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Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???


Gonna be super interesting seeing how this plays out. Will the opposition have enough members sit it out to let the budget pass? They definitely are none of them in a particularly good position to face election again, and voters might punish them for being seen to force one.

Carney doesn’t need to find 3 votes, he simply needs 3 MP’s on the other side to be out ‘sick’ or whatever.
It’s that simple.

He needs three flipped votes, or six abstentions.
 

James Moore offers his take on it.

On James Moore, I’ve appreciated a lot of his political commentary and I could see him a viable leadership contender should that time come.
 
The NDP have no leader and more than likely 0$ in the pot. They will struggle mightily to field a substantial number of candidates
Agreed but also, its almost double jeopardy for Pierre Poilievre. Force a another election, and if he loses it, I dont see any way he could stay on as leader in January. Thats gotta be something playing out in his mind.
 
I know some people are chomping at the bit for an election, but I think the snap back against NDP and PC would be signficant. There is also the Bloc, but doubt they would face any political backlash from their constituents.

With all the large projects they are looking at in different regions, including CPC strongholds I think they will find the 3 votes relatively easily.
 
Agreed but also, its almost double jeopardy for Pierre Poilievre. Force an another election, and if he loses it, I dont see any way he could stay on as leader in January. Thats gotta be something playing out in his mind.
Huh. I didn’t think of that, but it’s a valid point. On the plus side, it would be an efficient twofer- a single leadership review for two lost elections.
 
I know some people are chomping at the bit for an election, but I think the snap back against NDP and PC would be signficant. There is also the Bloc, but doubt they would face any political backlash from their constituents.

With all the large projects they are looking at in different regions, including CPC strongholds I think they will find the 3 votes relatively easily.
The last time the Liberals promised to keep the deficit to $40 billion and unabashedly dropped a $62 billion stink bomb.

The projected deficit next year is $75 billion. So maybe 90 or 100?

Forget about the CPC and NDP coffers, can Canadians afford that?
 
The last time the Liberals promised to keep the deficit to $40 billion and unabashedly dropped a $62 billion stink bomb.

The projected deficit next year is $75 billion. So maybe 90 or 100?

Forget about the CPC and NDP coffers, can Canadians afford that?
If an election would occur, it would fall when? Just before Christmas or between Christmas and New Years
 
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