The War in Ukraine

[McG]

Trump: “if I think it was Russia’s fault — which it might not be — but if I think it was Russia’s fault, I am going to put secondary tariffs on oil, on all oil coming out of Russia.”

If? Might not be Russia’s fault? At least even a stupid clock can occasionally take decisions that go in the right direction … but I’d advocate a total embargo instead of secondary tariffs.

Trump 'pissed off' at Putin for questioning Ukraine leadership

During an interview that aired on Sunday, Trump threatened to impose secondary tariffs on oil coming out of Russia if he felt it hindered progress towards ending the war in Ukraine. He is set to speak to Putin in the coming week. #EuropeNews

www.euronews.com

 

[Kirkhill]

Trump: “if I think it was Russia’s fault — which it might not be — but if I think it was Russia’s fault, I am going to put secondary tariffs on oil, on all oil coming out of Russia.”

If? Might not be Russia’s fault? At least even a stupid clock can occasionally take decisions that go in the right direction … but I’d advocate a total embargo instead of secondary tariffs.

Trump 'pissed off' at Putin for questioning Ukraine leadership

During an interview that aired on Sunday, Trump threatened to impose secondary tariffs on oil coming out of Russia if he felt it hindered progress towards ending the war in Ukraine. He is set to speak to Putin in the coming week. #EuropeNews

www.euronews.com

And this is the reason

Ukraine ceasefire 'may not come into effect this year', Kremlin says, as Russian forces kill two in hospital bombing

A ceasefire in Ukraine may not come into effect this year, a top Kremlin official has warned.

www.lbc.co.uk

That goes to the heart of Trump's self-image as the ultimate deal maker.

It's one thing to claim that the war would never have started if he had still been President in 2022. It is quite another thing to claim that he could stop the war in 24 hours and then, 63 days into that 24 hour clock have the Russians say it is going to take more than a year.

Vlad had his 3 day Special Military Operation 3 years ago.
Donald is staring a 1 day negotiation continuing for more than a year.

....

And he, Donald, has spent a lot of political capital chasing his 24 hour success.

 

[HavokFour]

For those that are interested in numbers regarding wheels and treads. Big update, and it's not looking too hot for Russia.

..."equipment graveyards" have begun to be sorted out ... [indictaes a] depletion of available suitable stocks at storage bases to replenish losses.

Winter images from ... 2024/25, tracks in the snow, and other observation ... [show] an almost complete absence of movement in the area of covered storage areas (i.e. near hangars).

Note: The article is written in Ukrainian.

Танки, бази та заводи Московії станом на початок 2025

У мережі та фахових спільнотах активно обговорюють повідомлення про проблеми в моторизованій складовій московських військ, оскільки почастішали випадки застосування в московській армії цивільних авто для штурмових цілей, різного роду саморобних пересувних засобів, а також в поодинокі випадки...

www.vishchun.com

Alt: https://archive.ph/4BdWV

 

[MilEME09]

For those that are interested in numbers regarding wheels and treads. Big update, and it's not looking too hot for Russia.



Note: The article is written in Ukrainian.

Танки, бази та заводи Московії станом на початок 2025

У мережі та фахових спільнотах активно обговорюють повідомлення про проблеми в моторизованій складовій московських військ, оскільки почастішали випадки застосування в московській армії цивільних авто для штурмових цілей, різного роду саморобних пересувних засобів, а також в поодинокі випадки...

www.vishchun.com

Alt: https://archive.ph/4BdWV

A lot of the major twitter channels that monitor russia stocks have come to the same conclusion, most of whats left is likely being stripped for parts due to poor condition of the hulls.

 

[NavyShooter]

I note that the article referenced the Covert Cabal's OSINT evaluations of tanks and such in the various depots.

 

[MilEME09]

This doesn't paint a good light on the current ukrainian top general

https://twitter.com/x/status/1906256792637567102

 

[Cloud Cover]

What would be a WAG of the timeline that Ukraine would need if they started on 6 Nov in putting together some type battlefield or further out nuclear device?

Could they be playing for time right now in the peace talks?

Honestly I would be surprised if they only just started on November 6, 2024. This is a development by Ukraine that I support as much or maybe even more than anything else, although where they test it could be a shit show. Gulf of Mexico maybe.

 

[Czech_pivo]

Honestly I would be surprised if they only just started on November 6, 2024. This is a development by Ukraine that I support as much or maybe even more than anything else, although where they test it could be a shit show. Gulf of Mexico maybe.

Gulf of America

 

[Cloud Cover]

Gulf of America

Yes that’s the one…

 

[daftandbarmy]

High pucker factor on that BDA patrol, I imagine...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1907373607971328153

 

[HavokFour]

Some positive news to start off the weekend.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1908310709584236603

 

[HavokFour]

With several countries signaling their intention of leaving the Ottawa treaty, Ukraine's use of drones to covertly plant mines may be a peek into the future on how they may be used.

Use the alternative link to get around the free article limit.

Mine Craft: Ukrainian Drones Add A New Dimension To Mine Warfare

Precision placing of anti-tank mines on roads and tracks behind enemy lines has helped cut Russian supply lines, isolate frontline units and make any movement hazardous.

www.forbes.com

Alt: https://archive.ph/rtK6K

 

[MilEME09]

High pucker factor on that BDA patrol, I imagine...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1907373607971328153

Reportedly a high ranking russian general was killed in that strike.

 

[Kirkhill]

High pucker factor on that BDA patrol, I imagine...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1907373607971328153

I wonder if the ability to get that close might not also be indicative of the quality/strength of the local security force. Perhaps the guard force has been thinned out to supply front line troops.

 

[HavokFour]

This makes 2 lost in the past week.

Ukrainian Drones Destroy $100 Million TU-22M3 Supersonic Bomber Right After Landing

Ukrainian forces have destroyed a Russian Tu-22M3 bomber valued at $100 million using a drone.

united24media.com

Alt: https://archive.ph/AUlis

 

[Rifleman62]

US General Explains Inside Story of Russia Ukraine War Insight Into Why Russia A Threat To USA - 5 Apr 25​

 

[GR66]

Apparently Chinese nationals have been captured by Ukraine working in Russian units. The captured troops were actively engaged in combat operations on Ukrainian soil.

Ukraine captures Chinese combatants

Ukrainian forces have captured two Chinese citizens serving in the Russian military in the eastern Donetsk region, President Volodymyr Zelensky said Monday. “Our soldiers captured two Chinese citizens who were fighting as part of the Russian army,” Zelensky said in a statement shared by the...

defence-blog.com

 

[RangerRay]

Apparently Chinese nationals have been captured by Ukraine working in Russian units. The captured troops were actively engaged in combat operations on Ukrainian soil.

Ukraine captures Chinese combatants

Ukrainian forces have captured two Chinese citizens serving in the Russian military in the eastern Donetsk region, President Volodymyr Zelensky said Monday. “Our soldiers captured two Chinese citizens who were fighting as part of the Russian army,” Zelensky said in a statement shared by the...

defence-blog.com

Question is, are they volunteers or are they “volunteers”.

 

[daftandbarmy]

Question is, are they volunteers or are they “volunteers”.

Nelson's 'I see no ships' stuff...

China turning blind eye to its citizens fighting in Ukraine, says Zelenskyy​

Ukraine’s president says at least 155 fighters have been uncovered, and that Russia is recruiting via social media

Russia was seeking to recruit Chinese fighters by openly advertising on TikTok and other Chinese social networks, Zelenskyy said, arguing that “Beijing is aware of this”. They then travelled to Russia, typically Moscow, where they were first given medical examination over a three- to four-day period, he added.

The recruits are then given one or two months of training and asked to fight on occupied Ukrainian territory. They received official migration cards from the Russian authorities and were given access to an official payment system to receive money, Zelenskyy said.

China turning blind eye to its citizens fighting in Ukraine, says Zelenskyy

Ukraine’s president says at least 155 fighters have been uncovered, and that Russia is recruiting via social media

www.theguardian.com

 

[KevinB]

Well China is skylighting themselves State Department concerned about Chinese fighters captured in Ukraine - Euromaidan Press