Israeli strikes on Iran (2024, 2025, etc.)

[The Bread Guy]

Highlights from the latest ISW summary (attached - highlights mine):

• "The IAEA confirmed that Israeli strikes have impacted underground infrastructure at the Natanz nuclear site. This came after the IAEA reported that Israeli strikes have likely damaged or destroyed thousands of centrifuges at Natanz.
• Israel has continued striking Iranian military targets, which has likely degraded Iranian missile forces significantly. This degradation is reflected in the decreasing volume of Iranian missile fire at Israel.
• Israel has continued striking energy infrastructure and regime sites connected to domestic surveillance and repression. These strikes could reduce the ability of the regime to control the population and, in turn, destabilize it.
• US President Donald Trump called for Iran’s “unconditional surrender.” This came as the United States sent additional forces to the Middle East and could reportedly meet with senior Iranian officials in the coming days to discuss a resolution to the war.
• Iran has prepared to fire missiles at US forces if the United States strikes Iran, according to the New York Times. The outlet reported that Iran would first attack US positions in Iraq and then in other unspecified Arab countries, presumably those around the Persian Gulf.
• Iranian-backed militias have agreed to attack US forces in Iraq if the United States strikes Iran. These militias are the same ones that conducted around 200 attacks targeting US positions in Iraq and Syria from October 2023 to November 2024.
• A senior Houthi official said that the Houthis “will intervene to support Iran against Israel.” The Houthis could support Iran by firing projectiles at US and Israeli targets or resuming attacks targeting international shipping."

 

[daftandbarmy]

Sigh…

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[Colin Parkinson]

Highlights from the latest ISW summary (attached - highlights mine):

• "The IAEA confirmed that Israeli strikes have impacted underground infrastructure at the Natanz nuclear site. This came after the IAEA reported that Israeli strikes have likely damaged or destroyed thousands of centrifuges at Natanz.
• Israel has continued striking Iranian military targets, which has likely degraded Iranian missile forces significantly. This degradation is reflected in the decreasing volume of Iranian missile fire at Israel.
• Israel has continued striking energy infrastructure and regime sites connected to domestic surveillance and repression. These strikes could reduce the ability of the regime to control the population and, in turn, destabilize it.
• US President Donald Trump called for Iran’s “unconditional surrender.” This came as the United States sent additional forces to the Middle East and could reportedly meet with senior Iranian officials in the coming days to discuss a resolution to the war.
• Iran has prepared to fire missiles at US forces if the United States strikes Iran, according to the New York Times. The outlet reported that Iran would first attack US positions in Iraq and then in other unspecified Arab countries, presumably those around the Persian Gulf.
• Iranian-backed militias have agreed to attack US forces in Iraq if the United States strikes Iran. These militias are the same ones that conducted around 200 attacks targeting US positions in Iraq and Syria from October 2023 to November 2024.
• A senior Houthi official said that the Houthis “will intervene to support Iran against Israel.” The Houthis could support Iran by firing projectiles at US and Israeli targets or resuming attacks targeting international shipping."

Some B1's with big bunker busters mixed in with IAF strike packages might happen, everyone might suspect the USAF, but if no one says anything, they have to blame Israel.

 

[KevinB]

Some B1's with big bunker busters mixed in with IAF strike packages might happen, everyone might suspect the USAF, but if no one says anything, they have to blame Israel.

I think you meant B-2.

The B-1’s are a little obvious when they get used.

 

[HavokFour]

I guess no one has yet reminded him that the 2 weeks he gave Russia again, has been well blown past.

Trump Tells Putin To End Ukraine War Before Mediating Iran-Israel

US President Donald Trump appeared Wednesday to rebuff Vladimir Putin's offer to mediate in the Israel-Iran conflict, saying the Russian president should end his own war in Ukraine first.

www.barrons.com

 

[CBH99]

I think you meant B-2.

The B-1’s are a little obvious when they get used.

True. But if they use B-1's at least every living thing in the AO will have significant hearing loss after...

Probably be helpful if things continue to escalate past that

 

[CBH99]

Sigh…

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People have their own opinions about Tucker...

I for one think Tucker getting fired from FOX was the best thing to happen in the independent media space for a long time.

I doubt we will see any of the big MSM companies calling out politicians as bluntly as this.

 

[CBH99]

In other news, Russia confirming it's pretty worthless as a defense partner on it's end.

They've got their own mess to sort out jn Ukraine, they can't be everywhere at once.

It wouldn't surprise me if there was some brief discussion about deploying combat jets to Iranian airfields, as the strategy was pretty effective in Syria...

But I think they are also well aware that Israel isn't America, and they'll shoot down whoever gets in their way.

I think they also know that America might ask them to slow things down or be a bit more selective in their target packages, but there's a good chance Israel will just consider that background noise & carry on



Sucks for Iran, but honestly Russia should sit this one out. Maybe send them an S-400 piñata as a "Good Luck!" gift

 

[The Bread Guy]

Highlights from the latest ISW summary (info cutoff 0600E today - highlights mine)

• "Israeli strikes have focused on targeting the Iranian missile program in recent hours. Israel has struck several sites tied to missile production, including a site that Iran has expanded significantly in recent years to build weapons for Russia and the so-called “Axis of Resistance.”
• Iran downed an Israeli drone around Esfahan. This marks the first confirmed Israeli aircraft that Iran has downed since the Israeli strikes began.
• Iran conducted two ballistic missile attacks targeting Israel. The attacks reportedly included around 20 and 30 missiles.
• Israeli strikes have targeted two centrifuge production sites around Tehran. Israel also struck the IRGC Imam Hossein University, which is controlled by the IRGC and Iranian nuclear weapons research."

PDF also attached if link doesn't work for you.

 

[HavokFour]

The state broadcaster was hacked, instead of the usual programming it featured anti-regime content such as the more recent protests and footage of life before the revolution.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1935396969028968633

The group responsible for the bank hack yesterday has today also made a bunch of Iranian crypo money disappear.

https://bsky.app/profile/did%3Aplc%3A6uqqv7asv2xsxwn224tyexng%2Fpost%2F3lrv7jbsowc2e

And curiously, the Embassy in Jerusalem will be closed from the 18th-20th.

Security Alert: U.S. Embassy Jerusalem (June 17, 2025)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1935407069869343144

 

[Furniture]

People have their own opinions about Tucker...

I for one think Tucker getting fired from FOX was the best thing to happen in the independent media space for a long time.

I doubt we will see any of the big MSM companies calling out politicians as bluntly as this.

Is he calling out a politician, or playing silly "gotcha" games loudly and obnoxiously?

I don't have a high opinion of either man man in that interview, but Carlson was acting like a child that memorized a few facts, rather than a serious interviewer.

 

[brihard]

The state broadcaster was hacked, instead of the usual programming it featured anti-regime content such as the more recent protests and footage of life before the revolution.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1935396969028968633

The group responsible for the bank hack yesterday has today also made a bunch of Iranian crypo money disappear.

https://bsky.app/profile/did%3Aplc%3A6uqqv7asv2xsxwn224tyexng%2Fpost%2F3lrv7jbsowc2e

https://twitter.com/x/status/1935407069869343144

I’ve seen continued reports of Israel hitting police headquarters and other ‘state security’ infrastructure, strongly suggesting that the stability of the regime remains a target.

Given the uncertainty of U.S. entry into the war, or even whether their Massive Ordnance Penetrators will be able to do the job, I wonder if Israel might also be considering the possibility of toppling the regime less for its own sake, and more to create an environment that would let them hit key buried facilities with ground teams to assure destruction? I’m totally spitballing and have no basis for this, I’m just thinking they must have a plan for if they can’t take out certain facilities by bombing…

 

[Navy_Pete]

I’ve seen continued reports of Israel hitting police headquarters and other ‘state security’ infrastructure, strongly suggesting that the stability of the regime remains a target.

Given the uncertainty of U.S. entry into the war, or even whether their Massive Ordnance Penetrators will be able to do the job, I wonder if Israel might also be considering the possibility of toppling the regime less for its own sake, and more to create an environment that would let them hit key buried facilities with ground teams to assure destruction? I’m totally spitballing and have no basis for this, I’m just thinking they must have a plan for if they can’t take out certain facilities by bombing…

It's hard to tell if they have an actual plan, or are taking advantage of the opportunity to hit the Iranian nuke program to distract from what is going on in Gaza. May be drifiting into weird conspiracy territory, but no one has talked about the corrruption charges on Netanyahu in a long time.

 

[Good2Golf]

True. But if they use B-1's at least every living thing in the AO will have significant hearing loss after...

Probably be helpful if things continue to escalate past that

Bone can’t carry the GBU-57.

B-2 or B-21 can.

 

[HavokFour]

It's hard to tell if they have an actual plan, or are taking advantage of the opportunity to hit the Iranian nuke program to distract from what is going on in Gaza. May be drifiting into weird conspiracy territory, but no one has talked about the corrruption charges on Netanyahu in a long time.

Speaking of plans. If the trigger is going to be pulled, I'd bet not until at least the USS Nimitz arrives in a few days.

Trump privately approved attack plans for Iran pending final order, WSJ reports

And a third is arriving just behind them.

USS Gerald Ford to deploy to 6th Fleet, moving a 3rd carrier group closer to Israel-Iran conflict

The aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford is slated to deploy next week to the 6th Fleet area of operations, moving a third carrier strike group closer to the conflict between Israel and Iran, a U.S. defense official said Wednesday.

www.stripes.com

 

[brihard]

Speaking of plans. If the trigger is going to be pulled, I'd bet not until at least the USS Nimitz arrives in a few days.




And a third is arriving just behind them.

USS Gerald Ford to deploy to 6th Fleet, moving a 3rd carrier group closer to Israel-Iran conflict

The aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford is slated to deploy next week to the 6th Fleet area of operations, moving a third carrier strike group closer to the conflict between Israel and Iran, a U.S. defense official said Wednesday.

www.stripes.com

Don’t see that every day.

That said it’ll be a bit of a sail from Norfolk. Might be intended to free one of the others up to get back to covering another AO.

 

[Lumber]

They've got their own mess to sort out jn Ukraine, they can't be everywhere at once.

It wouldn't surprise me if there was some brief discussion about deploying combat jets to Iranian airfields, as the strategy was pretty effective in Syria...

But I think they are also well aware that Israel isn't America, and they'll shoot down whoever gets in their way.

I think they also know that America might ask them to slow things down or be a bit more selective in their target packages, but there's a good chance Israel will just consider that background noise & carry on



Sucks for Iran, but honestly Russia should sit this one out. Maybe send them an S-400 piñata as a "Good Luck!" gift

Some are hoping that Israel’s recent attacks on Iran will somehow reduce the Russian drone threat in Ukraine. That assumption is flawed.

Iran’s sale of Shahed UAVs to Russia was a single transactional deal—about 6,000 drones, paid in gold, back in 2023. Since then, Iran hasn’t delivered more. More importantly, Ukrainian analysis of downed drones makes it clear that the majority of components in Russia’s UAVs—electronics, engines, everything—come from China, not Iran. So even though the term Shahed is still often used, the drones hitting Ukraine every night (Geran-1, Geran-2, etc.) are largely Russian-assembled systems made from Chinese parts. Russia no longer needs Iran to sustain this campaign, and it doesn’t intend to.

There’s also no real military or strategic alliance between Russia and Iran. In fact, the Kremlin sees Iran as expendable—a pawn. Russian leadership is well aware of Netanyahu’s ties to Putin, and many Russians have been granted Israeli citizenship under his watch, including criminal figures. That connection runs deep, and it undermines any fantasy of a united anti-Russian front involving Israel.

So for those expecting Israel’s operations against Iran—or a future Trump-Netanyahu alignment—to cascade into a domino effect that stops Russia or deters China from targeting Taiwan, don’t hold your breath. The strategic landscape isn’t that linear, and wishful thinking doesn’t change the facts.

 

[HavokFour]

Brutal.

New details were revealed on Wednesday night about the killing of Maj.-Gen. Ali Shademani, the Iranian military’s wartime chief of staff, on Monday. The Israel Air Force assassinated his predecessor last Friday.

Shademani was assassinated at a secret compound in the mountains outside of Tehran along with dozens of other senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps officers who had fled from their main headquarters in Tehran, believing they would be safe.

Instead, the IAF waited for them to move to the “secret” location and then killed them all at the same time.

Israel assassinated Iranian army chief in secret mountain hideout | The Jerusalem Post

The IDF waited for dozens of senior IRGC officers to move to the "secret" location, in the mountains outside of Tehran, and then killed them all at the same time.

www.jpost.com

 

[OldSolduer]

Brutal.

Israel assassinated Iranian army chief in secret mountain hideout | The Jerusalem Post

The IDF waited for dozens of senior IRGC officers to move to the "secret" location, in the mountains outside of Tehran, and then killed them all at the same time.

www.jpost.com

Good. The IRGC were the shit disturbers of the Middle East and elsewhere I have no issues with people like this being taken out.

 

[daftandbarmy]

Christian Zionism... something else to be worried about re: MAGA

Israel-Iran conflict: Michael Clarke and Dominic Waghorn answer your questions​