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Political impacts of Ukraine war

It's hard to believe this was just a "stray", considering what it hit.

Possible attempt at a false flag by Ukraine to draw a neighboring baltic country into the war??

Surely if Estonia chose to respond militarily, the Russians would have no choice but to drastically reposition their forces currently fighting in Ukraine - giving the Ukrainians a bit of a reprieve


I highly doubt the Russians want a fight with Estonia right now, especially given they are a NATO member.

I also doubt the Russians would be so careless as to target a power facility in Estonia so overtly, given that they aren't at war.

And Ukrainian SOF has proven themselves more than capable of operating inside Russia to pull off assassinations & demoltions.

Pulling off a drone launch from Russia into Estonia is quite doable, and the reward would be a game changer in Ukraine's favour



Is this a possibility??
 
Possible attempt at a false flag by Ukraine to draw a neighboring baltic country into the war??

Surely if Estonia chose to respond militarily, the Russians would have no choice but to drastically reposition their forces currently fighting in Ukraine - giving the Ukrainians a bit of a reprieve


I highly doubt the Russians want a fight with Estonia right now, especially given they are a NATO member.

I also doubt the Russians would be so careless as to target a power facility in Estonia so overtly, given that they aren't at war.

And Ukrainian SOF has proven themselves more than capable of operating inside Russia to pull off assassinations & demoltions.

Pulling off a drone launch from Russia into Estonia is quite doable, and the reward would be a game changer in Ukraine's favour



Is this a possibility??
I think you underestimate how few shits Russia has left to give about anything…
 
I think you underestimate how few shits Russia has left to give about anything…

"Even the most favorable outcome of the war will never lead to the decomposition of the main forces of Russia, which is based on millions of Russians ... The latter, even if they break up international treaties, just as quickly re-connect with each other, like pieces of a particle of mercury."

- Otto von Bismarck
 
... I highly doubt the Russians want a fight with Estonia right now, especially given they are a NATO member.

I also doubt the Russians would be so careless as to target a power facility in Estonia so overtly, given that they aren't at war.
And all that GPS jamming/spoofing in that area is from sun spots? And all those mysterious fires/sabotage in NATO areas?
Is this a possibility??
Nothing is impossible, but remember that razor of old Occam.

In other news, what a co-incidence ....
 
I think you underestimate how few shits Russia has left to give about anything…
I honestly don't know.

Putin is smart, and calculating, and quite deliberate in his geopolitical moves.

I know this operation in Ukraine hasn't gone the way he thought it would. But from the Russian perspective, he obviously felt like it was necessary.



Could NATO be running discreet operations out of Estonia, that is attracting more Russian activity to that area, hence the errant drone attack?

It would take some pressure off Ukraine because they then have to go reinforce their border with Estonia, the same way we have our Latvian based multinational brigade that keeps the Russians reinforcing their border with Latvia?
 
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