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RN Project Cabot and Atlantic Bastion


"In an official unveiling at Anduril Australia’s manufacturing center in Sydney on Oct. 19, three Ghost Shark payloads were revealed.

"One entailed sea mines, another was a swarm of Altius-600 loitering munitions, and the third was logistics supply caches."

"Other payloads are being developed for the Ghost Shark, likely involving lightweight and heavyweight torpedoes, as well as electronic warfare."
 
An update on my sense of how the North Atlantic Theatre seems to be developing.

The key to hybrid autonomous operations at sea, from my perspective, is the ability to communicate effectively, especially under water. With that in mind I believe this to be the single most critical component in the system: The L3Harris GPM300 Acoustic General Purpose Modem.

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This forms a key component in the Aussie developed Rock Lobster comms system developed with L3Harris as part of the AUKUS Pillar 2 program.


.....

Another key element in the system is the Ocius Bluebottle.

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"The Bluebottle unmanned surface vessel – or USV for short – produced by Ocius Technology, is powered primarily by wind, wave and sun to give persistent, at-sea surveillance for weeks at a time."

Comparable boats are produced by Saildrone, Wave Glider and Kraken. And these are boats, not ships. They are in the 5 to 25 m length category. The Bluebottle is a 7.4m craft. They and their sisters are designed for endurance. They are platforms for sensors and comms relays. They ride out storms rather than fight them. They are silent, low observable and relocatable. They link submarines with satellites and aircraft. They sense the air, water, and vehicles moving within them.

The Aussies have bought and put into service 15 Bluebottles and are buying 40 more (124 MUSD or 3 MUSD apiece). New Zealand has bought a couple.

....

The Bluebottle is joined by UUVs and AUVs. The lead Aussie solution is the Speartooth. An oversized torpedo of 8 to 11m that can be launched by a trailer towed by pickup truck from any available boat ramp. It displaces 2000 kg and can cruise 2000 km over a period of weeks.

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1 operator can supervise up to 50 Speartooth UUVs. Some of which will be in motion. Some of which will be lying dormant on the seafloor.

Canada's Cellular Robotics (BAE) and ISE (Elbit) are both well placed in this field.

....

The Bluebottles and Speartooths of the world are joined by the XLAUVs like the Ghost Shark. The Aussie are planning on buying "dozens" for 1.2 BUSD or 1200 MUSD. One dozen would mean a supported unit cost of 100 MUSD each. "Dozens" suggest multiples. 4 dozen would suggest a unit price of 25 MUSD. 8 dozen equates to 12 MUSD.


The Brits have operated one of their CETUS XLAUVs (XV Excalibur) in British waters from a control station on exercise in Australian waters.
They have also deployed US Mk 48 heavy torpedos from the Excalibur.


......

Four characteristics of all this autonomous underwater hardware.:

They are cheaper than crewed vessels
They can be built faster than crewed vessels
They can dive deeper that crewed vessels
The available comms limitations means that there has to be a relay node every 20 to 40 km or so.

The comms limitations suggests that for an effective net to be established there will have to be hundreds of these Bluebottles, Speartooths and Ghost Shark equivalents operating at all depths in the North Atlantic, each equipped with something like the GPM300 modem. However there will be few operators supervising operations.

The available equipment not only permits comms and ISR operations, but also offensive operations with seamines, heavy weight torpedos and long range loitering UAVs/OWEs.

....

Fighting within this environment the Brits plan to operate their two carriers as floating drone bases.


Operating with lean crews and a small number of F35Bs the Brits are already launching ISR and Logistics UAVs from their decks and have started to launch 250 km OWEs (Nyans).


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A near term prospect for an addition to the air wing could be the Shield AI XBat which has moved into prototype stage. The XBat builds on the success of the VBat but with a jet engine, larger capacity and longer range. It exploits a vectoring nozzle jet engine developed for the F16 in the last century.


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...

And of course, all of this will be working with these

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And containerized weapons systems like these.



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My sense is that shore based assets are going to be pushed further out into blue water with a lot fewer operators and a lot greater range. The increased range will do a lot to mitigate magazine depth issues. If the payload can be despatched from shore the it doesn't need to be carried aboard and doesn't have to be replenished at sea when the magazine is exhausted.

....

Edit

Comms will also be facilitated by these:

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High Altitude Pseudo Satellites

And these:
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"several dozen Scouts have been acquired since the first 20 were ordered in March."

"The first autonomous squadron, stood up at Portsmouth, has 180 sailors – about an old-school frigate’s worth – who will work in two watches around the clock when they are operational, just as a warship’s crew does."

"a squadron belongs to the fleet. It has a commanding officer – Cdr Helen Coxon in this case – a watch bill and someone to task the assets. In other words, this is a move from trials to operations."



"One of the key tasks of this squadron will be to determine what these small boats are to be used for, and it’s interesting to note that they were bought so fast that this isn’t yet clear. Most discussions so far have centred on “softer” tasks such as force protection, surveillance and reconnaissance. These are important and could be a good use for the kit, but more interesting to me is what comes next."

"As ever, sea state would determine how and where these could be used: you wouldn’t want them in the outer ring of a carrier screen in rough weather up in the High North, but again, this would all need to be determined, trialled and tested (failures included). Before long, what the boats can tolerate will be informed by real-world data and not people saying “that won’t work”. Likewise, whether they are to be remotely operated or genuinely autonomous will affect how and where they are used. This is what the new squadron is set to figure out."




 
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