris/Decima rolling poll has this week placed the Liberals in fourth place in British Columbia, behind not just the leading Conservatives and surging NDP, but also the Green Party. The Liberals were at 15 per cent, although the relatively wide margin of error for the B.C. sample makes it more an indicator of relative strength than a precise measure.
Conservative Leader Stephen Harper's tactic Wednesday to directly attack Jack Layton buttressed the suggestion the Conservatives now view the NDP Leader as the man to beat in some specific areas of the country. So all eyes are now on Mr. Dion winning a clear victory in next week's French and English leaders debates.
In 1988, for example, Mr. Turner, who was trailing the Tories and NDP, was able to turn things around with his “intensity” and “forthrightness” over the free-trade deal, according to one senior Liberal insider.
“That's when a campaign can be won or lost,” the insider said.
Wednesday, Mr. Dion faced tough questions from reporters after former party president Stephen LeDrew wrote a blistering article predicting the party would lose badly on Oct. 14.
“Barring a miracle – that intermittent visitor to political campaigns – the Liberals are going to take a drubbing in this election,” Mr. LeDrew wrote.
“The immediate causes of the Liberals' campaign trouble are myriad: a leader who doesn't resonate with the public; a platform that is, depending on whom you talk to, either incomprehensible, or just plain dumb; a team that seems to have all its oars pulling on the same side of the boat – the list goes on.”
Pressed by reporters, Mr. Dion repeatedly avoided discussing the content of Mr. LeDrew's points in the National Post article, but instead answered queries with attacks on Mr. Harper.
He urged his fellow Liberals to pay no heed to the harsh criticism. “Ignore them,” he said at an election stop in Winnipeg Wednesday afternoon.
Meanwhile, a senior Liberal campaign strategist said there is “no panic.” Rather, he said that “everyone understands the situation” they are in and are “trying to figure out how to impact on it.”
Usually at this point in a successful campaign, however, there is thought given to forming a transition team.
Senator David Smith, one of the co-chairs of the Liberal campaign, said yesterday that he wasn't “going to get into it” when asked about transition.
“We're primarily campaign-focused,” he said. “On that subject, given the front-bench strength that we have compared to even the current government … we've got a lot of people with ministerial experience … it's not as if we don't have people who haven't been there, done that.”
Another senior campaign strategist burst out into laughter when asked about whether there had been any thinking as to a transition team.
“It wasn't even in my vocabulary or my brain,” said the strategist, suggesting the Liberals are trying to hold what they have.
And some Liberal strategists argue Mr. Harper's public opinion numbers may be weakening, giving Mr. Dion a small opportunity. The party is testing a new set of ads – positive and negative – that will run before and after the debates.
Whether the party goes negative in the ads depends on Mr. Dion's performance at the debates, insiders say.
The central campaign has sent senior MPs, such as Maurizio Bevilacqua, former chairman of the Commons all-party finance committee, to a series of ridings in Ontario using talking points on the economy – that the Liberals under Jean Chrétien and Paul Martin eliminated a $42-billion deficit, paid down $60-billion in debt and reduced taxes by $100-billion.
Deputy leader Michael Ignatieff is also speaking Monday to the Economic Club of Toronto about how bad the economy has been under the Harper government.
Despite such actions, the negativity is found even in the Liberal-friendly city of Toronto. One candidate is demoralized as he hears from former Liberal voters, “I'm not really sure about this Stéphane Dion.”
The senior campaign staffer there says they are emphasizing “the team” over the leader.
And after five hours of door-knocking over the weekend in his riding north of Toronto, a Liberal incumbent candidate heard complaints about his leader from 80 per cent of those he spoke to.
“[The candidate] is very discouraged and says that the only thing that may help him is that he is not identified as a Liberal and can run on his personal popularity,” a campaign insider said.
Quebec, according to some Liberals, is a “disaster.” The Liberals have 11 of the 75 seats.
And in British Columbia, Liberals are concerned about the rise of the Green Party and the credibility that Mr. Dion has given to its leader, Elizabeth May. Those who like a carbon tax will support Ms. May, whose platform is much stronger on the issue, the Liberals fear.