Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

[Halifax Tar]

Shots fired in Ferngully

Environment minister disputes Guilbeault’s claim that Canada is cutting climate policies​

Julie Dabrusin says key policies like clean electricity regulations remain in place​

Chief political correspondent Rosemary Barton speaks with Minister of Environment and Climate Change Julie Dabrusin about the environmental implications of the Alberta-Canada energy agreement. Plus, Brian Jean, Alberta’s energy minister, talks about what benefits a new pipeline would bring to the province. And B.C. Minister of Energy and Climate Solutions Adrian Dix explains why a bitumen pipeline is a non-starter for the west coast.

Environment and Climate Change Minister Julie Dabrusin is pushing back against claims from Steven Guilbeault, who resigned from cabinet this week over Ottawa’s memorandum of understanding with Alberta and said Canada is dismantling several pieces of its climate plan.

“I really respectfully disagree with [Guilbeault] on his characterization of this memorandum of understanding,” Dabrusin said in an interview on CBC's Rosemary Barton Live. “I don’t see it as backsliding, and I don’t see it as cancelling programs."

The MOU — which paves a potential pathway for a new oil and gas pipeline to British Columbia long desired by Alberta — includes a commitment by Ottawa to not implement its oil and gas emissions cap and to suspend its clean electricity regulations in Alberta pending a new carbon pricing agreement.

Environment minister disputes Guilbeault’s claim that Canada is cutting climate policies | CBC News

I think PP is taking the wrong track on this.

I think he needs to go all in in on support of Carney. Latch right to him. Show Canada that Carney and him are very closely aligned and much alike. And drive a wedge into the left doing it. The left hate PP, so make Carney your new best friend.

When it comes to campaign time, you just run on being faster. The LPC will probably be littered with announcements and no deliverables, so run on actually providing results to what Canadians want, not just announcements.

 

[MilEME09]

SAFE is now open to Canada, this could be a huge win for canadian defense companies to get into the EU market

Canada clinches deal to join Europe’s €150B defense scheme

The deal concludes months of tough talks and will allow Ottawa to take part in procurements financed by the EU’s SAFE program.

www.politico.eu

 

[IKnowNothing]

I think PP is taking the wrong track on this.

I think he needs to go all in in on support of Carney. Latch right to him. Show Canada that Carney and him are very closely aligned and much alike. And drive a wedge into the left doing it. The left hate PP, so make Carney your new best friend.

When it comes to campaign time, you just run on being faster. The LPC will probably be littered with announcements and no deliverables, so run on actually providing results to what Canadians want, not just announcements.

2 huge positive aspects to this
-actually contributing to positive governance of the country
-he'd be able to point at the above and say "look at what I was able to accomplish riding shotgun, imagine what I could do in the drivers seat"

Unfortunately, it would seem that the die is cast and being seen to actually do work and be collaborative is too off brand, so we as Canadians get left with whatever the Bloc and NDP extract from Carney to advance his bills.

Example: CPC stonewalls, Bloc influences policy.

Liberal deal with Bloc means hate-speech laws will lose exemption for 'sincerely held' religious belief

Currently, the law exempts hateful or antisemitic speech if it based in good faith on the interpretation of a religious text

ca.news.yahoo.com

 

[Czech_pivo]

SAFE is now open to Canada, this could be a huge win for canadian defense companies to get into the EU market

Canada clinches deal to join Europe’s €150B defense scheme

The deal concludes months of tough talks and will allow Ottawa to take part in procurements financed by the EU’s SAFE program.

www.politico.eu

Let's put this into perspective.

Earlier I did a piece of how much value Canadian companies are receiving currently on the work they are doing on the F35 program. Its about 3% of the value of a F35. I ball parked the value of a F35 at 80m USD. The 3% is approximately 2.4$m USD or or 3.36$m CAD a plane. If they produce another 1,500 F35's that 1,500 * 3.36$m CAD = 5,040,000,000$ CAD. So our current potential revenue on the F35's, based on 1,500 planes produced from here on out and our current value add of 3% of the total value of a produced F35 holds true, CDN businesses stand to make 5$ billion CAD

IF CDN defense companies are able to garner a similar value of the 150$ billion Euro pot of money that would be 150 * .03% = 450,000,000 Euro or 450,000,000 * 1.60 = 720,000,000 CAD. The amount of 1.60 represents an approximate current exchange rate between the CAD and the Euro.

So, the F35 program, based on the above back of the napkin math, is worth 7X more in terms of dollars and cents to Canadian industries. I'm NOT saying that we shouldn't go all in on SAFE, but even if we fight tooth and nail and get 6% of the total pot of money available it would still represent 3X less than the current F35 project.

 

[PPCLI Guy]

There is way more to this than F35. Canadian SMBs will now be able to compete in EU

 

[MilEME09]

There is way more to this than F35. Canadian SMBs will now be able to compete in EU

it also gives us access to loans to help purchase equipment as well, like oh say a second regiment of tanks for example

 

[Czech_pivo]

There is way more to this than F35. Canadian SMBs will now be able to compete in EU

Yes, I'm very aware of this. I'm just pointing out that the F35 is really a bit of a gravy train for CDN businesses. 5$ billion in revenue across the remaining production run of the F35 is massive. The SAFE programme is great to allow CDN businesses to expand their customer base and reach but it will not compete with the sheer size of the F35 piece of the pie as it currently stands.

 

[PPCLI Guy]

Hopefully industry can walk and chew gum at the same time. As to the broader issue of ITBs, most big primes have huge ITB requirements to fill. Companies like the ones I work with aim to help them with that, especially the 9X multiplier for "research"

 

[MilEME09]

Hopefully industry can walk and chew gum at the same time. As to the broader issue of ITBs, most big primes have huge ITB requirements to fill. Companies like the ones I work with aim to help them with that, especially the 9X multiplier for "research"

indeed but establishing new customer bases in europe creates the possibility for more long term growth

 

[MilEME09]

latest poll from Liaison has liberals ahead by 10 points in Ontario, ahead everywhere but the Prairies.

338Canada | Liaison Strategies federal poll, November 2025

338canada.com

 

[HavokFour]

latest poll from Liaison has liberals ahead by 10 points in Ontario, ahead everywhere but the Prairies.

338Canada | Liaison Strategies federal poll, November 2025

338canada.com

The gap between the two when it comes to male voters has all but disappeared as well since the last poll.

EDIT: Below is from November 8th, for comparison.

338Canada | Liaison Strategies federal poll, November 2025

338canada.com

 

[Jarnhamar]

The gap between the two when it comes to male voters has all but disappeared as well since the last poll.

338Canada | Liaison Strategies federal poll, November 2025

338canada.com

Slightly more women (38%) signaled they would vote Conservative than male (34%). Meanwhile twice as many males (8%) signaled they would vote bloc than females (4%).

What do you suppose that means?

 

[HavokFour]

Slightly more women (38%) signaled they would vote Conservative than male (34%). Meanwhile twice as many males (8%) signaled they would vote bloc than females (4%).

What do you suppose that means?

See the post above mine for the latest poll. The one I shared is the previous one from November 8th for comparison.

 

[Jarnhamar]

See the post above mine for the latest poll. The one I shared is the previous one from November 8th for comparison.

Looks like men and women are equal now WRT voting Conservative.

Less men AND less women are voting Liberal. What's up with that?

 

[RangerRay]

Looks like men and women are equal now WRT voting Conservative.

Less men AND less women are voting Liberal. What's up with that?

Lefties suddenly found out Carney is a banker and prioritized the economy of the country over his environmental views? Or suddenly found out the Liberals’ only policy is to win elections?

 

[HavokFour]

Looks like men and women are equal now WRT voting Conservative.

Less men AND less women are voting Liberal. What's up with that?

A wild guess would be the budget passing. No threat of a holiday election means no reason for ABC to be out in force.

 

[HavokFour]

A very much long overdue change. Religion should never be allowed to be used as a shield for hate, for any reason.

Liberal deal with Bloc means hate-speech laws will lose exemption for 'sincerely held' religious belief

The Liberals have agreed to remove a religious exemption in to secure Bloc Québécois support for a bill targeting hate crimes

nationalpost.com

Archive

Currently, the law exempts hateful or antisemitic speech if it based in good faith on the interpretation of a religious text, but that immunity is set to be removed. Additionally, the Liberals are expected to back off plans to eliminate the need for a provincial attorney general’s sign-off to pursue a hate-propaganda prosecution.

The removal of the religious exemption is expected to come via an amendment to the Criminal Code in the form of Bill C-9 at the parliamentary justice committee that will be supported by both the Liberals and Bloc, a senior government source confirmed.

 

[daftandbarmy]

A very much long overdue change. Religion should never be allowed to be used as a shield for hate, for any reason.

Liberal deal with Bloc means hate-speech laws will lose exemption for 'sincerely held' religious belief

The Liberals have agreed to remove a religious exemption in to secure Bloc Québécois support for a bill targeting hate crimes

nationalpost.com

Archive

It's trouble makers like you who ruin it for everyone

 

[Jarnhamar]

A wild guess would be the budget passing. No threat of a holiday election means no reason for ABC to be out in force.

Possibly adherents of the climate change cult sliding over to the kooky NDP.

 

[HavokFour]

Possibly adherents of the climate change cult sliding over to the kooky NDP.

Maybe, the MOU was only just announced 2 days prior to the most recent polling. NDP numbers are going to continue to fluctuate until they pick a new leader, and then there's the matter of who they pick which will also effect things.