Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

[HavokFour]

Goodness there's a ton of stuff to keep track of today.

FTA with Turkey and Isar Aerospace from Germany are adding to our new spaceport.

Canada, Turkey formally launch talks on a free-trade agreement

Canada and Turkey have formally launched negotiations for a ‌free-trade agreement (FTA), Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney's office said on Tuesday.

www.reuters.com

Isar Aerospace to build dedicated launch complex at Spaceport Nova Scotia in $112.5M USD deal

Maritime Launch Services and Germany's Isar Aerospace have signed a definitive $112.5M USD contract for a dedicated launch complex at Spaceport Nova Scotia.

spaceq.ca

 

[Altair]

Non partisan selection process is apparently dead, back to open patronage.

This sets back Senate reform significantly.

Yup.

Back to bribing people with senate seats. So gross.

I don't say it often, but Trudeau did it better.

 

[Altair]

https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/canada-merchandise-trade-may-2026-9.7261012

Canada's merchandise trade surplus widened to a four-year high in May, rising for the fourth consecutive month, as exports to the United States top its highest level since February last year, data showed on Tuesday.

Canada clocked a trade surplus of $4.24 billion in May, ‌up 0.9 per cent from a revised $3.41 billion posted in the prior month, Statistics Canada said.

This was the third consecutive month of trade surplus for Canada and was led by a 1.5 per cent jump in exports to the U.S., its largest trading partner.

As U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs slammed some critical sectors in Canada, businesses have been trying to diversify away from the U.S., which usually bought almost three quarters of Canada's total exports.

But trade experts have said that while diversification is important, it might take time for many ⁠to unwind decades-old supply chain ⁠from the world's biggest market.

Still posting trade surpluses, which on a whole is good.

Bad news is that it's because of more trade with the USA.

But fun experiment I've been running since the entire "Stop funding traditional media" thing, I keep an eye on Juno News, Northern perspective, Rebel news, just to see if they post anything positive.

Like last months spike in GDP. Nope. Nada. Crikets. Same outlets that couldn't stop talking about recession.

I'll wait with baited breath if we hear anything about this.

 

[Jarnhamar]

Liberals shut down debate over proposed probe into B.C. condo buyout plan

Liberals shut down debate over proposed probe into B.C. condo buyout plan

Liberal MPs shut down a Conservative attempt to have the House of Commons ethics committee investigate the government’s plan to turn unsold condos into affordable housing in B.C.

www.ctvnews.ca

The Liberals used their majority on the committee to shut down further debate, and the meeting was adjourned.

The Carney government is just saving gas by shutting down these needless investigations.

 

[PPCLI Guy]

The Carney government is just saving gas by shutting down these needless investigations.

This increasingly evasive approach to transparency is quite worrying

 

[Brad Sallows]

This increasingly evasive approach to transparency is quite worrying

Not yet. A certain amount of obfuscation is always to be expected. I've yet to be surprised, even by governments run by people I vastly preferred over alternatives.

 

[Altair]

This increasingly evasive approach to transparency is quite worrying

We were just used to minority governments for a long time at the federal level.

But this has been happening at the provincial level the entire time, and people didn't seem to care.

 

[Halifax Tar]

This increasingly evasive approach to transparency is quite worrying

Doesn't seem to affect their polling...

 

[daftandbarmy]

Something is rotten in the state of Denmark.

Hamlet (1.4), Marcellus to Horatio

Follow the Money: I Break Down Carney, the "Condo King," and the Fundraiser Behind the Bailout With Brian Lilley​

On the condo bailout, Lilley asked me to explain the connections behind Vancouver marketer Bob Rennie, the man dubbed the industry’s “condo king.” I traced the story back to my own history covering Vancouver city hall for the Province, and to the city’s 2010 Olympic Village crisis, when a developer went under and the city — under then-mayor Gregor Robertson, now Carney’s federal housing minister — was left backstopping roughly $700 million in high-end condos. Robertson’s council, I said, brought in Rennie to market those units; Rennie was also “a major backer of Gregor Robertson at the city hall” and a fundraiser for the provincial Liberal government of Christy Clark. My reporting for the Province in 2014 documented a $25,000-a-plate fundraiser Rennie organized for Robertson’s Vision Vancouver.

Follow the Money: I Break Down Carney, the "Condo King," and the Fundraiser Behind the Bailout With Brian Lilley

OTTAWA – I joined Canadian columnist Brian Lilley this week to walk through three developing Bureau investigations — the Carney government’s Vancouver condo bailout, a record fentanyl-precursor seizure in British Columbia, and a corruption case emerging from Toronto’s Project South investigation.

www.thebureau.news

 

[Halifax Tar]

Something is rotten in the state of Denmark.

This whole thing stinks!

 

[MilEME09]

Brian Lilly turning on Pierre? That can't be a good sign

LILLEY: Does Pierre Poilievre actually want to be prime minister?

While Poilievre blasts fellow Conservatives, the Liberals are benefiting from a divided opposition. Read on.

torontosun.com

 

[HavokFour]

A long but incredibly fascinating read, some of the behind the scenes details included within are wild.

Part 1

‘There Is No Going Back’: The Inside Story of Europe’s Rupture With America​

Archive

Part 2

The Canadian Who Steered Europe Away From the U.S.​

Archive

 

[PPCLI Guy]

Brian Lilly turning on Pierre? That can't be a good sign

LILLEY: Does Pierre Poilievre actually want to be prime minister?

While Poilievre blasts fellow Conservatives, the Liberals are benefiting from a divided opposition. Read on.

torontosun.com

The closing sentence is quite pointed:

Poilievre needs to decide whether he wants to be smug and right, in his own mind, or whether he wants to win elections. Right now, it’s not clear that he wants to win elections.

That could have been written about Trudeau.....

 

[ArmyRick]

Brian Lilly turning on Pierre? That can't be a good sign

LILLEY: Does Pierre Poilievre actually want to be prime minister?

While Poilievre blasts fellow Conservatives, the Liberals are benefiting from a divided opposition. Read on.

torontosun.com

He has poked at Pierre many times. He doesn't really come out and endorse Pierre either.

Its actually getting tiiring with people trying to say "Pierre's base in collapsing..." Its not. Its not growing either, which is the problem.

Carney is still enjoying something of a honeymoon, but he has lost the "green" liberals for the most part. Trudeau didn't have one event that tripped him up but rather a thousand knife cuts.
Carney has probably been winning over flexible centrist support with pipelines, defence procurement, etc. So at this time, Carney has traded Far left greenies for some more economic minded centrist.

There is a good chance Carney rides it out until 2029 but what is the Liberal party will change. And I bet the NDP does nothing and actually grows. The far left want a home.

 

[Czech_pivo]

He has poked at Pierre many times. He doesn't really come out and endorse Pierre either.

Its actually getting tiiring with people trying to say "Pierre's base in collapsing..." Its not. Its not growing either, which is the problem.

Carney is still enjoying something of a honeymoon, but he has lost the "green" liberals for the most part. Trudeau didn't have one event that tripped him up but rather a thousand knife cuts.
Carney has probably been winning over flexible centrist support with pipelines, defence procurement, etc. So at this time, Carney has traded Far left greenies for some more economic minded centrist.

There is a good chance Carney rides it out until 2029 but what is the Liberal party will change. And I bet the NDP does nothing and actually grows. The far left want a home.

The question is - does Carney start to eat any of PP's lunch in Alberta and Saskatchewan if shovels go into the ground for the new pipelines (oil and nat gas), new SMR's using uranium and more potash being developed/shipped. That's the real question.

An expanded naval footprint on the EC and the WC, along with a larger CAF presence in NB, will lock up the Maritimes for the Libs. Throw in Davie building CDC's and some sort of SAAB or GCAP footprint in QC and that might hold QC for them. The wild card will be Ontario - what can Carney do to the hold the line in Ontario.........keep the auto sector 'as is' and throw in some SMR's, mining and expanded manufacturing for the CAF and he'll be golden.

 

[ArmyRick]

does Carney start to eat any of PP's lunch in Alberta and Saskatchewan

Opinion not fact here. Won't happen I believe. I have a ton of ranching and farmer freinds in those two provinces. They basically explained to me, at this time, if Pierre pisses off his base and support in the prairies, they are most likely to not vote period. there is a strong disdain for Liberals. Cue the odd prairie person to tell me how wrong I am.

 

[ArmyRick]

The wild card will be Ontario - what can Carney do to the hold the line in Ontario GTA and other heavy urban areas. Rural Ontario still strongly conservative.

 

[MilEME09]

An expanded naval footprint on the EC and the WC, along with a larger CAF presence in NB, will lock up the Maritimes for the Libs. Throw in Davie building CDC's and some sort of SAAB or GCAP footprint in QC and that might hold QC for them. The wild card will be Ontario - what can Carney do to the hold the line in Ontario.........keep the auto sector 'as is' and throw in some SMR's, mining and expanded manufacturing for the CAF and he'll be golden.

Word is LUV is being limited to canadian suppliers, so GM vs Rochel, ontario wins.

 

[ArmyRick]

he'll be golden.

Depends. There are many Liberals who DO NOT WANT mining, oil and gas, pipelines, defence spending, etc EVER. How mahy are there? What affect will they have.

Thinking the cat is in the bag is what gets Conservatives in trouble. It can happen in an instant for Carney, who is doing ok as a PM (Could be better though in my opinion)

 

[daftandbarmy]

Depends. There are many Liberals who DO NOT WANT mining, oil and gas, pipelines, defence spending, etc EVER. How mahy are there? What affect will they have.

Thinking the cat is in the bag is what gets Conservatives in trouble. It can happen in an instant for Carney, who is doing ok as a PM (Could be better though in my opinion)

Carney's transformation momentum might be hard for some of the more 'Loonie Leftie' Liberals, like Guilbeault, to keep up with.

We might be seeing the fastest ever 'pivot' of any sitting government's policy, in the shortest period of time, and some of the incumbents might not be able to keep up, viz:

How Mark Carney is Realigning Canada’s Political System​

On the day last May when Mark Carney and his newly elected cabinet were sworn in, the Prime Minister promised, “Our government will deliver its mandate for change with urgency and determination. We’ve been elected to do a job. We intend to do it quickly and forcefully.”

These policy changes are all signs of a government intent on fundamentally transforming Canada. This is a government in a hurry — indeed, moving “quickly and forcefully” — and a Prime Minister who is quite prepared to break things along the way, including perhaps even his own party.

How Mark Carney is Realigning Canada’s Political System - Policy Magazine

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Prime Minister Mark Carney/PMO X

www.policymagazine.ca