The War in Ukraine

[brihard]

From my understanding it was loaded with a large unitary warhead of conventional explosives. Which doesn’t appear to have been (properly?) designed for re-entry.

The unitary large warhead concept was designed after the INF treaty was torn up. As loading the RS-26 with a much heavier warhead reduced its range to the Intermediate range.

The Russians have launched test warheads at Ukraine before, but not from a ICBM/IBM.

Is there any open source reporting about whether the ballistic missile shot actually had a functional warhead or otherwise achieved anything? And does this weapon have a CEP that makes a conventional warhead at all useful?

 

[MilEME09]

Is there any open source reporting about whether the ballistic missile shot actually had a functional warhead or otherwise achieved anything? And does this weapon have a CEP that makes a conventional warhead at all useful?

The estimated cep is 250m+ which makes it not useful for conventional warfighting

 

[KevinB]

The estimated cep is 250m+ which makes it not useful for conventional warfighting

I believe it is more like +/- 250m or around 500m for a 83%+ PER.

There isn’t a lot about it OS from what I can see, and that is for the MIRV’s not if used as a unitary device.

For a nuclear payload in the 100-500KT range it definitely will work, but given Russian bombardment of cities, even with a 5t conventional explosive payload it is going to kill and cause a lot of misery.

 

[GR66]

Is there any open source reporting about whether the ballistic missile shot actually had a functional warhead or otherwise achieved anything? And does this weapon have a CEP that makes a conventional warhead at all useful?

Looks like there could be some useful intel gained from the remains of the missile:

Emotional Putin decision grants Ukraine missile technology access

In a remarkable twist of events, critical components of Russia's new missile have fallen into Ukrainian hands, offering experts an unprecedented opportunity to study the latest technology deployed by Moscow. This comes after Russian President Vladimir Putin announced on Thursday that Russia had...

defence-blog.com

Also, from the article:

This comes after Russian President Vladimir Putin announced on Thursday that Russia had conducted a strike using a new “ballistic missile with a non-nuclear hypersonic warhead” targeting the Ukrainian city of Dnipro.

So, Putin claims it carried a hypersonic warhead but I suspect that any warhead on an incoming ICBM would be hypersonic whether "functional" or just a test weight.

 

[brihard]

So, Putin claims it carried a hypersonic warhead but I suspect that any warhead on an incoming ICBM would be hypersonic whether "functional" or just a test weight.

Right. Anything reentering from exoatmospheric’s probably going to be moving a little quick. A hypersonic greenery vehicle is old hat, and is not the same thing as a hypersonic maneuverable cruise missile.