It's Saturdary Morning.
And the discussion is capabilities and assets - especially dollars and people. Again. As always.
We have few of both. We want the flexibility to be everywhere and do everything for everybody. We can't.
As much as I would like to see us commit to a serious (ie Brigade level at least) capability for the bush, muskeg, tundra and arctic - 85% of our land claims, it is abundantly clear that that is not going to happen. The government doesn't want it. The politicians don't want it. The bureaucrats don't want it. Treasury doesn't want it. And most importantly, the Army doesn't want it.
The most the Army is going to commit to the task is a small, independent battalion equivalent capable of operating in independent company teams. That has been the gold standard since 1946 and has been the rationale behind jump companies, the CAR and the Arctic Response Company Groups.
An Arctic Response Brigade was tried in 1946, failed, and never tried again. It isn't going to happen.
Just as a heliborne Brigade isn't going to happen. Most of the necessary kit is made outside of Canada and it is just as hard to deploy as an Armoured or even a LAV Brigade. They all need Big Honking Ships. Which the Army wants but isn't willing to pay for and the Navy doesn't want.
The Army, and Canada, are committed to a LAV based, "Medium" force that can run highways, operate in towns and villages, and occasionally go off trail if the ground isn't too boggy. The government, politicians, bureaucrats and treasury like them because they are built in Canada with Canadian dollars by Canadian workers and earn Canadian votes. And they might come in handy if they ever need "tanks in the streets" again.
The Army has accepted that and is wholly committed to the LAV and the Medium force.
But it is stuck with a vehicle that, while it has its merits, is not the vehicle it really needs and wants for the battle it wants to fight in the places it wants to be. So it tries to stretch the capabilities of the vehicle to match its aspirations. And it gets bigger, and heavier, and harder to deploy and less tactically mobile. As an example I offer the amphibious capability being traded for armour. The lighter, smaller, amphibious AVGP, LAV 2, Coyote, Bison for the heavier, larger, road bound LAV 3s and 6s. The early models were all amphibious, a real asset in a country with as many rivers, streams and lakes as Canada . Forget about needing amphibiosity for ship-to-shore movement. In Canada, domestically, it is an advantage to be able to cross rivers when the bridge is out. The weight expended in the supplying that capability is much more valuable than the weight expended in more armour. Domestically we aren't going to be defeating 30mm rounds. To be fair we might encounter RPG HEAT but that is better met with add-on bar armour. A capability better met by having a rugged drive train and a light cocoon which can sacrifice payload for the extra weight of the spaced protection.
But it has its merits and can be usefully employed in a variety of roles, domestically and abroad.
The Army has always seen itself as an expeditionary army, despite the government. The government has always been an isolationist government. The Army looks to the Boer War, WWI, WWII, Korea and the Cold War for its justifications. The government and the people see those as aberrations that they don't like repeating. So the Army stretches even as it reach exceeds its grasp.
It really wants a "Penetration Force". A Brigade at least. It wants Leos or Abrams, CV90s or Bradleys, M109s and MLRSs. Even though they don't have the means to get them to the battle with their allies and friends. Lacking Big Honking Ships they are reduced to hoping their friends will give them a lift or, as in the case of the Norwegian CAST Brigade, saying "We're here if you need us. Come and pick us up when you're ready."
The Army got its tanks, enough to train, maintain and deploy a battalion sized Regiment and a company sized Squadron of Armoured Engineer Vehicles - the things necessary to get all those tanks over the rivers and lakes that criss cross Canada and most of the world's battlefields. It had the opportunity to add some CV90s or Bradley's to the mix to enhance the breaching capability and create at least a small Penetration Group - bigger than a battalion but smaller than a brigade.
So now, like the airportable capability the Army has a battlegroup sized penetration capability that lacks "enablers", lacks focus and is widely dispersed - playthings for regimental politics.
The bulk of the Army is now defined by Six Heavy Armoured Car Battlegroups that are highway bound, and lack the ability to cross water, even the smallest of streams, without help from engineers or the Navy. Even the Air Force is of limited use because the vehicles will only fit into the 5 C17s the RCAF operates, in small numbers. Given enough time then the RCAF can move the Army...given enough time.
Those battlegroups could be useful in a number of scenarios. Not all scenarios, and many scenarios increase the risk of inappropriately employing them. The risk could be decreased, and their utility increased, by adding some common enablers - all of which are well known to the Army but just never seem to get bought, even as it directs its available dollars to the purchase of more Heavy Armoured Cars. A pattern obvious since at least the 1980s - 40 years.
One simple way the Army could increase the flexibility of its Heavy Armoured Car battlegroups is the simple expedient of separating the troops, patrollers and assaulters, from the vehicles at the section, platoon, company, battalion or even brigade levels. Gunners and engineers are not parts of the battalions but they (should) train, and mess, regularly with the units they will fight alongside. The same is could be true for the Armoured Cars. It is a practice not uncommon in a number of armies, including our allies. But, the Army chooses to adopt the tightest, most inflexible solution available by tying the section directly to its vehicle. That may produce a highly effective Armoured Car Section - but at what cost to flexibility?
So.
The Army has committed itself to the Heavy Armoured Car Medium Force based on the LAV 6. Fair enough. It has given up trying to be all things to all people.
Which, finally, brings me to the Artillery. One of the most common enablers in any army. But, like many others, one that has been rejected in Canada for more Heavy Armoured Cars.
The world is full of artillery systems capable of engaging a multitude of targets. Thats the good news because the world in which those 6 Heavy Armoured Car Battlegroups wish to operate is a target rich environment with lots of things to shoot at. Most of the imminent threats to those Heavy Armoured Cars come through the air - everything from ICBMs to bullets. The good news is that technology is evolving so that bullets can be knocked out of the air by other bullets. Those would be really useful enablers for the Heavy Armoured Cars. But we're not buying those. We buy more Heavy Armoured Cars instead.
Another way to protect those Armoured Cars is to destroy the things throwing missiles, bullets and bombs at them. So guns and rockets and aircraft. The catalogue is full.
My choice is to match the Heavy Armoured Cars with Artillery with similar levels of protection and mobility. In other words, highway bound, wheeled, non amphibious vehicles with protection against 30 mm rounds. The other characteristic is a weapon with the greatest range possible that I can fit on to such a platform to keep the enemy at bay as far as possible. These days that means weapons with ranges of 70 km and over. Cannons can achieve those ranges, as can the M777, with expensive custom rounds. But missiles can range farther.
One area where I think my thoughts run differently to those commonly expressed here is that I do not see the missiles (rockets) as expensive, limited guns. I see them as cheap, flexible aircraft. I don't see them as ballistic weapons firing bullets that can only engage in straight lines. I see them as launchers that can deploy missiles that can fly complex flight paths and, currently, deploy loitering munitions that can circle in a cab-rank over the battlefield. That can engage the enemy from any aspect, including their rear, including behind cover all the while making it difficult to track the missile back to its launch point. The launcher, in any event, has moved down the highway to a new launch point and may have already launched another batch of missiles.
Are those missiles more expensive than bullets? Yes.
Are those missiles more expensive than a squadron of helicopters operating from a Forward Operating Base (in the rear)? More expensive than a squadron of F18s (or F35s) operating, for a limited time, weather permitting, from an airfield a long way to the rear?
If the 81mm mortar is the Battalion Commander's Artillery than I suggest that RPAS, LAMs and HIMARS launched GMLRSs should be seen as the Brigadier's Air Force. One that lets her see, and fight, beyond the hill.
A further reason I favour artillery generally is that I aspire to minimize the number of Canadian casualties. And the more effective we can be without having to close with to destroy then the fewer Canadians are put at risk and the more likely, I believe, that the governement will be inclined to deploy the Army. And the more deployments, the more utility, the more visibility, the more money and the more people.
The M777 was a relatively cheap capital expenditure that ate up more people than the artillery had available to do all the jobs asked of it. It is still doing that.
One section equals one gun.
One section, with the same manpower could equal 3 guns with greater range, and more mobility, or 2 guns and more ammunition with equal mobility.
As for strategic mobility 2 of the C17s could lift 4 to 6 guns. Heck they managed to get a squadron of tanks into Afghanistan, given enough time and some help from their friends. And the Dutch managed to get their tracked PzH2000s into the field as well.
Will the Archer work well in Muskeg? Probably not. But apparently we don't anticipate working there with artillery in any case.
So, my prescription for the Artillery stands: Medium Range Air Defence, Wheeled Self Propelled Howitzers, Wheeled MLRS launchers, Guided Missiles, Loitering Munitions and Remotely Piloted Aircraft.
And get rid of the M777s. Or dump them on the Reserves.