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Political impacts of Ukraine war

 
HavokFour said:
Good morning Moscow.

The refinery was attacked 48 hours prior.

As of posting another wave is headed their way tonight.

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/1u8yk02/panorama_moscow_following_ukrainian_drone_attack

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/1u90daq/russian_soldier_launches_manpads_missile_while

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/1u8z20a/ukrainian_drone_evades_russian_air_defenses

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/1u8zrn0/4_missiles_heading_towards_moscow_after_drones
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Cruise missiles over Moscow is fucking insane. I hope the oligarchs are reeeeally feeling these strikes financially, maybe itll motivate them to find a window somewhere in the Kremlin that's just Putin's size.
 
Looks like attrition is forcing Russia to impose a new wave of mobilization:
defence-blog.com

Kremlin moves to launch new mobilization wave

Russia is preparing a new mobilization wave, and the evidence is no longer confined to analyst assessments — it is showing up in deleted government reports, police roundups on city streets, and a sitting member of Russia's own parliament warning
defence-blog.com defence-blog.com

Some items of note from the article:
Russia is preparing a new mobilization wave, and the evidence is no longer confined to analyst assessments — it is showing up in deleted government reports, police roundups on city streets, and a sitting member of Russia’s own parliament warning publicly that the Kremlin has run out of other options.
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The geographic breadth of the exercise pulled together officials from Russia’s entire southern arc, from the Caspian steppe to the Black Sea coast and deep into occupied Ukraine, suggesting a coordinated rehearsal of the administrative machinery needed to process a large-scale call-up rather than a routine local procedure.
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You'll note that the key ethnically Russian urban areas of Moscow and St-Petersburg are not mentioned.
The street-level evidence that something is accelerating comes from Penza and Penza Oblast, a region roughly 630 kilometers (390 miles) southeast of Moscow, where Russian police officers working alongside military commissariat staff, the officials who run Russia’s conscription and mobilization system, conducted mass roundups of men on city streets, Radio Svoboda and the Russian investigative outlet Mediazona both reported on June 19, 2026. The accounts describe men being stopped, detained, and pressured to sign military contracts with Russia’s Ministry of Defense for subsequent deployment to the war in Ukraine. One local resident told those outlets that the roundups began as early as January 2026 and have intensified significantly in recent months, pointing to an escalating campaign rather than an isolated local incident.
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The political signal from inside Russia’s own institutions is the hardest to dismiss. Andrei Gurulev, a member of the Russian State Duma and a former military commander who has consistently supported the war publicly, posted to his Telegram channel on June 1, 2026, stating that the Kremlin is preparing a new mobilization wave for autumn, citing what he described as a battlefield stalemate and mounting Russian losses. A sitting Duma deputy affiliated with the war’s prosecution publicly acknowledging front-line failure and the need for fresh manpower is not a routine political statement. It is the kind of signal that surfaces when internal consensus around a difficult decision has already formed and select officials begin preparing the public information environment ahead of an announcement.
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KevinB said:
Oh there’s a lot of tiers of the New White Russians, many of those tiers are more expendable than him.
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Do you think his hangers on will let it get to that stage?

If the flames start licking at their employees, associates, family?
 
Kirkhill said:
Do you think his hangers on will let it get to that stage?

If the flames start licking at their employees, associates, family?
Click to expand...
I’m inclined to believe that most will let even direct family go at this point.
 
Zelensky seems to have given Belarus a 1 week deadline to remove Russian drone relays from it's communication towers, or they'll do it themselves.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2068027014641045690

Regarding Belarus.

When the full-scale war began, we were hit by missiles that killed children and adults. And Alexander Lukashenko knows this. A large number of missiles were launched from Belarus. Back then, he called, apologized, and said it was out of his control. I don’t believe that, but that’s what he’s already said. Now, Russia will keep pushing him further into this war. Now, he understands that Ukraine will respond.

There’s no need for extra words. There are retransmitters on his communication towers. On his territory, along the two regions bordering Ukraine, there is equipment that adjusts fire on our people. He should remove that equipment. I think a week is enough for him to do that. Because right now, every day, our civilians are being killed, and children are being wounded as a result of this. If he doesn’t do it, we will.

The same goes for his oil-refining sector, for example. We are doing everything so that the Russians don’t have the ability to sell oil and supply diesel and fuel to their army. Today, Belarus is one of the key suppliers for the Russian army. Can this be stopped? I’m sure it’s within his power. And he is the one who controls it.

As for the drone strike on a bus with Belarusian children, everyone has already acknowledged it – international experts and, it seems, even the Russians are admitting it wasn’t our strike. The Russians will resort to all sorts of provocations to drag the Belarusian people into this war. This is one of them.
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